Long Trade on MSTR 14 Jan 2026 at 01:01:15
Take profit at 178.3495 (0.59 %) and Stop Loss at 176.7753 (0.3 %)
Long Trade on MSTR 14 Jan 2026 at 01:01:15
Take profit at 178.3495 (0.59 %) and Stop Loss at 176.7753 (0.3 %)
Position size of 2703.0189 $
Take profit at 178.3495 (0.59 %) and Stop Loss at 176.7753 (0.3 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.84 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.75 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.97 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.755869 15m : 0.043511 1H : -0.144593 |
2 |
Indicators:
95113.9
-0.00158665
94963
0.755869
93996.3
0.0102839
94963
0.043511
92116.9
0.030896
94963
-0.144593
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 12:00:00
[1] => 158.48
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 14:00:00
[1] => 158.48
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 16:00:00
[1] => 158.48
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 18:00:00
[1] => 158.48
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 20:00:00
[1] => 162.02
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 03:00:00
[1] => 158
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
[1] => 156.19
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
[1] => 163.74
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 20:00:00
[1] => 161.25
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 23:00:00
[1] => 179.62
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4809041309431
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.7426356589147
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 29
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.392248062016
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 03:30:00
[1] => 162.97
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 04:30:00
[1] => 164.89
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 05:45:00
[1] => 163.13
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 08:15:00
[1] => 163.09
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 11:30:00
[1] => 169.1
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 12:15:00
[1] => 166.77
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 15:00:00
[1] => 173.92
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 18:00:00
[1] => 177.76
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 23:30:00
[1] => 179.62
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 01:00:00
[1] => 176.86
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4809041309431
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.056541897546078
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5605563722718
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 18:35:00
[1] => 176.15
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 19:25:00
[1] => 177.54
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 20:00:00
[1] => 176.71
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 20:30:00
[1] => 178.1
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 21:05:00
[1] => 177.4
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 21:35:00
[1] => 178.23
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 21:55:00
[1] => 177.62
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 22:10:00
[1] => 178.24
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 23:30:00
[1] => 179.62
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 01:00:00
[1] => 176.86
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4809041309431
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.056541897546078
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 18
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5605563722718
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 18:35:00 | 176.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 19:25:00 | 177.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 20:00:00 | 176.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 20:30:00 | 178.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 21:05:00 | 177.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 21:35:00 | 178.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 21:55:00 | 177.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 22:10:00 | 178.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 23:30:00 | 179.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 01:00:00 | 176.86 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 03:30:00 | 162.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 04:30:00 | 164.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 05:45:00 | 163.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 08:15:00 | 163.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 11:30:00 | 169.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 12:15:00 | 166.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 15:00:00 | 173.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 18:00:00 | 177.76 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 23:30:00 | 179.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 01:00:00 | 176.86 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 12:00:00 | 158.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 14:00:00 | 158.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 16:00:00 | 158.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 18:00:00 | 158.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 20:00:00 | 162.02 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 03:00:00 | 158 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 09:00:00 | 156.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 15:00:00 | 163.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 20:00:00 | 161.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 23:00:00 | 179.62 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 01:01:15 |
14 Jan 2026 01:05:00 |
3 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 177.3 | 176.7753 | 178.3495 | 2 | 133.07 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 176.7753 - 177.3 = -0.52470000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 177.3 - 178.3495 = -1.0495
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.0495 / -0.52470000000002 = 2.0002
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2703.0189 | 100 | 15.2455 | 27.03 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.52470000000002 = -15.25
Taille de position USD = -15.25 x 177.3 = -2703.83
Donc, tu peux acheter -15.25 avec un stoploss a 176.7753
Avec un position size USD de -2703.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -15.25 x -0.52470000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -15.25 x -1.0495 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.59 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.3 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5302 % | 179.18 % | 0 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 178.3495
[entry_price] => 177.3
[stop_loss] => 176.72283
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-14 01:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 178.3495
[entry_price] => 177.3
[stop_loss] => 176.67036
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-14 01:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 178.3495
[entry_price] => 177.3
[stop_loss] => 176.61789
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-14 01:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 178.3495
[entry_price] => 177.3
[stop_loss] => 176.51295
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-14 01:05:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.23999999999998
[max_drawdown] => 1.67
[rr_ratio] => 0.14
[high] => 177.54000000
[low] => 175.63000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.14
[mae_pct] => 0.94
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.14
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-14T01:01:15-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-14T03:01:15-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.54999999999998
[max_drawdown] => 1.67
[rr_ratio] => 0.33
[high] => 177.85000000
[low] => 175.63000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.31
[mae_pct] => 0.94
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.33
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-14T01:01:15-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-14T08:01:15-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 179.62000000
[high_after] => 177.85000000
[low_before] => 176.86000000
[low_after] => 175.63000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)