Long Trade on XAU 12 Jan 2026 at 13:24:12
Take profit at 4613.0509 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 4596.0846 (0.12 %)
Long Trade on XAU 12 Jan 2026 at 13:24:12
Take profit at 4613.0509 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 4596.0846 (0.12 %)
Position size of 6509.4708 $
Take profit at 4613.0509 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 4596.0846 (0.12 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.91 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.85 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.93 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.066946 15m : -0.069576 1H : 0.007878 |
0 |
Indicators:
91199.5
0.0065847
91800.1
0.066946
91190.2
0.00620353
91756
-0.069576
90911.3
0.00977649
91800.1
0.007878
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 08:00:00
[1] => 4458.92
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 10:00:00
[1] => 4512.75
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 17:00:00
[1] => 4511.11
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 10:00:00
[1] => 4512.55
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 14:00:00
[1] => 4504.4
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 19:00:00
[1] => 4520.72
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 01:00:00
[1] => 4518.66
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 09:00:00
[1] => 4503.22
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 19:00:00
[1] => 4595.3
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:00:00
[1] => 4627.06
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.51803953266221
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.217746412567
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 28
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.69114094836029
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 21:00:00
[1] => 4559
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 23:00:00
[1] => 4565.07
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 00:30:00
[1] => 4580
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 04:15:00
[1] => 4594
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 07:00:00
[1] => 4575.44
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 08:45:00
[1] => 4617.83
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 09:15:00
[1] => 4584.5
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:00:00
[1] => 4627.06
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:30:00
[1] => 4605.01
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 13:15:00
[1] => 4601.54
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.51803953266221
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.033684375230905
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.075409536807248
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 07:05:00
[1] => 4575.44
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 08:55:00
[1] => 4617.83
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 09:25:00
[1] => 4584.5
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 10:35:00
[1] => 4623.82
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:00:00
[1] => 4614.23
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:10:00
[1] => 4627.06
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:40:00
[1] => 4605.01
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 12:35:00
[1] => 4608
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 12:50:00
[1] => 4617.1
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 13:15:00
[1] => 4601.54
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.30343722249898
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.033684375230905
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.33814766360828
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 07:05:00 | 4575.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 08:55:00 | 4617.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 09:25:00 | 4584.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 10:35:00 | 4623.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 11:00:00 | 4614.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 11:10:00 | 4627.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 11:40:00 | 4605.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 12:35:00 | 4608 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 12:50:00 | 4617.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 13:15:00 | 4601.54 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 21:00:00 | 4559 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 23:00:00 | 4565.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 00:30:00 | 4580 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 04:15:00 | 4594 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 07:00:00 | 4575.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 08:45:00 | 4617.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 09:15:00 | 4584.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 11:00:00 | 4627.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 11:30:00 | 4605.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 13:15:00 | 4601.54 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 08:00:00 | 4458.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-09 10:00:00 | 4512.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-09 17:00:00 | 4511.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 10:00:00 | 4512.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 14:00:00 | 4504.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 19:00:00 | 4520.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 01:00:00 | 4518.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 09:00:00 | 4503.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 19:00:00 | 4595.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 11:00:00 | 4627.06 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2026 13:24:12 |
12 Jan 2026 14:25:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4601.74 | 4596.0846 | 4613.0509 | 2 | 5326.25 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4596.0846 - 4601.74 = -5.6553999999996
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4601.74 - 4613.0509 = -11.3109
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -11.3109 / -5.6553999999996 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6509.4708 | 100 | 1.4146 | 65.09 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -5.6553999999996 = -1.41
Taille de position USD = -1.41 x 4601.74 = -6488.45
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.41 avec un stoploss a 4596.0846
Avec un position size USD de -6488.45$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.41 x -5.6553999999996 = 7.97
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.97$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.41 x -11.3109 = 15.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.95$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.12 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0341 % | 27.75 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4613.0508
[stop_loss] => 4596.0846
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 14:25:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4615.8785
[stop_loss] => 4596.0846
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 15:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4618.7062
[stop_loss] => 4596.0846
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 15:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4621.5339
[stop_loss] => 4596.0846
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 15:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4624.3616
[stop_loss] => 4596.0846
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 15:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4627.1893
[stop_loss] => 4596.0846
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 15:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4630.017
[stop_loss] => 4596.0846
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 15:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4632.8447
[stop_loss] => 4596.0846
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 15:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4635.6724
[stop_loss] => 4596.0846
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 15:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4638.5001
[stop_loss] => 4596.0846
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 15:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4641.3278
[stop_loss] => 4596.0846
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 15:40:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 13.780000000001
[max_drawdown] => 4.1599999999999
[rr_ratio] => 3.31
[high] => 4615.52000000
[low] => 4597.58000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.3
[mae_pct] => 0.09
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.31
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-12T13:24:12-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-12T15:24:12-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 13.780000000001
[max_drawdown] => 22.7
[rr_ratio] => 0.61
[high] => 4615.52000000
[low] => 4579.04000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.3
[mae_pct] => 0.49
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.61
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-12T13:24:12-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-12T20:24:12-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 4627.06000000
[high_after] => 4615.52000000
[low_before] => 4584.50000000
[low_after] => 4579.04000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)