Long Trade on MSTR 14 Jan 2026 at 12:54:20

Take profit at 184.4505 (1.82 %) and Stop Loss at 179.4997 (0.91 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 14 Jan 2026 at 12:54:20

With 4.8477 MSTR at 181.15$ per unit.

Position size of 878.1636 $

Take profit at 184.4505 (1.82 %) and Stop Loss at 179.4997 (0.91 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: -0.03
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.58
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.41
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.64
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed

15m_regime : bull_high

5m_regime : range_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.702034

15m : -0.117108

1H : -0.057688

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 1.10017471
Details
  1. score: 2.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 181.001
  4. ema21 : 177.845
  5. ema50 : 172.126
  6. ema100 : 167.255
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000818734
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0177466
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0332269
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0830761
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.209522
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.253259
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.235091
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.170331
  17. rsi : 0.617267
  18. adx : 0.597677
  19. kc_percentage : 0.761072
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0645613
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.89347
  22. volume_ema1 : 5402912.6812016
  23. volume_ema2 : 1867271.9230136
  24. chop : 20.7779
  25. regime : bull_high_confirmed
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 183.595
  29. ema21 : 182.596
  30. ema50 : 180.179
  31. ema100 : 177.389
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.0133224
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00547215
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0134141
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0212005
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.143492
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.177841
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.128476
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0942495
  42. rsi : 0.491558
  43. adx : 0.360786
  44. kc_percentage : 0.298938
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.042656
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.166372
  47. volume_ema1 : 1103922.218277
  48. volume_ema2 : 946457.35782217
  49. chop : 25.8152
  50. regime : bull_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 182.564
  54. ema21 : 183.568
  55. ema50 : 183.048
  56. ema100 : 181.439
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00774664
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00547065
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00284117
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00159633
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.153005
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0788696
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.00257013
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0198918
  67. rsi : 0.335934
  68. adx : 0.262195
  69. kc_percentage : -0.0618769
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.023416
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.00841758
  72. volume_ema1 : 484268.06737808
  73. volume_ema2 : 480225.72694027
  74. chop : 36.2737
  75. regime : range_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    96139.1
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00869172
  81. 5m_price:
    96974.8
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.702034
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95249.6
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0211769
  86. 15m_price:
    97266.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.117108
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    92819.4
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0447675
  91. 1H_price:
    96974.8
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.057688
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-11 19:00:00
                        [1] => 158.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-11 20:00:00
                        [1] => 162.02
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 03:00:00
                        [1] => 158
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
                        [1] => 156.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
                        [1] => 163.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 20:00:00
                        [1] => 161.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 23:00:00
                        [1] => 179.62
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 01:00:00
                        [1] => 175.63
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
                        [1] => 175.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 09:00:00
                        [1] => 190.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.9710678590216
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.6945597180376
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.0666249786823
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 15:00:00
                        [1] => 173.92
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 18:00:00
                        [1] => 177.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 23:30:00
                        [1] => 179.62
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 01:30:00
                        [1] => 175.63
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 03:30:00
                        [1] => 177.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 05:15:00
                        [1] => 177.77
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
                        [1] => 175.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 08:45:00
                        [1] => 176.57
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 09:45:00
                        [1] => 190.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 12:45:00
                        [1] => 180.65
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.9710678590216
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.2311098809853
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
                        [1] => 175.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 07:35:00
                        [1] => 177.72
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 08:05:00
                        [1] => 176.99
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 08:25:00
                        [1] => 177.87
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 08:55:00
                        [1] => 176.57
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 09:50:00
                        [1] => 190.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 10:50:00
                        [1] => 183.44
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 11:10:00
                        [1] => 187.17
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 11:45:00
                        [1] => 187.14
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 12:50:00
                        [1] => 180.65
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.4679918777386
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.5925823415444
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.47%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
13 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.59%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.5897
2.00%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.6495
3.06%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 07:00:00 175.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 07:35:00 177.72 ↑ High
2026-01-14 08:05:00 176.99 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 08:25:00 177.87 ↑ High
2026-01-14 08:55:00 176.57 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 09:50:00 190.1 ↑ High
2026-01-14 10:50:00 183.44 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 11:10:00 187.17 ↑ High
2026-01-14 11:45:00 187.14 ↑ High
2026-01-14 12:50:00 180.65 ↓ Low
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.97%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
12 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.23%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.8697
2.16%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.6495
3.06%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-13 15:00:00 173.92 ↑ High
2026-01-13 18:00:00 177.76 ↑ High
2026-01-13 23:30:00 179.62 ↑ High
2026-01-14 01:30:00 175.63 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 03:30:00 177.85 ↑ High
2026-01-14 05:15:00 177.77 ↑ High
2026-01-14 07:00:00 175.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 08:45:00 176.57 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 09:45:00 190.1 ↑ High
2026-01-14 12:45:00 180.65 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.97%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.69%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.07%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
23.3097
12.99%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.6495
3.06%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-11 19:00:00 158.48 ↓ Low
2026-01-11 20:00:00 162.02 ↑ High
2026-01-12 03:00:00 158 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 09:00:00 156.19 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 15:00:00 163.74 ↑ High
2026-01-12 20:00:00 161.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-13 23:00:00 179.62 ↑ High
2026-01-14 01:00:00 175.63 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 07:00:00 175.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 09:00:00 190.1 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
14 Jan 2026
12:54:20
14 Jan 2026
13:00:00
5 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
181.15 179.4997 184.4505 2 135.36
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 181.15
  • Stop Loss: 179.4997
  • Take Profit: 184.4505

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 179.4997 - 181.15 = -1.6503

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 181.15 - 184.4505 = -3.3005

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.3005 / -1.6503 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
878.1636 100 4.8477 8.78
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -1.6503

Taille de position = 8 / -1.6503 = -4.85

Taille de position USD = -4.85 x 181.15 = -878.58

Donc, tu peux acheter -4.85 avec un stoploss a 179.4997

Avec un position size USD de -878.58$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -4.85 x -1.6503 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -4.85 x -3.3005 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -4.85
  • Taille de position USD -878.58
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.82 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.91 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.91
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0378 % 113.92 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 184.4505
            [entry_price] => 181.15
            [stop_loss] => 179.33467
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 184.4505
            [entry_price] => 181.15
            [stop_loss] => 179.16964
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-14 13:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 184.4505
            [entry_price] => 181.15
            [stop_loss] => 179.00461
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-14 13:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 184.4505
            [entry_price] => 181.15
            [stop_loss] => 178.67455
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-14 13:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.069999999999993
            [max_drawdown] => 4.56
            [rr_ratio] => -0.02
            [high] => 181.08000000
            [low] => 176.59000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.04
            [mae_pct] => 2.52
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-14T12:54:20-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-14T14:54:20-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.069999999999993
            [max_drawdown] => 4.56
            [rr_ratio] => -0.02
            [high] => 181.08000000
            [low] => 176.59000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.04
            [mae_pct] => 2.52
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-14T12:54:20-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-14T19:54:20-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 190.10000000
            [high_after] => 181.08000000
            [low_before] => 176.57000000
            [low_after] => 176.59000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)