Long Trade on MSTR 12 Jan 2026 at 20:57:38

Take profit at 161.8345 (0.21 %) and Stop Loss at 161.3327 (0.1 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 12 Jan 2026 at 20:57:38

With 47.832 MSTR at 161.5$ per unit.

Position size of 7724.861 $

Take profit at 161.8345 (0.21 %) and Stop Loss at 161.3327 (0.1 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.63
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.64
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.72
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.450354

15m : 0.024728

1H : 0.215276

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.15
  4. atr: 0.1115014668
Details
  1. score: 2.15
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 161.478
  4. ema21 : 160.668
  5. ema50 : 160.096
  6. ema100 : 160.973
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000131194
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00504576
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00357104
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.00327088
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.142403
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.0916342
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.0405599
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.00459918
  17. rsi : 0.57699
  18. adx : 0.285948
  19. kc_percentage : 0.6827
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0264378
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.616765
  22. volume_ema1 : 195564.91772956
  23. volume_ema2 : 510301.19510557
  24. chop : 22.8609
  25. regime : bull_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 161.795
  29. ema21 : 161.787
  30. ema50 : 161.25
  31. ema100 : 160.713
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00182368
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 4.49671E-5
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0033308
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.00489372
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0106163
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.00500866
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0192305
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0161532
  42. rsi : 0.462879
  43. adx : 0.124684
  44. kc_percentage : 0.269444
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.00805161
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.938655
  47. volume_ema1 : 8929.1594477508
  48. volume_ema2 : 145557.67957121
  49. chop : 79.0332
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 161.659
  54. ema21 : 161.785
  55. ema50 : 161.842
  56. ema100 : 161.698
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.000988247
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000776673
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000354111
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00123035
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0154854
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.00768825
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.00285772
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.000937284
  67. rsi : 0.351486
  68. adx : 0.237839
  69. kc_percentage : -0.146796
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00267399
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.732917
  72. volume_ema1 : 2541.7161770041
  73. volume_ema2 : 9516.6036961105
  74. chop : 22.304
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    91328
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00218096
  81. 5m_price:
    91128.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.450354
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    91355.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00238976
  86. 15m_price:
    91136.8
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.024728
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    91019.5
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00120084
  91. 1H_price:
    91128.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.215276
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-11 10:00:00
                        [1] => 158.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-11 12:00:00
                        [1] => 158.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-11 14:00:00
                        [1] => 158.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-11 16:00:00
                        [1] => 158.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-11 18:00:00
                        [1] => 158.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-11 20:00:00
                        [1] => 162.02
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 03:00:00
                        [1] => 158
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
                        [1] => 156.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
                        [1] => 163.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 20:00:00
                        [1] => 161.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3680224746549
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.15503875968992
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5441860465116
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 03:45:00
                        [1] => 158
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 06:00:00
                        [1] => 158.22
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 07:30:00
                        [1] => 159.03
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 09:30:00
                        [1] => 156.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 11:30:00
                        [1] => 162.15
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 12:30:00
                        [1] => 160.09
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
                        [1] => 163.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 16:45:00
                        [1] => 161.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 20:15:00
                        [1] => 162.11
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 20:30:00
                        [1] => 161.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.37628770587873
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.15503875968992
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.53333333333334
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 18:00:00
                        [1] => 161.69
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 18:20:00
                        [1] => 162.07
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 18:30:00
                        [1] => 162.07
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 18:40:00
                        [1] => 161.79
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 19:10:00
                        [1] => 161.82
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 19:20:00
                        [1] => 161.82
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 19:35:00
                        [1] => 162.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 20:05:00
                        [1] => 161.85
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 20:15:00
                        [1] => 162.11
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 20:40:00
                        [1] => 161.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.37628770587873
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.15503875968992
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.53333333333334
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.38%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.16%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.53%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0827
0.05%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2755
0.17%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-12 18:00:00 161.69 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 18:20:00 162.07 ↑ High
2026-01-12 18:30:00 162.07 ↑ High
2026-01-12 18:40:00 161.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 19:10:00 161.82 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 19:20:00 161.82 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 19:35:00 162.09 ↑ High
2026-01-12 20:05:00 161.85 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 20:15:00 162.11 ↑ High
2026-01-12 20:40:00 161.25 ↓ Low
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.38%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.16%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.53%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.1427
3.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9055
1.18%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-12 03:45:00 158 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 06:00:00 158.22 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 07:30:00 159.03 ↑ High
2026-01-12 09:30:00 156.19 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 11:30:00 162.15 ↑ High
2026-01-12 12:30:00 160.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 15:00:00 163.74 ↑ High
2026-01-12 16:45:00 161.58 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 20:15:00 162.11 ↑ High
2026-01-12 20:30:00 161.25 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.37%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.16%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.54%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.1427
3.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9055
1.18%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-11 10:00:00 158.48 ↑ High
2026-01-11 12:00:00 158.48 ↑ High
2026-01-11 14:00:00 158.48 ↑ High
2026-01-11 16:00:00 158.48 ↓ Low
2026-01-11 18:00:00 158.48 ↓ Low
2026-01-11 20:00:00 162.02 ↑ High
2026-01-12 03:00:00 158 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 09:00:00 156.19 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 15:00:00 163.74 ↑ High
2026-01-12 20:00:00 161.25 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Jan 2026
20:57:38
12 Jan 2026
22:20:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
161.5 161.3327 161.8345 2 130.23
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 161.5
  • Stop Loss: 161.3327
  • Take Profit: 161.8345

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 161.3327 - 161.5 = -0.16730000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 161.5 - 161.8345 = -0.33449999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.33449999999999 / -0.16730000000001 = 1.9994

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
7724.861 100 47.832 77.25
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.16730000000001

Taille de position = 8 / -0.16730000000001 = -47.82

Taille de position USD = -47.82 x 161.5 = -7722.93

Donc, tu peux acheter -47.82 avec un stoploss a 161.3327

Avec un position size USD de -7722.93$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -47.82 x -0.16730000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -47.82 x -0.33449999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -47.82
  • Taille de position USD -7722.93
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9994

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.21 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.1 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.21
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.8346
            [stop_loss] => 161.3327
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-12 22:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.91825
            [stop_loss] => 161.3327
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-12 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.0019
            [stop_loss] => 161.3327
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-12 23:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.08555
            [stop_loss] => 161.3327
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-13 00:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.1692
            [stop_loss] => 161.3327
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-13 00:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.25285
            [stop_loss] => 161.3327
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-13 00:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.3365
            [stop_loss] => 161.3327
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-13 00:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.42015
            [stop_loss] => 161.3327
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-13 00:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.5038
            [stop_loss] => 161.3327
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-13 00:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.58745
            [stop_loss] => 161.3327
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-13 00:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.6711
            [stop_loss] => 161.3327
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-13 00:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.49000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 161.99000000
            [low] => 161.50000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.3
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-12T20:57:38-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-12T22:57:38-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.3
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0099999999999909
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 163.80000000
            [low] => 161.49000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.42
            [mae_pct] => 0.01
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 230
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-12T20:57:38-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-13T03:57:38-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 162.19000000
            [high_after] => 163.56000000
            [low_before] => 161.25000000
            [low_after] => 161.49000000
            [is_new_high] => 1
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)