Short Trade on SPX 15 Jan 2026 at 02:48:18

Take profit at 0.5901 (0.99 %) and Stop Loss at 0.5989 (0.49 %)

Short Trade on SPX

The 15 Jan 2026 at 02:48:18

With 2719.9959 SPX at 0.596$ per unit.

Position size of 1621.1175 $

Take profit at 0.5901 (0.99 %) and Stop Loss at 0.5989 (0.49 %)

That's a 2.03 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -70
ML Pullback Score: 2.62
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.58
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.73
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.77
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.767966

15m : -0.145933

1H : -0.12782

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.17
  4. atr: 0.001960787286
Details
  1. score: 1.17
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.593835
  4. ema21 : 0.603179
  5. ema50 : 0.605414
  6. ema100 : 0.60083
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00364526
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0154922
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00369099
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00803975
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.415385
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.231796
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0681196
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.00990203
  17. rsi : 0.448681
  18. adx : 0.24838
  19. kc_percentage : 0.35415
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0774138
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.466518
  22. volume_ema1 : 71903.18683956
  23. volume_ema2 : 134780.94156988
  24. chop : 40.6314
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.590624
  29. ema21 : 0.589883
  30. ema50 : 0.598165
  31. ema100 : 0.60677
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00910064
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00125691
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.013846
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0177507
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.118663
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0211209
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0845486
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0698424
  42. rsi : 0.574387
  43. adx : 0.297298
  44. kc_percentage : 0.925258
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0248836
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.58415
  47. volume_ema1 : 11765.844594384
  48. volume_ema2 : 28293.52367114
  49. chop : 43.4918
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.593848
  54. ema21 : 0.590426
  55. ema50 : 0.588502
  56. ema100 : 0.592087
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00362228
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00579722
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00326802
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00660859
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.116999
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0822544
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0343901
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.000299399
  67. rsi : 0.688682
  68. adx : 0.410651
  69. kc_percentage : 1.17275
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0133844
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.143971
  72. volume_ema1 : 4881.8395788747
  73. volume_ema2 : 5702.8920877002
  74. chop : 22.5695
  75. regime : bull_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    96415.9
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00144639
  81. 5m_price:
    96555.4
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.767966
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    96227.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00341103
  86. 15m_price:
    96555.4
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.145933
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    93779.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0295948
  91. 1H_price:
    96555.4
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.12782
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
                        [1] => 0.5703
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.5978
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 16:00:00
                        [1] => 0.5656
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 00:00:00
                        [1] => 0.6054
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 10:00:00
                        [1] => 0.5898
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.6212
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 17:00:00
                        [1] => 0.6379
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 08:00:00
                        [1] => 0.6022
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.6561
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                        [1] => 0.5736
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -9.1601889955799
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.905160390516
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 15
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 14.382845188285
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 01:30:00
                        [1] => 0.6139
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 03:15:00
                        [1] => 0.6277
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 05:15:00
                        [1] => 0.624
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 08:45:00
                        [1] => 0.6022
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 11:30:00
                        [1] => 0.6561
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 13:45:00
                        [1] => 0.615
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 14:30:00
                        [1] => 0.6373
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 17:30:00
                        [1] => 0.6096
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 22:30:00
                        [1] => 0.5736
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 02:30:00
                        [1] => 0.598
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33444816053512
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.905160390516
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 17
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.2538354253835
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 18:45:00
                        [1] => 0.6166
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 19:50:00
                        [1] => 0.6027
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 20:00:00
                        [1] => 0.6109
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 22:35:00
                        [1] => 0.5736
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 23:20:00
                        [1] => 0.5828
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 23:50:00
                        [1] => 0.5782
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 00:00:00
                        [1] => 0.5829
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 01:15:00
                        [1] => 0.588
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 01:45:00
                        [1] => 0.5838
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 02:40:00
                        [1] => 0.598
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33444816053512
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0897567660158
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4323398424118
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.33%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.09%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.43%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0177
2.96%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0165
2.80%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 18:45:00 0.6166 ↑ High
2026-01-14 19:50:00 0.6027 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 20:00:00 0.6109 ↑ High
2026-01-14 22:35:00 0.5736 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 23:20:00 0.5828 ↑ High
2026-01-14 23:50:00 0.5782 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 00:00:00 0.5829 ↑ High
2026-01-15 01:15:00 0.588 ↑ High
2026-01-15 01:45:00 0.5838 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 02:40:00 0.598 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.33%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.91%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
17 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.25%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0572
9.55%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0165
2.80%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 01:30:00 0.6139 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 03:15:00 0.6277 ↑ High
2026-01-14 05:15:00 0.624 ↑ High
2026-01-14 08:45:00 0.6022 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 11:30:00 0.6561 ↑ High
2026-01-14 13:45:00 0.615 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 14:30:00 0.6373 ↑ High
2026-01-14 17:30:00 0.6096 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 22:30:00 0.5736 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 02:30:00 0.598 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-9.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.91%
Bars Since Swing High
15 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
14.38%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0572
9.55%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0245
4.15%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-12 09:00:00 0.5703 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 11:00:00 0.5978 ↑ High
2026-01-12 16:00:00 0.5656 ↓ Low
2026-01-13 00:00:00 0.6054 ↑ High
2026-01-13 10:00:00 0.5898 ↓ Low
2026-01-13 11:00:00 0.6212 ↑ High
2026-01-13 17:00:00 0.6379 ↑ High
2026-01-14 08:00:00 0.6022 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 11:00:00 0.6561 ↑ High
2026-01-14 22:00:00 0.5736 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Jan 2026
02:48:18
15 Jan 2026
03:05:00
16 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.596 0.5989 0.5901 2.03 0.3267
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.596
  • Stop Loss: 0.5989
  • Take Profit: 0.5901

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5989 - 0.596 = 0.0029

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.596 - 0.5901 = 0.0059

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0059 / 0.0029 = 2.0345

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1621.1175 100 2719.9959 16.21
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0029

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0029 = 2758.62

Taille de position USD = 2758.62 x 0.596 = 1644.14

Donc, tu peux acheter 2758.62 avec un stoploss a 0.5989

Avec un position size USD de 1644.14$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2758.62 x 0.0029 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2758.62 x 0.0059 = 16.28

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.28$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2758.62
  • Taille de position USD 1644.14
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.28
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0345

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.99 % 16.05 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.49 % 7.89 $
PNL PNL %
-7.89 $ -0.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5369 % 110.34 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5901
            [entry_price] => 0.596
            [stop_loss] => 0.59919
            [rr_ratio] => 1.85
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 03:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5901
            [entry_price] => 0.596
            [stop_loss] => 0.59948
            [rr_ratio] => 1.7
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 03:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5901
            [entry_price] => 0.596
            [stop_loss] => 0.59977
            [rr_ratio] => 1.56
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 03:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5901
            [entry_price] => 0.596
            [stop_loss] => 0.60035
            [rr_ratio] => 1.36
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 03:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0099
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0051
            [rr_ratio] => 1.94
            [high] => 0.60110000
            [low] => 0.58610000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.66
            [mae_pct] => 0.86
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.94
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-15T02:48:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-15T04:48:18-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0135
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0076000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 1.78
            [high] => 0.60360000
            [low] => 0.58250000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.27
            [mae_pct] => 1.28
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.78
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-15T02:48:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-15T09:48:18-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.59800000
            [high_after] => 0.60360000
            [low_before] => 0.57440000
            [low_after] => 0.58610000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)