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Short Trade on QQQ

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Short Trade on QQQ 14 Jan 2026 at 16:00:41

Take profit at 618.1013 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 621.5194 (0.18 %)

Short Trade on QQQ

The 14 Jan 2026 at 16:00:41

With 7.0215 QQQ at 620.38$ per unit.

Position size of 4355.9713 $

Take profit at 618.1013 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 621.5194 (0.18 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 6.99
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.68
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.45
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.64
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_low

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.31988

15m : 0.100274

1H : 0.076346

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.7595764823
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 619.732
  4. ema21 : 621.965
  5. ema50 : 624.445
  6. ema100 : 625.962
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00104552
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00359158
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00397045
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00891866
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0927632
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.066961
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0371768
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0213806
  17. rsi : 0.414562
  18. adx : 0.310277
  19. kc_percentage : 0.323933
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0131351
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.120603
  22. volume_ema1 : 299832.82164383
  23. volume_ema2 : 267563.78372586
  24. chop : 24.3868
  25. regime : bear_low
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 618.862
  28. ema21 : 618.818
  29. ema50 : 620.676
  30. ema100 : 622.622
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00245246
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 7.09804E-5
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00299352
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00360112
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0180352
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.00813265
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0192591
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0157555
  41. rsi : 0.57255
  42. adx : 0.369355
  43. kc_percentage : 0.800131
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00863758
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.268287
  46. volume_ema1 : 62314.752694925
  47. volume_ema2 : 85162.842968192
  48. chop : 49.3428
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 619.383
  52. ema21 : 618.72
  53. ema50 : 618.45
  54. ema100 : 619.424
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00160836
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00107162
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000437005
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00154294
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0227816
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0162652
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00605243
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00103505
  65. rsi : 0.65444
  66. adx : 0.165636
  67. kc_percentage : 1.02724
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0049512
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.55422
  70. volume_ema1 : 15562.844502745
  71. volume_ema2 : 34911.501640805
  72. chop : 35.5741
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    96705.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00875022
  78. 5m_price: 
    97551.4
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.31988
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    95812.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.018145
  83. 15m_price: 
    97551.4
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.100274
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    93160.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0471307
  88. 1H_price: 
    97551.4
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.076346
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-11 19:00:00
                    [1] => 628.88
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-12 00:00:00
                    [1] => 621.97
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-12 03:00:00
                    [1] => 621.97
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 630.61
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-12 22:00:00
                    [1] => 626.84
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-13 08:00:00
                    [1] => 631.03
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-13 15:00:00
                    [1] => 624.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-13 22:00:00
                    [1] => 628.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
                    [1] => 615.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 16:00:00
                    [1] => 620.7
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.098276139842116
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.73264238604243
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.83173592384418
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-13 20:00:00
                    [1] => 627.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-13 21:00:00
                    [1] => 626.53
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-13 22:45:00
                    [1] => 628.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 01:30:00
                    [1] => 626.18
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 04:00:00
                    [1] => 627.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
                    [1] => 623.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 08:00:00
                    [1] => 624.94
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 11:45:00
                    [1] => 615.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 13:30:00
                    [1] => 615.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 16:00:00
                    [1] => 620.7
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.074109875946518
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.7570096494363
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.83173592384418
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 10:15:00
                    [1] => 622.26
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 10:50:00
                    [1] => 616.99
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 11:30:00
                    [1] => 619.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 11:55:00
                    [1] => 615.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 12:45:00
                    [1] => 617.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 12:55:00
                    [1] => 615.91
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 13:35:00
                    [1] => 615.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 13:55:00
                    [1] => 618.11
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 15:00:00
                    [1] => 616.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 16:00:00
                    [1] => 620.7
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.65024566638019
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.65024566638019
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.65%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.65%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.7406
0.12%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5213
0.41%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 10:15:00 622.26 ↑ High
2026-01-14 10:50:00 616.99 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 11:30:00 619.52 ↑ High
2026-01-14 11:55:00 615.86 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 12:45:00 617.64 ↑ High
2026-01-14 12:55:00 615.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 13:35:00 615.58 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 13:55:00 618.11 ↑ High
2026-01-14 15:00:00 616.69 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 16:00:00 620.7 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.76%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.83%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.5506
1.05%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5213
0.41%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-13 20:00:00 627.96 ↑ High
2026-01-13 21:00:00 626.53 ↓ Low
2026-01-13 22:45:00 628.07 ↑ High
2026-01-14 01:30:00 626.18 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 04:00:00 627.14 ↑ High
2026-01-14 07:00:00 623.16 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 08:00:00 624.94 ↑ High
2026-01-14 11:45:00 615.86 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 13:30:00 615.58 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 16:00:00 620.7 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.73%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.83%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.5106
1.53%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5213
0.41%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-11 19:00:00 628.88 ↑ High
2026-01-12 00:00:00 621.97 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 03:00:00 621.97 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 15:00:00 630.61 ↑ High
2026-01-12 22:00:00 626.84 ↓ Low
2026-01-13 08:00:00 631.03 ↑ High
2026-01-13 15:00:00 624.7 ↓ Low
2026-01-13 22:00:00 628.07 ↑ High
2026-01-14 13:00:00 615.58 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 16:00:00 620.7 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
14 Jan 2026
16:00:41		 15 Jan 2026
01:15:00		 9 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
620.38 621.5194 618.1013 2 607
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 620.38
  • Stop Loss: 621.5194
  • Take Profit: 618.1013

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 621.5194 - 620.38 = 1.1394

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 620.38 - 618.1013 = 2.2787

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.2787 / 1.1394 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4355.9713 100 7.0215 43.56
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.1394

Taille de position = 8 / 1.1394 = 7.02

Taille de position USD = 7.02 x 620.38 = 4355.07

Donc, tu peux acheter 7.02 avec un stoploss a 621.5194

Avec un position size USD de 4355.07$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 7.02 x 1.1394 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 7.02 x 2.2787 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 7.02
  • Taille de position USD 4355.07
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.37 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.18 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.18
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2176 % 118.45 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.8099999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.32000000000005
            [rr_ratio] => 5.66
            [high] => 620.70000000
            [low] => 618.57000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.29
            [mae_pct] => 0.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.66
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-14T16:00:41-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-14T18:00:41-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.8099999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.32000000000005
            [rr_ratio] => 5.66
            [high] => 620.70000000
            [low] => 618.57000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.29
            [mae_pct] => 0.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.66
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-14T16:00:41-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-14T23:00:41-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 620.70000000
            [high_after] => 620.70000000
            [low_before] => 615.58000000
            [low_after] => 618.57000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)