Short Trade on AAVE 15 Jan 2026 at 18:19:58
Take profit at 170.3331 (0.67 %) and Stop Loss at 172.0685 (0.34 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 15 Jan 2026 at 18:19:58
Take profit at 170.3331 (0.67 %) and Stop Loss at 172.0685 (0.34 %)
Position size of 2371.6698 $
Take profit at 170.3331 (0.67 %) and Stop Loss at 172.0685 (0.34 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.82 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.81 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.6 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.863562 15m : -0.125977 1H : 0.020609 |
0 |
Indicators:
95750.6
-0.00104287
95650.8
0.863562
96243.3
-0.00615665
95650.8
-0.125977
94427.5
0.012954
95650.8
0.020609
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 22:00:00
[1] => 171.42
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
[1] => 160.75
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
[1] => 167.52
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 06:00:00
[1] => 168.91
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 17:00:00
[1] => 179.93
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 08:00:00
[1] => 174.06
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 14:00:00
[1] => 180.33
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
[1] => 172
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
[1] => 178.46
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
[1] => 169
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.8944301243976
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4852071005917
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.5976331360947
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 02:30:00
[1] => 175.95
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 04:30:00
[1] => 178.46
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 05:45:00
[1] => 173.83
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 09:00:00
[1] => 176.71
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 10:45:00
[1] => 170.62
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 12:30:00
[1] => 174.37
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
[1] => 169.18
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
[1] => 171.06
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:45:00
[1] => 169
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 18:15:00
[1] => 171.51
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4852071005917
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4852071005917
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 13:10:00
[1] => 170.52
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
[1] => 169.18
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 14:40:00
[1] => 169.25
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:05:00
[1] => 171.06
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:45:00
[1] => 169
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 16:30:00
[1] => 169.88
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 16:45:00
[1] => 170.86
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 17:30:00
[1] => 171.37
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 18:05:00
[1] => 170.44
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 18:15:00
[1] => 171.51
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.62778690448251
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.62778690448251
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 13:10:00 | 170.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 14:00:00 | 169.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 14:40:00 | 169.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 15:05:00 | 171.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:45:00 | 169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 16:30:00 | 169.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 16:45:00 | 170.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 17:30:00 | 171.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 18:05:00 | 170.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 18:15:00 | 171.51 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 02:30:00 | 175.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 04:30:00 | 178.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 05:45:00 | 173.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 09:00:00 | 176.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 10:45:00 | 170.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 12:30:00 | 174.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 14:00:00 | 169.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 15:00:00 | 171.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:45:00 | 169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 18:15:00 | 171.51 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 22:00:00 | 171.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 09:00:00 | 160.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 15:00:00 | 167.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 06:00:00 | 168.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 17:00:00 | 179.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 08:00:00 | 174.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 14:00:00 | 180.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 22:00:00 | 172 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 04:00:00 | 178.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:00:00 | 169 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 18:19:58 |
15 Jan 2026 19:30:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 171.49 | 172.0685 | 170.3331 | 2 | 109.27 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 172.0685 - 171.49 = 0.57849999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 171.49 - 170.3331 = 1.1569
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.1569 / 0.57849999999999 = 1.9998
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2371.6698 | 100 | 13.8298 | 23.72 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.57849999999999 = 13.83
Taille de position USD = 13.83 x 171.49 = 2371.71
Donc, tu peux acheter 13.83 avec un stoploss a 172.0685
Avec un position size USD de 2371.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 13.83 x 0.57849999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 13.83 x 1.1569 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.67 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.34 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4373 % | 129.65 % | 6 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 170.3331
[entry_price] => 171.49
[stop_loss] => 172.12635
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 19:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 170.3331
[entry_price] => 171.49
[stop_loss] => 172.1842
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 19:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 170.3331
[entry_price] => 171.49
[stop_loss] => 172.24205
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 19:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 170.3331
[entry_price] => 171.49
[stop_loss] => 172.35775
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 19:35:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.38
[max_drawdown] => 1.17
[rr_ratio] => 0.32
[high] => 172.66000000
[low] => 171.11000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.22
[mae_pct] => 0.68
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.32
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-15T18:19:58-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-15T20:19:58-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.55
[max_drawdown] => 1.17
[rr_ratio] => 1.32
[high] => 172.66000000
[low] => 169.94000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.9
[mae_pct] => 0.68
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.32
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-15T18:19:58-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T01:19:58-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 171.51000000
[high_after] => 172.66000000
[low_before] => 169.00000000
[low_after] => 169.94000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)