Long Trade on MSTR 15 Jan 2026 at 07:02:56

Take profit at 180.4273 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 179.0813 (0.25 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 15 Jan 2026 at 07:02:56

With 17.8311 MSTR at 179.53$ per unit.

Position size of 3201.2176 $

Take profit at 180.4273 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 179.0813 (0.25 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.51
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.67
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.49
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.73
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.448759

15m : 0.071429

1H : -0.068752

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.23
  4. atr: 0.2991028592
Details
  1. score: 2.23
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 179.347
  4. ema21 : 178.637
  5. ema50 : 175.551
  6. ema100 : 170.804
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0010203
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00396929
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0175835
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0510819
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.0197032
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.0244534
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.0908571
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.103472
  17. rsi : 0.548237
  18. adx : 0.27693
  19. kc_percentage : 0.623526
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0371198
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.912407
  22. volume_ema1 : 92111.431394217
  23. volume_ema2 : 1051587.2519525
  24. chop : 51.9413
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 180.198
  29. ema21 : 179.697
  30. ema50 : 179.014
  31. ema100 : 178.702
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00370772
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00278374
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00381744
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.00462985
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0859334
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0819098
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0454843
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0242899
  42. rsi : 0.506735
  43. adx : 0.258572
  44. kc_percentage : 0.414129
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0138499
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.826857
  47. volume_ema1 : 16432.268822438
  48. volume_ema2 : 94906.085248242
  49. chop : 28.335
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 180.19
  54. ema21 : 180.371
  55. ema50 : 179.89
  56. ema100 : 178.918
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00366718
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00100182
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00267519
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00341684
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0310666
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0102633
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0122612
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0179538
  67. rsi : 0.350949
  68. adx : 0.187552
  69. kc_percentage : -0.225371
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00647051
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.389974
  72. volume_ema1 : 6252.774692827
  73. volume_ema2 : 10250.015165978
  74. chop : 40.0813
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    96497.5
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000416737
  81. 5m_price:
    96537.8
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.448759
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    96345.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00199533
  86. 15m_price:
    96537.8
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.071429
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94049.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0264609
  91. 1H_price:
    96537.8
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.068752
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 03:00:00
                        [1] => 158
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
                        [1] => 156.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
                        [1] => 163.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 20:00:00
                        [1] => 161.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 23:00:00
                        [1] => 179.62
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 01:00:00
                        [1] => 175.63
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
                        [1] => 175.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 09:00:00
                        [1] => 190.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                        [1] => 175.21
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 182.31
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.5248752125501
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4656126933394
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.0522801209977
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
                        [1] => 175.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 08:45:00
                        [1] => 176.57
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 09:45:00
                        [1] => 190.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 13:30:00
                        [1] => 176.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 15:00:00
                        [1] => 180.83
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 17:30:00
                        [1] => 177.94
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 22:45:00
                        [1] => 175.21
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:45:00
                        [1] => 182.31
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 07:00:00
                        [1] => 179.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.5248752125501
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.039005906608711
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.588097626212
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 00:40:00
                        [1] => 177.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 01:10:00
                        [1] => 176.63
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 01:55:00
                        [1] => 177.02
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 03:05:00
                        [1] => 178.91
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 03:40:00
                        [1] => 177.79
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:50:00
                        [1] => 182.31
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 05:15:00
                        [1] => 180.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 06:15:00
                        [1] => 180.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 06:30:00
                        [1] => 180.97
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 07:00:00
                        [1] => 179.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.7957119964635
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.039005906608711
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.8414131282737
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.80%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.04%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.84%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.4513
1.37%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.8827
1.04%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 00:40:00 177.43 ↑ High
2026-01-15 01:10:00 176.63 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 01:55:00 177.02 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 03:05:00 178.91 ↑ High
2026-01-15 03:40:00 177.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:50:00 182.31 ↑ High
2026-01-15 05:15:00 180.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 06:15:00 180.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 06:30:00 180.97 ↑ High
2026-01-15 07:00:00 179.46 ↓ Low
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.52%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.04%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.59%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.8713
2.16%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.6727
5.36%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 07:00:00 175.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 08:45:00 176.57 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 09:45:00 190.1 ↑ High
2026-01-14 13:30:00 176.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 15:00:00 180.83 ↑ High
2026-01-14 17:30:00 177.94 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 22:45:00 175.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:45:00 182.31 ↑ High
2026-01-15 07:00:00 179.46 ↓ Low
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.52%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.47%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.05%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
22.8913
12.78%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.6727
5.36%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-12 03:00:00 158 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 09:00:00 156.19 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 15:00:00 163.74 ↑ High
2026-01-12 20:00:00 161.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-13 23:00:00 179.62 ↑ High
2026-01-14 01:00:00 175.63 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 07:00:00 175.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 09:00:00 190.1 ↑ High
2026-01-14 22:00:00 175.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 182.31 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Jan 2026
07:02:56
15 Jan 2026
07:25:00
22 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
179.53 179.0813 180.4273 2 134.45
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 179.53
  • Stop Loss: 179.0813
  • Take Profit: 180.4273

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 179.0813 - 179.53 = -0.4487

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 179.53 - 180.4273 = -0.8973

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.8973 / -0.4487 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3201.2176 100 17.8311 32.01
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.4487

Taille de position = 8 / -0.4487 = -17.83

Taille de position USD = -17.83 x 179.53 = -3201.02

Donc, tu peux acheter -17.83 avec un stoploss a 179.0813

Avec un position size USD de -3201.02$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -17.83 x -0.4487 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -17.83 x -0.8973 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -17.83
  • Taille de position USD -3201.02
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.5 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.25
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2562 % 102.52 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 180.4273
            [entry_price] => 179.53
            [stop_loss] => 179.03643
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 07:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 180.4273
            [entry_price] => 179.53
            [stop_loss] => 178.99156
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 07:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 180.4273
            [entry_price] => 179.53
            [stop_loss] => 178.94669
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 07:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 180.4273
            [entry_price] => 179.53
            [stop_loss] => 178.85695
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 07:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.63
            [max_drawdown] => 1.22
            [rr_ratio] => 0.52
            [high] => 180.16000000
            [low] => 178.31000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.35
            [mae_pct] => 0.68
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.52
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-15T07:02:56-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-15T09:02:56-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.27
            [max_drawdown] => 8.32
            [rr_ratio] => 0.15
            [high] => 180.80000000
            [low] => 171.21000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.71
            [mae_pct] => 4.63
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.15
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-15T07:02:56-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-15T14:02:56-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 182.31000000
            [high_after] => 180.80000000
            [low_before] => 177.79000000
            [low_after] => 171.21000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)