Short Trade on AVAX 12 Jan 2026 at 21:04:15
Take profit at 13.5011 (0.65 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6344 (0.33 %)
Short Trade on AVAX 12 Jan 2026 at 21:04:15
Take profit at 13.5011 (0.65 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6344 (0.33 %)
Position size of 2446.2055 $
Take profit at 13.5011 (0.65 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6344 (0.33 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.79 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.64 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.808608 15m : -0.010432 1H : 0.259893 |
1 |
Indicators:
91343.3
-0.00102224
91250
0.808608
91351.6
-0.00111249
91250
-0.010432
91006.3
0.0026772
91250
0.259893
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 10:00:00
[1] => 13.786
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 12:00:00
[1] => 13.932
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 19:00:00
[1] => 13.672
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 10:00:00
[1] => 13.981
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 18:00:00
[1] => 13.469
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 22:00:00
[1] => 14.212
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 03:00:00
[1] => 13.478
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
[1] => 13.377
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:00:00
[1] => 13.989
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 16:00:00
[1] => 13.458
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.9094288369433
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.92138504978452
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.9456085599643
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 05:45:00
[1] => 13.553
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 07:15:00
[1] => 13.688
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 09:15:00
[1] => 13.377
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:30:00
[1] => 13.989
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 12:30:00
[1] => 13.628
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 14:00:00
[1] => 13.609
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
[1] => 13.768
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 16:45:00
[1] => 13.458
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 20:30:00
[1] => 13.461
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 21:00:00
[1] => 13.602
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1470372004117
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.89889309858109
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0474704702474
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 17:10:00
[1] => 13.58
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 17:40:00
[1] => 13.576
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 18:10:00
[1] => 13.472
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 18:30:00
[1] => 13.535
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 19:00:00
[1] => 13.482
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 19:25:00
[1] => 13.539
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 19:40:00
[1] => 13.473
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 20:05:00
[1] => 13.594
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 20:40:00
[1] => 13.461
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 21:00:00
[1] => 13.602
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1470372004117
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.89889309858109
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0474704702474
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 17:10:00 | 13.58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 17:40:00 | 13.576 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 18:10:00 | 13.472 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 18:30:00 | 13.535 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 19:00:00 | 13.482 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 19:25:00 | 13.539 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 19:40:00 | 13.473 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 20:05:00 | 13.594 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 20:40:00 | 13.461 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 21:00:00 | 13.602 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 05:45:00 | 13.553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 07:15:00 | 13.688 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 09:15:00 | 13.377 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 11:30:00 | 13.989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 12:30:00 | 13.628 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 14:00:00 | 13.609 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 15:00:00 | 13.768 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 16:45:00 | 13.458 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 20:30:00 | 13.461 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 21:00:00 | 13.602 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 10:00:00 | 13.786 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 12:00:00 | 13.932 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 19:00:00 | 13.672 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 10:00:00 | 13.981 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 18:00:00 | 13.469 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 22:00:00 | 14.212 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 03:00:00 | 13.478 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 09:00:00 | 13.377 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 11:00:00 | 13.989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 16:00:00 | 13.458 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2026 21:04:15 |
12 Jan 2026 22:10:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.59 | 13.6344 | 13.5011 | 2 | 8.719 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.6344 - 13.59 = 0.0444
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 13.59 - 13.5011 = 0.088900000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.088900000000001 / 0.0444 = 2.0023
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2446.2055 | 100 | 180.0004 | 24.46 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0444 = 180.18
Taille de position USD = 180.18 x 13.59 = 2448.65
Donc, tu peux acheter 180.18 avec un stoploss a 13.6344
Avec un position size USD de 2448.65$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 180.18 x 0.0444 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 180.18 x 0.088900000000001 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.65 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.65 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0957 % | 29.29 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.5012
[stop_loss] => 13.6344
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 22:10:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.479
[stop_loss] => 13.6344
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 23:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.4568
[stop_loss] => 13.6344
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 23:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.4346
[stop_loss] => 13.6344
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 23:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.4124
[stop_loss] => 13.6344
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 23:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.3902
[stop_loss] => 13.6344
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 23:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.368
[stop_loss] => 13.6344
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 23:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.3458
[stop_loss] => 13.6344
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 23:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.3236
[stop_loss] => 13.6344
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 23:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.3014
[stop_loss] => 13.6344
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 23:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.2792
[stop_loss] => 13.6344
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 23:10:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.089
[max_drawdown] => 0.013
[rr_ratio] => 6.85
[high] => 13.60300000
[low] => 13.50100000
[mfe_pct] => 0.65
[mae_pct] => 0.1
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.85
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-12T21:04:15-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-12T23:04:15-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.089
[max_drawdown] => 0.246
[rr_ratio] => 0.36
[high] => 13.83600000
[low] => 13.50100000
[mfe_pct] => 0.65
[mae_pct] => 1.81
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.36
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-12T21:04:15-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-13T04:04:15-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 13.60200000
[high_after] => 13.81700000
[low_before] => 13.46100000
[low_after] => 13.50100000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)