Short Trade on BARD 14 Jan 2026 at 18:03:15
Take profit at 0.7307 (4.21 %) and Stop Loss at 0.7789 (2.11 %)
Short Trade on BARD 14 Jan 2026 at 18:03:15
Take profit at 0.7307 (4.21 %) and Stop Loss at 0.7789 (2.11 %)
Position size of 380.1486 $
Take profit at 0.7307 (4.21 %) and Stop Loss at 0.7789 (2.11 %)
That's a 1.99 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.89 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.68 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.59 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.022683 15m : 0.068513 1H : 0.003504 |
0 |
Indicators:
97116.2
-0.00301203
96823.7
-0.022683
96149.4
0.00701214
96823.7
0.068513
93301.2
0.0377537
96823.7
0.003504
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 07:00:00
[1] => 0.809
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 17:00:00
[1] => 0.7888
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 22:00:00
[1] => 0.8319
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
[1] => 0.7902
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 17:00:00
[1] => 0.7741
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 01:00:00
[1] => 0.7977
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 12:00:00
[1] => 0.7824
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 21:00:00
[1] => 0.8314
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 12:00:00
[1] => 0.813
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
[1] => 0.4453
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.7527675276753
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 70.244778800808
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 82.573545924096
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 02:30:00
[1] => 0.808
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 06:15:00
[1] => 0.8002
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 07:15:00
[1] => 0.8078
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 08:45:00
[1] => 0.7978
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 11:00:00
[1] => 0.8092
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 12:45:00
[1] => 0.813
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
[1] => 0.4453
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 16:30:00
[1] => 0.7828
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 17:45:00
[1] => 0.7354
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 18:00:00
[1] => 0.7676
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2376237623762
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.086755507207
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.378569485994
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 10:50:00
[1] => 0.8006
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 11:10:00
[1] => 0.8092
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 12:45:00
[1] => 0.813
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 13:05:00
[1] => 0.4453
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 13:55:00
[1] => 0.5959
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 15:05:00
[1] => 0.6903
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 16:30:00
[1] => 0.7828
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 17:10:00
[1] => 0.7429
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 17:45:00
[1] => 0.7354
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 18:00:00
[1] => 0.7676
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2376237623762
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.086755507207
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.378569485994
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 10:50:00 | 0.8006 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 11:10:00 | 0.8092 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 12:45:00 | 0.813 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 13:05:00 | 0.4453 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 13:55:00 | 0.5959 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 15:05:00 | 0.6903 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 16:30:00 | 0.7828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 17:10:00 | 0.7429 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 17:45:00 | 0.7354 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 18:00:00 | 0.7676 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 02:30:00 | 0.808 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 06:15:00 | 0.8002 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 07:15:00 | 0.8078 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 08:45:00 | 0.7978 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 11:00:00 | 0.8092 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 12:45:00 | 0.813 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 13:00:00 | 0.4453 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 16:30:00 | 0.7828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 17:45:00 | 0.7354 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 18:00:00 | 0.7676 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 07:00:00 | 0.809 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 17:00:00 | 0.7888 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 22:00:00 | 0.8319 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 09:00:00 | 0.7902 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 17:00:00 | 0.7741 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 01:00:00 | 0.7977 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 12:00:00 | 0.7824 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 21:00:00 | 0.8314 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 12:00:00 | 0.813 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 13:00:00 | 0.4453 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 18:03:15 |
14 Jan 2026 22:35:00 |
4 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7628 | 0.7789 | 0.7307 | 1.99 | 0.8213 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7789 - 0.7628 = 0.0161
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7628 - 0.7307 = 0.0321
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0321 / 0.0161 = 1.9938
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 380.1486 | 100 | 498.3595 | 3.80 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0161 = 496.89
Taille de position USD = 496.89 x 0.7628 = 379.03
Donc, tu peux acheter 496.89 avec un stoploss a 0.7789
Avec un position size USD de 379.03$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 496.89 x 0.0161 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 496.89 x 0.0321 = 15.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.95$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.21 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.11 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -2.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -6.2139 % | 294.41 % | 6 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7307
[entry_price] => 0.7628
[stop_loss] => 0.78051
[rr_ratio] => 1.81
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-14 22:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7307
[entry_price] => 0.7628
[stop_loss] => 0.78212
[rr_ratio] => 1.66
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-14 22:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7307
[entry_price] => 0.7628
[stop_loss] => 0.78373
[rr_ratio] => 1.53
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-14 22:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7307
[entry_price] => 0.7628
[stop_loss] => 0.78695
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-14 22:35:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0218
[max_drawdown] => 0.0085999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 2.53
[high] => 0.77140000
[low] => 0.74100000
[mfe_pct] => 2.86
[mae_pct] => 1.13
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.53
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-14T18:03:15-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-14T20:03:15-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.03
[max_drawdown] => 0.0622
[rr_ratio] => 0.48
[high] => 0.82500000
[low] => 0.73280000
[mfe_pct] => 3.93
[mae_pct] => 8.15
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.48
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-14T18:03:15-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-15T01:03:15-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.78280000
[high_after] => 0.82500000
[low_before] => 0.60580000
[low_after] => 0.73280000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)