Short Trade on BCH 15 Jan 2026 at 19:08:05
Take profit at 588.7444 (0.76 %) and Stop Loss at 595.4728 (0.38 %)
Short Trade on BCH 15 Jan 2026 at 19:08:05
Take profit at 588.7444 (0.76 %) and Stop Loss at 595.4728 (0.38 %)
Position size of 2116.0125 $
Take profit at 588.7444 (0.76 %) and Stop Loss at 595.4728 (0.38 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.6 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.43 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.74 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.498673 15m : 0.057902 1H : -0.147426 |
0 |
Indicators:
95663.9
-0.000379929
95627.6
0.498673
96197.5
-0.00592472
95627.6
0.057902
94457.1
0.012391
95627.6
-0.147426
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 10:00:00
[1] => 605.66
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 11:00:00
[1] => 618.69
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 18:00:00
[1] => 624.44
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 19:00:00
[1] => 610.43
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 08:00:00
[1] => 593.63
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 11:00:00
[1] => 612.31
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 20:00:00
[1] => 586
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
[1] => 629.61
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
[1] => 574.5
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
[1] => 593.7
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19201616978274
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1436031331593
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3420365535248
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 20:30:00
[1] => 586
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 21:15:00
[1] => 600.84
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 22:15:00
[1] => 597.31
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 23:45:00
[1] => 623.35
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 01:45:00
[1] => 608.45
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 04:45:00
[1] => 629.61
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 06:15:00
[1] => 628.86
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
[1] => 574.5
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 17:45:00
[1] => 583.51
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
[1] => 593.7
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19201616978274
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5509588524618
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7463282548714
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 12:20:00
[1] => 582.35
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 12:30:00
[1] => 595.06
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 14:10:00
[1] => 574.5
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:10:00
[1] => 583.94
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:25:00
[1] => 579.02
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 16:15:00
[1] => 585.69
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 17:00:00
[1] => 584.13
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 17:25:00
[1] => 586.71
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 17:45:00
[1] => 583.51
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 19:05:00
[1] => 593.7
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19201616978274
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5509588524618
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7463282548714
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 12:20:00 | 582.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 12:30:00 | 595.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 14:10:00 | 574.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 15:10:00 | 583.94 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:25:00 | 579.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 16:15:00 | 585.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 17:00:00 | 584.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 17:25:00 | 586.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 17:45:00 | 583.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 19:05:00 | 593.7 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 20:30:00 | 586 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 21:15:00 | 600.84 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 22:15:00 | 597.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 23:45:00 | 623.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 01:45:00 | 608.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 04:45:00 | 629.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 06:15:00 | 628.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 14:00:00 | 574.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 17:45:00 | 583.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 19:00:00 | 593.7 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 10:00:00 | 605.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 11:00:00 | 618.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 18:00:00 | 624.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 19:00:00 | 610.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 08:00:00 | 593.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 11:00:00 | 612.31 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 20:00:00 | 586 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 04:00:00 | 629.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 14:00:00 | 574.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 19:00:00 | 593.7 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 19:08:05 |
15 Jan 2026 21:55:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 593.23 | 595.4728 | 588.7444 | 2 | 450.66 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 595.4728 - 593.23 = 2.2428
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 593.23 - 588.7444 = 4.4856
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.4856 / 2.2428 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2116.0125 | 100 | 3.5669 | 21.16 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 2.2428 = 3.57
Taille de position USD = 3.57 x 593.23 = 2117.83
Donc, tu peux acheter 3.57 avec un stoploss a 595.4728
Avec un position size USD de 2117.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3.57 x 2.2428 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3.57 x 4.4856 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.76 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.38 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8277 % | 218.91 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 588.7444
[entry_price] => 593.23
[stop_loss] => 595.69708
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 21:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 588.7444
[entry_price] => 593.23
[stop_loss] => 595.92136
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 21:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 588.7444
[entry_price] => 593.23
[stop_loss] => 596.14564
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 21:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 588.7444
[entry_price] => 593.23
[stop_loss] => 596.5942
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 21:55:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 4.11
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 593.19000000
[low] => 589.12000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.69
[mae_pct] => -0.01
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-15T19:08:05-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-15T21:08:05-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 4.2
[max_drawdown] => 8.5799999999999
[rr_ratio] => 0.49
[high] => 601.81000000
[low] => 589.03000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.71
[mae_pct] => 1.45
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.49
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-15T19:08:05-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T02:08:05-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 593.70000000
[high_after] => 601.75000000
[low_before] => 579.02000000
[low_after] => 589.03000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)