Long Trade on MSTR 14 Jan 2026 at 12:35:41
Take profit at 185.3419 (1.89 %) and Stop Loss at 180.194 (0.94 %)
Long Trade on MSTR 14 Jan 2026 at 12:35:41
Take profit at 185.3419 (1.89 %) and Stop Loss at 180.194 (0.94 %)
Position size of 848.0816 $
Take profit at 185.3419 (1.89 %) and Stop Loss at 180.194 (0.94 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.78 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.44 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.8 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.711894 15m : 0.051859 1H : -0.012899 |
3 |
Indicators:
96104.4
0.00953719
97021
0.711894
95215.5
0.0187698
97002.7
0.051859
92820.4
0.0452549
97021
-0.012899
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 19:00:00
[1] => 158.48
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 20:00:00
[1] => 162.02
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 03:00:00
[1] => 158
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
[1] => 156.19
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
[1] => 163.74
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 20:00:00
[1] => 161.25
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 23:00:00
[1] => 179.62
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 01:00:00
[1] => 175.63
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
[1] => 175.91
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 09:00:00
[1] => 190.1
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.3976854287217
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3141947586834
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.0666249786823
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 15:00:00
[1] => 173.92
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 18:00:00
[1] => 177.76
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 23:30:00
[1] => 179.62
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 01:30:00
[1] => 175.63
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 03:30:00
[1] => 177.85
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 05:15:00
[1] => 177.77
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
[1] => 175.91
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 08:45:00
[1] => 176.57
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 09:45:00
[1] => 190.1
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 12:30:00
[1] => 180.88
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.3976854287217
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.47545333923044
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.0973020787262
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
[1] => 175.91
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 07:35:00
[1] => 177.72
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 08:05:00
[1] => 176.99
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 08:25:00
[1] => 177.87
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 08:55:00
[1] => 176.57
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 09:50:00
[1] => 190.1
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 10:50:00
[1] => 183.44
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 11:10:00
[1] => 187.17
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 11:45:00
[1] => 187.14
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 12:35:00
[1] => 180.88
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.8855402372555
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.47545333923044
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4608580274215
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 07:00:00 | 175.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 07:35:00 | 177.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 08:05:00 | 176.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 08:25:00 | 177.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 08:55:00 | 176.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 09:50:00 | 190.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 10:50:00 | 183.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 11:10:00 | 187.17 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 11:45:00 | 187.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 12:35:00 | 180.88 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 15:00:00 | 173.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 18:00:00 | 177.76 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 23:30:00 | 179.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 01:30:00 | 175.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 03:30:00 | 177.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 05:15:00 | 177.77 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 07:00:00 | 175.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 08:45:00 | 176.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 09:45:00 | 190.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 12:30:00 | 180.88 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 19:00:00 | 158.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 20:00:00 | 162.02 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 03:00:00 | 158 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 09:00:00 | 156.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 15:00:00 | 163.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 20:00:00 | 161.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 23:00:00 | 179.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 01:00:00 | 175.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 07:00:00 | 175.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 09:00:00 | 190.1 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 12:35:41 |
14 Jan 2026 12:55:00 |
19 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 181.91 | 180.194 | 185.3419 | 2 | 133.73 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 180.194 - 181.91 = -1.716
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 181.91 - 185.3419 = -3.4319
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.4319 / -1.716 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 848.0816 | 100 | 4.6621 | 8.48 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.716 = -4.66
Taille de position USD = -4.66 x 181.91 = -847.7
Donc, tu peux acheter -4.66 avec un stoploss a 180.194
Avec un position size USD de -847.7$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4.66 x -1.716 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4.66 x -3.4319 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.89 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.94 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.94 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.05 % | 111.31 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 185.3419
[entry_price] => 181.91
[stop_loss] => 180.0224
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-14 12:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 185.3419
[entry_price] => 181.91
[stop_loss] => 179.8508
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 185.3419
[entry_price] => 181.91
[stop_loss] => 179.6792
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 185.3419
[entry_price] => 181.91
[stop_loss] => 179.336
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.52000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 5.32
[rr_ratio] => 0.1
[high] => 182.43000000
[low] => 176.59000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.29
[mae_pct] => 2.92
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.1
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-14T12:35:41-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-14T14:35:41-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.52000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 5.32
[rr_ratio] => 0.1
[high] => 182.43000000
[low] => 176.59000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.29
[mae_pct] => 2.92
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.1
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-14T12:35:41-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-14T19:35:41-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 190.10000000
[high_after] => 182.43000000
[low_before] => 176.57000000
[low_after] => 176.59000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)