Long Trade on MSTR 14 Jan 2026 at 13:18:12

Take profit at 181.8428 (1.74 %) and Stop Loss at 177.1886 (0.87 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 14 Jan 2026 at 13:18:12

With 5.1566 MSTR at 178.74$ per unit.

Position size of 921.6821 $

Take profit at 181.8428 (1.74 %) and Stop Loss at 177.1886 (0.87 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.36
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.63
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.44
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.65
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bear_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.699167

15m : 0.017605

1H : -0.081257

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.27
  4. atr: 1.03428282
Details
  1. score: 2.27
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 180.37
  4. ema21 : 177.834
  5. ema50 : 172.343
  6. ema100 : 167.46
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00903833
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0142596
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0318597
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0673544
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.179834
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.23489
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.227558
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.167801
  17. rsi : 0.553502
  18. adx : 0.572516
  19. kc_percentage : 0.558705
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0646669
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.14244
  22. volume_ema1 : 3936554.3188566
  23. volume_ema2 : 1837414.8704602
  24. chop : 22.3354
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 181.571
  29. ema21 : 181.768
  30. ema50 : 179.998
  31. ema100 : 177.446
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.0155934
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00108606
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00983195
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.00728922
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0409142
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.079964
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0880961
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0742418
  42. rsi : 0.399352
  43. adx : 0.320851
  44. kc_percentage : 0.0960676
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0426576
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.148843
  47. volume_ema1 : 799603.20142313
  48. volume_ema2 : 939431.21536261
  49. chop : 37.5083
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 180.156
  54. ema21 : 181.853
  55. ema50 : 182.323
  56. ema100 : 181.182
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.0078607
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00933241
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00257738
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.0134797
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.206555
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.136197
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0438377
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00379783
  67. rsi : 0.271093
  68. adx : 0.348224
  69. kc_percentage : -0.267548
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0220483
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.521303
  72. volume_ema1 : 207103.82298024
  73. volume_ema2 : 432641.47648031
  74. chop : 33.8368
  75. regime : bear_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    96217.8
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00597945
  81. 5m_price:
    96793.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.699167
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95309.6
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0155658
  86. 15m_price:
    96793.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.017605
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    92906.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0418361
  91. 1H_price:
    96793.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.081257
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-11 18:00:00
                        [1] => 158.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-11 20:00:00
                        [1] => 162.02
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 03:00:00
                        [1] => 158
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
                        [1] => 156.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
                        [1] => 163.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 20:00:00
                        [1] => 161.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 23:00:00
                        [1] => 179.62
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 01:00:00
                        [1] => 175.63
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
                        [1] => 175.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 09:00:00
                        [1] => 190.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.9863229879011
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5974077653345
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.0666249786823
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 15:00:00
                        [1] => 173.92
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 18:00:00
                        [1] => 177.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 23:30:00
                        [1] => 179.62
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 01:30:00
                        [1] => 175.63
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 03:30:00
                        [1] => 177.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 05:15:00
                        [1] => 177.77
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
                        [1] => 175.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 08:45:00
                        [1] => 176.57
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 09:45:00
                        [1] => 190.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 13:15:00
                        [1] => 178.24
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.9863229879011
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.26929982046678
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.6539497307002
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
                        [1] => 175.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 07:35:00
                        [1] => 177.72
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 08:05:00
                        [1] => 176.99
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 08:25:00
                        [1] => 177.87
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 08:55:00
                        [1] => 176.57
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 09:50:00
                        [1] => 190.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 10:50:00
                        [1] => 183.44
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 11:10:00
                        [1] => 187.17
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 11:45:00
                        [1] => 187.14
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 13:15:00
                        [1] => 178.24
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.4993053329058
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.26929982046678
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 18
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.9932675044883
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.50%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.27%
Bars Since Swing High
18 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.99%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.2786
0.72%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.2572
4.54%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 07:00:00 175.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 07:35:00 177.72 ↑ High
2026-01-14 08:05:00 176.99 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 08:25:00 177.87 ↑ High
2026-01-14 08:55:00 176.57 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 09:50:00 190.1 ↑ High
2026-01-14 10:50:00 183.44 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 11:10:00 187.17 ↑ High
2026-01-14 11:45:00 187.14 ↑ High
2026-01-14 13:15:00 178.24 ↓ Low
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.99%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.27%
Bars Since Swing High
14 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.65%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.5586
0.88%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.2572
4.54%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-13 15:00:00 173.92 ↑ High
2026-01-13 18:00:00 177.76 ↑ High
2026-01-13 23:30:00 179.62 ↑ High
2026-01-14 01:30:00 175.63 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 03:30:00 177.85 ↑ High
2026-01-14 05:15:00 177.77 ↑ High
2026-01-14 07:00:00 175.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 08:45:00 176.57 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 09:45:00 190.1 ↑ High
2026-01-14 13:15:00 178.24 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.99%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.60%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.07%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
20.9986
11.85%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.2572
4.54%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-11 18:00:00 158.48 ↓ Low
2026-01-11 20:00:00 162.02 ↑ High
2026-01-12 03:00:00 158 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 09:00:00 156.19 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 15:00:00 163.74 ↑ High
2026-01-12 20:00:00 161.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-13 23:00:00 179.62 ↑ High
2026-01-14 01:00:00 175.63 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 07:00:00 175.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 09:00:00 190.1 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
14 Jan 2026
13:18:12
14 Jan 2026
13:35:00
16 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
178.74 177.1886 181.8428 2 134.05
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 178.74
  • Stop Loss: 177.1886
  • Take Profit: 181.8428

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 177.1886 - 178.74 = -1.5514

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 178.74 - 181.8428 = -3.1028

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.1028 / -1.5514 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
921.6821 100 5.1566 9.22
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -1.5514

Taille de position = 8 / -1.5514 = -5.16

Taille de position USD = -5.16 x 178.74 = -922.3

Donc, tu peux acheter -5.16 avec un stoploss a 177.1886

Avec un position size USD de -922.3$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -5.16 x -1.5514 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -5.16 x -3.1028 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -5.16
  • Taille de position USD -922.3
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.74 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.87 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.87
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.2029 % 138.58 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 181.8428
            [entry_price] => 178.74
            [stop_loss] => 177.03346
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-14 13:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 181.8428
            [entry_price] => 178.74
            [stop_loss] => 176.87832
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-14 13:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 181.8428
            [entry_price] => 178.74
            [stop_loss] => 176.72318
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-14 13:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.09
            [max_drawdown] => 2.15
            [rr_ratio] => 0.97
            [high] => 180.83000000
            [low] => 176.59000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.17
            [mae_pct] => 1.2
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.97
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-14T13:18:12-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-14T15:18:12-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.09
            [max_drawdown] => 2.15
            [rr_ratio] => 0.97
            [high] => 180.83000000
            [low] => 176.59000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.17
            [mae_pct] => 1.2
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.97
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-14T13:18:12-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-14T20:18:12-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 190.10000000
            [high_after] => 180.83000000
            [low_before] => 177.96000000
            [low_after] => 176.59000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)