Short Trade on AAVE 15 Jan 2026 at 19:17:21

Take profit at 171.0419 (0.54 %) and Stop Loss at 172.4341 (0.27 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 15 Jan 2026 at 19:17:21

With 17.239 AAVE at 171.97$ per unit.

Position size of 2964.5894 $

Take profit at 171.0419 (0.54 %) and Stop Loss at 172.4341 (0.27 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -90
ML Pullback Score: 2.39
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.62
Prediction 2 Probability
2 0.44
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.51
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.744415

15m : -0.024496

1H : -0.040689

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 0.3093761811
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 171.643
  4. ema21 : 172.92
  5. ema50 : 173.626
  6. ema100 : 172.549
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00190072
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0073853
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00406229
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00335611
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.174668
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.129355
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.052338
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.00811963
  17. rsi : 0.438089
  18. adx : 0.224258
  19. kc_percentage : 0.383177
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.043162
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.53835
  22. volume_ema1 : 296901.38993284
  23. volume_ema2 : 643131.71773697
  24. chop : 51.1238
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 171.331
  29. ema21 : 171.182
  30. ema50 : 172.104
  31. ema100 : 173.566
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00372947
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000868699
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00535984
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00919839
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0555985
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.00443246
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.028926
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0320311
  42. rsi : 0.572824
  43. adx : 0.226697
  44. kc_percentage : 0.802103
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.015445
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.763891
  47. volume_ema1 : 32014.579509729
  48. volume_ema2 : 135592.92021816
  49. chop : 64.1817
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 171.609
  54. ema21 : 171.316
  55. ema50 : 171.035
  56. ema100 : 171.248
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00209848
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00171374
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00164268
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00421136
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0318864
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0286058
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0157166
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0039245
  67. rsi : 0.687548
  68. adx : 0.33623
  69. kc_percentage : 1.04805
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00671061
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.726102
  72. volume_ema1 : 8303.4190279919
  73. volume_ema2 : 30315.741150019
  74. chop : 47.5209
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95790.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000773632
  81. 5m_price:
    95716.6
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.744415
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    96196.3
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00498686
  86. 15m_price:
    95716.6
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.024496
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94458.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0133143
  91. 1H_price:
    95716.6
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.040689
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
                        [1] => 160.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
                        [1] => 167.52
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 06:00:00
                        [1] => 168.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 17:00:00
                        [1] => 179.93
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 08:00:00
                        [1] => 174.06
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 14:00:00
                        [1] => 180.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                        [1] => 172
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 178.46
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
                        [1] => 169
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 172.04
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7988165680473
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7988165680473
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 02:30:00
                        [1] => 175.95
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:30:00
                        [1] => 178.46
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 05:45:00
                        [1] => 173.83
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 09:00:00
                        [1] => 176.71
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 10:45:00
                        [1] => 170.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 12:30:00
                        [1] => 174.37
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
                        [1] => 169.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
                        [1] => 171.06
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 15:45:00
                        [1] => 169
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 19:15:00
                        [1] => 172.04
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7988165680473
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7988165680473
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 13:10:00
                        [1] => 170.52
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
                        [1] => 169.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 14:40:00
                        [1] => 169.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 15:05:00
                        [1] => 171.06
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 15:45:00
                        [1] => 169
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 16:30:00
                        [1] => 169.88
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 16:45:00
                        [1] => 170.86
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 17:30:00
                        [1] => 171.37
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 18:05:00
                        [1] => 170.44
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 19:15:00
                        [1] => 172.04
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.93874677305796
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.93874677305796
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.94%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.94%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3941
0.23%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.0419
1.19%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 13:10:00 170.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 14:00:00 169.18 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 14:40:00 169.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 15:05:00 171.06 ↑ High
2026-01-15 15:45:00 169 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 16:30:00 169.88 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 16:45:00 170.86 ↑ High
2026-01-15 17:30:00 171.37 ↑ High
2026-01-15 18:05:00 170.44 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:15:00 172.04 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.80%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.80%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.0259
3.49%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.0419
1.19%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 02:30:00 175.95 ↑ High
2026-01-15 04:30:00 178.46 ↑ High
2026-01-15 05:45:00 173.83 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 09:00:00 176.71 ↑ High
2026-01-15 10:45:00 170.62 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 12:30:00 174.37 ↑ High
2026-01-15 14:00:00 169.18 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 15:00:00 171.06 ↑ High
2026-01-15 15:45:00 169 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:15:00 172.04 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.80%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.80%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.8959
4.58%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.2919
6.02%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-12 09:00:00 160.75 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 15:00:00 167.52 ↑ High
2026-01-13 06:00:00 168.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-13 17:00:00 179.93 ↑ High
2026-01-14 08:00:00 174.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 14:00:00 180.33 ↑ High
2026-01-14 22:00:00 172 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 178.46 ↑ High
2026-01-15 15:00:00 169 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:00:00 172.04 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Jan 2026
19:17:21
15 Jan 2026
19:35:00
17 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
171.97 172.4341 171.0419 2 115.26
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 171.97
  • Stop Loss: 172.4341
  • Take Profit: 171.0419

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 172.4341 - 171.97 = 0.4641

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 171.97 - 171.0419 = 0.9281

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.9281 / 0.4641 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2964.5894 100 17.239 29.65
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4641

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4641 = 17.24

Taille de position USD = 17.24 x 171.97 = 2964.76

Donc, tu peux acheter 17.24 avec un stoploss a 172.4341

Avec un position size USD de 2964.76$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17.24 x 0.4641 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17.24 x 0.9281 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17.24
  • Taille de position USD 2964.76
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.54 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.27 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.27
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3315 % 122.82 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.0419
            [entry_price] => 171.97
            [stop_loss] => 172.48051
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 19:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.0419
            [entry_price] => 171.97
            [stop_loss] => 172.52692
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 19:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.0419
            [entry_price] => 171.97
            [stop_loss] => 172.57333
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 19:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.0419
            [entry_price] => 171.97
            [stop_loss] => 172.66615
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.25
            [max_drawdown] => 0.69
            [rr_ratio] => 1.81
            [high] => 172.66000000
            [low] => 170.72000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.73
            [mae_pct] => 0.4
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.81
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-15T19:17:21-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-15T21:17:21-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.03
            [max_drawdown] => 1.29
            [rr_ratio] => 1.57
            [high] => 173.26000000
            [low] => 169.94000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.18
            [mae_pct] => 0.75
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.57
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-15T19:17:21-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T02:17:21-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 172.04000000
            [high_after] => 172.66000000
            [low_before] => 169.00000000
            [low_after] => 169.94000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)