Short Trade on RENDER 13 Jan 2026 at 03:56:43
Take profit at 2.3556 (1.03 %) and Stop Loss at 2.3922 (0.51 %)
Short Trade on RENDER 13 Jan 2026 at 03:56:43
Take profit at 2.3556 (1.03 %) and Stop Loss at 2.3922 (0.51 %)
Position size of 1560.3161 $
Take profit at 2.3556 (1.03 %) and Stop Loss at 2.3922 (0.51 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.83 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.69 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.79 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.547137 15m : 0.042929 1H : -0.007134 |
0 |
Indicators:
91711.8
0.00447176
92122
0.547137
91492.7
0.00716088
92147.9
0.042929
91096.9
0.0112528
92122
-0.007134
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 23:00:00
[1] => 2.232
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 05:00:00
[1] => 2.374
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 11:00:00
[1] => 2.267
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 17:00:00
[1] => 2.251
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 22:00:00
[1] => 2.377
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 14:00:00
[1] => 2.707
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 08:00:00
[1] => 2.346
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:00:00
[1] => 2.463
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 22:00:00
[1] => 2.329
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 03:00:00
[1] => 2.385
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.37735849056603
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0180334907686
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4044654358093
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 08:45:00
[1] => 2.346
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:15:00
[1] => 2.463
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 13:30:00
[1] => 2.388
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
[1] => 2.437
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 18:00:00
[1] => 2.351
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 19:30:00
[1] => 2.396
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 22:15:00
[1] => 2.329
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 00:15:00
[1] => 2.385
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 02:30:00
[1] => 2.333
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 03:45:00
[1] => 2.385
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.37735849056603
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.843120445778
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2288898414059
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 22:40:00
[1] => 2.348
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 23:15:00
[1] => 2.347
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 23:35:00
[1] => 2.332
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 00:20:00
[1] => 2.385
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 01:20:00
[1] => 2.338
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 01:50:00
[1] => 2.338
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 02:00:00
[1] => 2.354
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 02:35:00
[1] => 2.333
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 03:15:00
[1] => 2.374
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 03:50:00
[1] => 2.385
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.37735849056603
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.843120445778
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.46335299073293
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 22:40:00 | 2.348 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 23:15:00 | 2.347 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 23:35:00 | 2.332 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 00:20:00 | 2.385 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 01:20:00 | 2.338 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 01:50:00 | 2.338 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 02:00:00 | 2.354 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 02:35:00 | 2.333 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 03:15:00 | 2.374 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 03:50:00 | 2.385 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 08:45:00 | 2.346 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 11:15:00 | 2.463 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 13:30:00 | 2.388 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 15:00:00 | 2.437 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 18:00:00 | 2.351 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 19:30:00 | 2.396 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 22:15:00 | 2.329 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 00:15:00 | 2.385 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 02:30:00 | 2.333 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 03:45:00 | 2.385 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 23:00:00 | 2.232 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 05:00:00 | 2.374 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 11:00:00 | 2.267 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 17:00:00 | 2.251 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 22:00:00 | 2.377 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 14:00:00 | 2.707 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 08:00:00 | 2.346 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 11:00:00 | 2.463 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 22:00:00 | 2.329 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 03:00:00 | 2.385 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2026 03:56:43 |
13 Jan 2026 04:30:00 |
33 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.38 | 2.3922 | 2.3556 | 2 | 1.446 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3922 - 2.38 = 0.0122
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.38 - 2.3556 = 0.0244
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0244 / 0.0122 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1560.3161 | 100 | 655.595 | 15.60 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0122 = 655.74
Taille de position USD = 655.74 x 2.38 = 1560.66
Donc, tu peux acheter 655.74 avec un stoploss a 2.3922
Avec un position size USD de 1560.66$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 655.74 x 0.0122 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 655.74 x 0.0244 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.03 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.51 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.3556
[stop_loss] => 2.3922
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-13 04:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.3495
[stop_loss] => 2.3922
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-13 04:40:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.3434
[stop_loss] => 2.3922
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-13 07:05:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.3373
[stop_loss] => 2.3922
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-13 07:10:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.3312
[stop_loss] => 2.3922
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-13 08:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.3251
[stop_loss] => 2.3922
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-13 08:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.319
[stop_loss] => 2.3922
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-13 08:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.3129
[stop_loss] => 2.3922
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-13 08:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.3068
[stop_loss] => 2.3922
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-13 08:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.3007
[stop_loss] => 2.3922
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-13 08:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.2946
[stop_loss] => 2.3922
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-13 08:35:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.035
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 2.37900000
[low] => 2.34500000
[mfe_pct] => 1.47
[mae_pct] => -0.04
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-13T03:56:43-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-13T05:56:43-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.047
[max_drawdown] => 0.069
[rr_ratio] => 0.68
[high] => 2.44900000
[low] => 2.33300000
[mfe_pct] => 1.97
[mae_pct] => 2.9
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.68
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-13T03:56:43-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-13T10:56:43-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 2.38500000
[high_after] => 2.44900000
[low_before] => 2.33300000
[low_after] => 2.33300000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)