Short Trade on AMZN 15 Jan 2026 at 01:41:12
Take profit at 237.4836 (0.2 %) and Stop Loss at 238.1982 (0.1 %)
Short Trade on AMZN 15 Jan 2026 at 01:41:12
Take profit at 237.4836 (0.2 %) and Stop Loss at 238.1982 (0.1 %)
Position size of 7991.4051 $
Take profit at 237.4836 (0.2 %) and Stop Loss at 238.1982 (0.1 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.57 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.48 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.92 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.025123 15m : -0.004789 1H : -0.036418 |
0 |
Indicators:
96503.9
-0.00314818
96200.1
-0.025123
96205.1
0.00112361
96313.2
-0.004789
93715.9
0.0265069
96200.1
-0.036418
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 18:00:00
[1] => 247.85
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 20:00:00
[1] => 247.85
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 03:00:00
[1] => 244.8
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 14:00:00
[1] => 249.08
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 20:00:00
[1] => 245.37
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 08:00:00
[1] => 247.9
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 14:00:00
[1] => 240.7
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 09:00:00
[1] => 242.8
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
[1] => 236.43
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 01:00:00
[1] => 237.99
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.012605571662675
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.64712599923868
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.65981474432179
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 15:00:00
[1] => 238.15
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 15:45:00
[1] => 236.47
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 17:45:00
[1] => 237.37
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 18:45:00
[1] => 237.37
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 19:45:00
[1] => 236.67
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 20:15:00
[1] => 236.67
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 20:45:00
[1] => 236.67
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 22:30:00
[1] => 237.22
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 23:00:00
[1] => 236.76
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 01:15:00
[1] => 237.99
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.012605571662675
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.50684237202231
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.51951343132287
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 23:10:00
[1] => 236.76
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 23:20:00
[1] => 236.76
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 23:30:00
[1] => 237.12
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 23:50:00
[1] => 236.81
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 00:00:00
[1] => 236.81
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 00:10:00
[1] => 236.81
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 00:20:00
[1] => 236.81
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 00:30:00
[1] => 236.81
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 01:20:00
[1] => 237.99
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 01:30:00
[1] => 237.99
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.012605571662675
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.48562138423209
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 23:10:00 | 236.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 23:20:00 | 236.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 23:30:00 | 237.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 23:50:00 | 236.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 00:00:00 | 236.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 00:10:00 | 236.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 00:20:00 | 236.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 00:30:00 | 236.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 01:20:00 | 237.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 01:30:00 | 237.99 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 15:00:00 | 238.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 15:45:00 | 236.47 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 17:45:00 | 237.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 18:45:00 | 237.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 19:45:00 | 236.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 20:15:00 | 236.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 20:45:00 | 236.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 22:30:00 | 237.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 23:00:00 | 236.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 01:15:00 | 237.99 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 18:00:00 | 247.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 20:00:00 | 247.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 03:00:00 | 244.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 14:00:00 | 249.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 20:00:00 | 245.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 08:00:00 | 247.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 14:00:00 | 240.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 09:00:00 | 242.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 13:00:00 | 236.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 01:00:00 | 237.99 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 01:41:12 |
15 Jan 2026 02:15:00 |
33 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 237.96 | 238.1982 | 237.4836 | 2 | 206.54 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 238.1982 - 237.96 = 0.23820000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 237.96 - 237.4836 = 0.47640000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.47640000000001 / 0.23820000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7991.4051 | 100 | 33.583 | 79.91 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.23820000000001 = 33.59
Taille de position USD = 33.59 x 237.96 = 7993.08
Donc, tu peux acheter 33.59 avec un stoploss a 238.1982
Avec un position size USD de 7993.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 33.59 x 0.23820000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 33.59 x 0.47640000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.2 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.1 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1807 % | 180.52 % | 3 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 237.4836
[entry_price] => 237.96
[stop_loss] => 238.22202
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 02:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 237.4836
[entry_price] => 237.96
[stop_loss] => 238.24584
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 02:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 237.4836
[entry_price] => 237.96
[stop_loss] => 238.26966
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 02:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 237.4836
[entry_price] => 237.96
[stop_loss] => 238.3173
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 02:15:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.65000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 0.42999999999998
[rr_ratio] => 1.51
[high] => 238.39000000
[low] => 237.31000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.27
[mae_pct] => 0.18
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.51
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-15T01:41:12-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-15T03:41:12-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.65000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 2.2
[rr_ratio] => 0.3
[high] => 240.16000000
[low] => 237.31000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.27
[mae_pct] => 0.92
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.3
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-15T01:41:12-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-15T08:41:12-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 237.99000000
[high_after] => 238.79000000
[low_before] => 236.76000000
[low_after] => 237.31000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)