Long Trade on MSTR 14 Jan 2026 at 06:10:47

Take profit at 177.2274 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 175.9713 (0.24 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 14 Jan 2026 at 06:10:47

With 19.1068 MSTR at 176.39$ per unit.

Position size of 3370.2489 $

Take profit at 177.2274 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 175.9713 (0.24 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -70
ML Pullback Score: 8.22
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.69
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.78
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.89
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.326987

15m : -0.069746

1H : -0.019213

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.2791326945
Details
  1. score: 2.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 176.789
  4. ema21 : 174.472
  5. ema50 : 169.432
  6. ema100 : 165.375
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00225716
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0132771
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0297483
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0666008
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.213249
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.298184
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.247628
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.167569
  17. rsi : 0.668519
  18. adx : 0.598746
  19. kc_percentage : 0.810556
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.030948
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.544755
  22. volume_ema1 : 395691.98509275
  23. volume_ema2 : 869185.74488266
  24. chop : 45.4358
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 176.956
  29. ema21 : 177.089
  30. ema50 : 176.219
  31. ema100 : 173.61
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00320314
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00074845
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00493859
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0160081
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.00594881
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.00459247
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0253046
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0456703
  42. rsi : 0.426166
  43. adx : 0.207619
  44. kc_percentage : 0.200388
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0132061
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.778414
  47. volume_ema1 : 48302.858293679
  48. volume_ema2 : 217987.5711157
  49. chop : 67.8634
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 176.78
  54. ema21 : 176.972
  55. ema50 : 177.139
  56. ema100 : 177.319
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00220683
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00108919
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000940187
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00524415
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0287039
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.016711
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0087015
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00597691
  67. rsi : 0.358853
  68. adx : 0.244292
  69. kc_percentage : -0.0357019
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00606263
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.744632
  72. volume_ema1 : 9459.2569877434
  73. volume_ema2 : 37041.718830068
  74. chop : 43.581
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95085.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00114301
  81. 5m_price:
    94977.1
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.326987
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    94352.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00662367
  86. 15m_price:
    94977.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.069746
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    92398.4
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0279077
  91. 1H_price:
    94977.1
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.019213
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-11 15:00:00
                        [1] => 158.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-11 17:00:00
                        [1] => 158.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-11 19:00:00
                        [1] => 158.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-11 20:00:00
                        [1] => 162.02
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 03:00:00
                        [1] => 158
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
                        [1] => 156.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
                        [1] => 163.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 20:00:00
                        [1] => 161.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 23:00:00
                        [1] => 179.62
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 01:00:00
                        [1] => 175.63
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.7314330252756
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.50105335079428
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2718214428059
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 08:15:00
                        [1] => 163.09
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 11:30:00
                        [1] => 169.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 12:15:00
                        [1] => 166.77
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 15:00:00
                        [1] => 173.92
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 18:00:00
                        [1] => 177.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 23:30:00
                        [1] => 179.62
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 01:30:00
                        [1] => 175.63
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 03:30:00
                        [1] => 177.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 05:15:00
                        [1] => 177.77
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 176.34
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.70878100916916
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.096404672791192
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.81093342406715
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 02:15:00
                        [1] => 177.03
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 02:40:00
                        [1] => 176.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 03:40:00
                        [1] => 177.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 04:00:00
                        [1] => 176.72
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 04:20:00
                        [1] => 177.62
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 04:40:00
                        [1] => 177.03
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 05:15:00
                        [1] => 177.77
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 05:25:00
                        [1] => 176.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 05:50:00
                        [1] => 177.15
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 06:10:00
                        [1] => 176.34
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.36127575500989
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.096404672791192
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.45933991153454
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.36%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.10%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.46%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3687
0.21%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6226
0.35%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 02:15:00 177.03 ↑ High
2026-01-14 02:40:00 176.54 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 03:40:00 177.85 ↑ High
2026-01-14 04:00:00 176.72 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 04:20:00 177.62 ↑ High
2026-01-14 04:40:00 177.03 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 05:15:00 177.77 ↑ High
2026-01-14 05:25:00 176.39 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 05:50:00 177.15 ↑ High
2026-01-14 06:10:00 176.34 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.71%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.10%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.81%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.8813
7.32%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.3926
1.35%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-13 08:15:00 163.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-13 11:30:00 169.1 ↑ High
2026-01-13 12:15:00 166.77 ↓ Low
2026-01-13 15:00:00 173.92 ↑ High
2026-01-13 18:00:00 177.76 ↑ High
2026-01-13 23:30:00 179.62 ↑ High
2026-01-14 01:30:00 175.63 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 03:30:00 177.85 ↑ High
2026-01-14 05:15:00 177.77 ↑ High
2026-01-14 06:00:00 176.34 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.73%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.50%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.27%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
19.7813
11.24%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.3926
1.35%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-11 15:00:00 158.48 ↓ Low
2026-01-11 17:00:00 158.48 ↓ Low
2026-01-11 19:00:00 158.48 ↓ Low
2026-01-11 20:00:00 162.02 ↑ High
2026-01-12 03:00:00 158 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 09:00:00 156.19 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 15:00:00 163.74 ↑ High
2026-01-12 20:00:00 161.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-13 23:00:00 179.62 ↑ High
2026-01-14 01:00:00 175.63 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
14 Jan 2026
06:10:47
14 Jan 2026
07:00:00
49 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
176.39 175.9713 177.2274 2 131.42
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 176.39
  • Stop Loss: 175.9713
  • Take Profit: 177.2274

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 175.9713 - 176.39 = -0.41869999999997

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 176.39 - 177.2274 = -0.8374

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.8374 / -0.41869999999997 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3370.2489 100 19.1068 33.70
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.41869999999997

Taille de position = 8 / -0.41869999999997 = -19.11

Taille de position USD = -19.11 x 176.39 = -3370.81

Donc, tu peux acheter -19.11 avec un stoploss a 175.9713

Avec un position size USD de -3370.81$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -19.11 x -0.41869999999997 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -19.11 x -0.8374 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -19.11
  • Taille de position USD -3370.81
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.47 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.24 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2438 % 102.7 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 177.2274
            [entry_price] => 176.39
            [stop_loss] => 175.92943
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 177.2274
            [entry_price] => 176.39
            [stop_loss] => 175.88756
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-14 07:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 177.2274
            [entry_price] => 176.39
            [stop_loss] => 175.84569
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-14 07:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 177.2274
            [entry_price] => 176.39
            [stop_loss] => 175.76195
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-14 07:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.33
            [max_drawdown] => 0.47999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 2.77
            [high] => 177.72000000
            [low] => 175.91000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.75
            [mae_pct] => 0.27
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.77
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-14T06:10:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-14T08:10:47-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 13.71
            [max_drawdown] => 0.47999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 28.56
            [high] => 190.10000000
            [low] => 175.91000000
            [mfe_pct] => 7.77
            [mae_pct] => 0.27
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 28.56
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-14T06:10:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-14T13:10:47-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 177.85000000
            [high_after] => 190.10000000
            [low_before] => 176.34000000
            [low_after] => 175.91000000
            [is_new_high] => 1
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)