Long Trade on XAU 12 Jan 2026 at 15:16:18
Take profit at 4609.7967 (0.2 %) and Stop Loss at 4596.1217 (0.099 %)
Long Trade on XAU 12 Jan 2026 at 15:16:18
Take profit at 4609.7967 (0.2 %) and Stop Loss at 4596.1217 (0.099 %)
Position size of 8074.3164 $
Take profit at 4609.7967 (0.2 %) and Stop Loss at 4596.1217 (0.099 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.94 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.93 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.057119 15m : 0.190233 1H : 0.055304 |
0 |
Indicators:
91403.6
0.00394829
91764.5
0.057119
91246.2
0.00567946
91764.5
0.190233
91022.5
0.00815078
91764.5
0.055304
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 10:00:00
[1] => 4512.75
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 17:00:00
[1] => 4511.11
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 10:00:00
[1] => 4512.55
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 14:00:00
[1] => 4504.4
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 19:00:00
[1] => 4520.72
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 01:00:00
[1] => 4518.66
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 09:00:00
[1] => 4503.22
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 19:00:00
[1] => 4595.3
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:00:00
[1] => 4627.06
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
[1] => 4597.58
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.59735555622794
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.040021054554791
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.64120689580171
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 00:30:00
[1] => 4580
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 04:15:00
[1] => 4594
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 07:00:00
[1] => 4575.44
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 08:45:00
[1] => 4617.83
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 09:15:00
[1] => 4584.5
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:00:00
[1] => 4627.06
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:30:00
[1] => 4605.01
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 13:15:00
[1] => 4600.17
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 14:30:00
[1] => 4615.52
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
[1] => 4597.58
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.34882310118904
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.040021054554791
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.39020528190919
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 09:25:00
[1] => 4584.5
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 10:35:00
[1] => 4623.82
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:00:00
[1] => 4614.23
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:10:00
[1] => 4627.06
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:40:00
[1] => 4605.01
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 12:35:00
[1] => 4608
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 12:50:00
[1] => 4617.1
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 13:25:00
[1] => 4600.17
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 14:30:00
[1] => 4615.52
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 15:05:00
[1] => 4597.58
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.34882310118904
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.040021054554791
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.39020528190919
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 09:25:00 | 4584.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 10:35:00 | 4623.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 11:00:00 | 4614.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 11:10:00 | 4627.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 11:40:00 | 4605.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 12:35:00 | 4608 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 12:50:00 | 4617.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 13:25:00 | 4600.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 14:30:00 | 4615.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 15:05:00 | 4597.58 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 00:30:00 | 4580 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 04:15:00 | 4594 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 07:00:00 | 4575.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 08:45:00 | 4617.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 09:15:00 | 4584.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 11:00:00 | 4627.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 11:30:00 | 4605.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 13:15:00 | 4600.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 14:30:00 | 4615.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 15:00:00 | 4597.58 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 10:00:00 | 4512.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-09 17:00:00 | 4511.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 10:00:00 | 4512.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 14:00:00 | 4504.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 19:00:00 | 4520.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 01:00:00 | 4518.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 09:00:00 | 4503.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 19:00:00 | 4595.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 11:00:00 | 4627.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 15:00:00 | 4597.58 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2026 15:16:18 |
12 Jan 2026 15:40:00 |
23 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4600.68 | 4596.1217 | 4609.7967 | 2 | 5180.49 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4596.1217 - 4600.68 = -4.5583000000006
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4600.68 - 4609.7967 = -9.1166999999996
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.1166999999996 / -4.5583000000006 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8074.3164 | 100 | 1.755 | 80.74 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -4.5583000000006 = -1.76
Taille de position USD = -1.76 x 4600.68 = -8097.2
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.76 avec un stoploss a 4596.1217
Avec un position size USD de -8097.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.76 x -4.5583000000006 = 8.02
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.76 x -9.1166999999996 = 16.05
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.05$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.2 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.099 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1317 % | 132.9 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4609.7967
[entry_price] => 4600.68
[stop_loss] => 4595.66587
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 15:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4609.7967
[entry_price] => 4600.68
[stop_loss] => 4595.21004
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 15:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4609.7967
[entry_price] => 4600.68
[stop_loss] => 4594.75421
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 15:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4609.7967
[entry_price] => 4600.68
[stop_loss] => 4593.84255
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 15:40:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.5499999999993
[max_drawdown] => 10.46
[rr_ratio] => 0.15
[high] => 4602.23000000
[low] => 4590.22000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.03
[mae_pct] => 0.23
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.15
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-12T15:16:18-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-12T17:16:18-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.5499999999993
[max_drawdown] => 23.02
[rr_ratio] => 0.07
[high] => 4602.23000000
[low] => 4577.66000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.03
[mae_pct] => 0.5
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.07
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-12T15:16:18-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-12T22:16:18-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 4626.00000000
[high_after] => 4602.23000000
[low_before] => 4597.58000000
[low_after] => 4577.66000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)