Short Trade on COIN 15 Jan 2026 at 19:19:57
Take profit at 240.9253 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 241.8324 (0.13 %)
Short Trade on COIN 15 Jan 2026 at 19:19:57
Take profit at 240.9253 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 241.8324 (0.13 %)
Position size of 6390.7004 $
Take profit at 240.9253 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 241.8324 (0.13 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.71 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.81 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.57 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.394095 15m : 0.110351 1H : -0.113736 |
0 |
Indicators:
95790.9
-0.000646745
95729
0.394095
96196.5
-0.0048605
95729
0.110351
94459.1
0.0134429
95729
-0.113736
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
[1] => 238.75
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:00:00
[1] => 247.55
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 20:00:00
[1] => 242.14
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 07:00:00
[1] => 244.1
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 23:00:00
[1] => 257.32
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 05:00:00
[1] => 253.55
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 09:00:00
[1] => 262.83
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
[1] => 248.48
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
[1] => 254
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
[1] => 237.79
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.9094488188976
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5728163505614
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 15
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.8169393162034
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 20:00:00
[1] => 251.61
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 22:30:00
[1] => 248.48
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 04:45:00
[1] => 254
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 07:30:00
[1] => 251.46
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 09:15:00
[1] => 253.9
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 10:45:00
[1] => 244
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 12:45:00
[1] => 249.4
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:30:00
[1] => 237.79
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 16:45:00
[1] => 242.05
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 19:15:00
[1] => 241.53
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5728163505614
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.21529416635615
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 12:45:00
[1] => 249.4
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
[1] => 246.18
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 14:15:00
[1] => 248.16
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:30:00
[1] => 237.79
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:50:00
[1] => 240.74
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 16:45:00
[1] => 242.05
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 17:35:00
[1] => 241.74
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 17:50:00
[1] => 240.54
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 18:35:00
[1] => 240.72
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 19:15:00
[1] => 241.53
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.33649052841476
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.33649052841476
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 12:45:00 | 249.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 14:00:00 | 246.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 14:15:00 | 248.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:30:00 | 237.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 15:50:00 | 240.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 16:45:00 | 242.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 17:35:00 | 241.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 17:50:00 | 240.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 18:35:00 | 240.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 19:15:00 | 241.53 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 20:00:00 | 251.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 22:30:00 | 248.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 04:45:00 | 254 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 07:30:00 | 251.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 09:15:00 | 253.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 10:45:00 | 244 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 12:45:00 | 249.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:30:00 | 237.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 16:45:00 | 242.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 19:15:00 | 241.53 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 09:00:00 | 238.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 11:00:00 | 247.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 20:00:00 | 242.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 07:00:00 | 244.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 23:00:00 | 257.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 05:00:00 | 253.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 09:00:00 | 262.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 22:00:00 | 248.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 04:00:00 | 254 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:00:00 | 237.79 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 19:19:57 |
15 Jan 2026 19:25:00 |
5 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 241.53 | 241.8324 | 240.9253 | 2 | 176.93 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 241.8324 - 241.53 = 0.30240000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 241.53 - 240.9253 = 0.60470000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.60470000000001 / 0.30240000000001 = 1.9997
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6390.7004 | 100 | 26.4592 | 63.91 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.30240000000001 = 26.46
Taille de position USD = 26.46 x 241.53 = 6390.88
Donc, tu peux acheter 26.46 avec un stoploss a 241.8324
Avec un position size USD de 6390.88$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 26.46 x 0.30240000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 26.46 x 0.60470000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.13 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2608 % | 208.31 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 240.9253
[entry_price] => 241.53
[stop_loss] => 241.86264
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 19:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 240.9253
[entry_price] => 241.53
[stop_loss] => 241.89288
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 19:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 240.9253
[entry_price] => 241.53
[stop_loss] => 241.92312
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 19:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 240.9253
[entry_price] => 241.53
[stop_loss] => 241.9836
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 19:25:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.050000000000011
[max_drawdown] => 1.01
[rr_ratio] => 0.05
[high] => 242.54000000
[low] => 241.48000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.02
[mae_pct] => 0.42
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.05
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-15T19:19:57-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-15T21:19:57-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.050000000000011
[max_drawdown] => 1.29
[rr_ratio] => 0.04
[high] => 242.82000000
[low] => 241.48000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.02
[mae_pct] => 0.53
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.04
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-15T19:19:57-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T02:19:57-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 242.05000000
[high_after] => 242.54000000
[low_before] => 237.79000000
[low_after] => 241.48000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)