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Short Trade on AAVE

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Short Trade on AAVE 15 Jan 2026 at 19:36:57

Take profit at 171.3422 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 172.6139 (0.25 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 15 Jan 2026 at 19:36:57

With 18.8724 AAVE at 172.19$ per unit.

Position size of 3249.643 $

Take profit at 171.3422 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 172.6139 (0.25 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -70
ML Pullback Score: 4.1
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.55
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.47
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.59
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.738725

15m : 0.044569

1H : -0.108419

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.2825992481
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 171.687
  4. ema21 : 172.94
  5. ema50 : 173.634
  6. ema100 : 172.553
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00292535
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00724567
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00399659
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0021063
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.172577
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.128407
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0519265
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.00790944
  17. rsi : 0.448459
  18. adx : 0.222283
  19. kc_percentage : 0.41119
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0436876
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.514714
  22. volume_ema1 : 313023.07059951
  23. volume_ema2 : 645028.38605069
  24. chop : 51.1466
  25. regime : range_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 171.488
  28. ema21 : 171.266
  29. ema50 : 172.101
  30. ema100 : 173.51
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00409346
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00129115
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00484874
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00761127
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0588034
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0105103
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0249304
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0296803
  41. rsi : 0.588745
  42. adx : 0.223482
  43. kc_percentage : 0.861999
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0149584
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.745399
  46. volume_ema1 : 33237.670117597
  47. volume_ema2 : 130548.19244754
  48. chop : 64.8816
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 171.889
  52. ema21 : 171.555
  53. ema50 : 171.195
  54. ema100 : 171.364
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00174853
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0019461
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00210547
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00481658
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0351894
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0311534
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0185406
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00569909
  65. rsi : 0.70045
  66. adx : 0.389511
  67. kc_percentage : 1.0885
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00602258
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.634264
  70. volume_ema1 : 9432.0891042947
  71. volume_ema2 : 25789.40444268
  72. chop : 51.7336
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    95777.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000281536
  78. 5m_price: 
    95750.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.738725
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    96172.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0044652
  83. 15m_price: 
    95742.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.044569
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    94459.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0136639
  88. 1H_price: 
    95750.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.108419
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
                    [1] => 160.75
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 167.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-13 06:00:00
                    [1] => 168.91
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-13 17:00:00
                    [1] => 179.93
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 08:00:00
                    [1] => 174.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 14:00:00
                    [1] => 180.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                    [1] => 172
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                    [1] => 178.46
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
                    [1] => 169
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
                    [1] => 172.54
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.063753332560557
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0295857988166
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.094674556213
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 02:30:00
                    [1] => 175.95
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 04:30:00
                    [1] => 178.46
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 05:45:00
                    [1] => 173.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 09:00:00
                    [1] => 176.71
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 10:45:00
                    [1] => 170.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 12:30:00
                    [1] => 174.37
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 169.18
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
                    [1] => 171.06
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 15:45:00
                    [1] => 169
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 19:30:00
                    [1] => 172.54
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.063753332560557
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0295857988166
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.094674556213
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 13:10:00
                    [1] => 170.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 169.18
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 14:40:00
                    [1] => 169.25
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 15:05:00
                    [1] => 171.06
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 15:45:00
                    [1] => 169
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 16:30:00
                    [1] => 169.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 16:45:00
                    [1] => 170.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 17:30:00
                    [1] => 171.37
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 18:05:00
                    [1] => 170.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 19:35:00
                    [1] => 172.54
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.063753332560557
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1675662989909
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2321051396386
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.17%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.23%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0739
0.04%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.3422
1.37%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 13:10:00 170.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 14:00:00 169.18 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 14:40:00 169.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 15:05:00 171.06 ↑ High
2026-01-15 15:45:00 169 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 16:30:00 169.88 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 16:45:00 170.86 ↑ High
2026-01-15 17:30:00 171.37 ↑ High
2026-01-15 18:05:00 170.44 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:35:00 172.54 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.03%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.09%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.8461
3.39%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.3422
1.37%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 02:30:00 175.95 ↑ High
2026-01-15 04:30:00 178.46 ↑ High
2026-01-15 05:45:00 173.83 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 09:00:00 176.71 ↑ High
2026-01-15 10:45:00 170.62 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 12:30:00 174.37 ↑ High
2026-01-15 14:00:00 169.18 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 15:00:00 171.06 ↑ High
2026-01-15 15:45:00 169 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:30:00 172.54 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.03%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.09%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.7161
4.47%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.5922
6.18%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-12 09:00:00 160.75 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 15:00:00 167.52 ↑ High
2026-01-13 06:00:00 168.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-13 17:00:00 179.93 ↑ High
2026-01-14 08:00:00 174.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 14:00:00 180.33 ↑ High
2026-01-14 22:00:00 172 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 178.46 ↑ High
2026-01-15 15:00:00 169 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:00:00 172.54 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Jan 2026
19:36:57		 15 Jan 2026
19:40:00		 3 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
172.19 172.6139 171.3422 2 111.75
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 172.19
  • Stop Loss: 172.6139
  • Take Profit: 171.3422

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 172.6139 - 172.19 = 0.4239

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 172.19 - 171.3422 = 0.84780000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.84780000000001 / 0.4239 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3249.643 100 18.8724 32.50
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4239

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4239 = 18.87

Taille de position USD = 18.87 x 172.19 = 3249.23

Donc, tu peux acheter 18.87 avec un stoploss a 172.6139

Avec un position size USD de 3249.23$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 18.87 x 0.4239 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 18.87 x 0.84780000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 18.87
  • Taille de position USD 3249.23
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.49 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.25
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.273 % 110.89 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.3422
            [entry_price] => 172.19
            [stop_loss] => 172.65629
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 19:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.3422
            [entry_price] => 172.19
            [stop_loss] => 172.69868
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 20:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.3422
            [entry_price] => 172.19
            [stop_loss] => 172.74107
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 20:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.3422
            [entry_price] => 172.19
            [stop_loss] => 172.82585
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 20:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.67
            [max_drawdown] => 0.47
            [rr_ratio] => 3.55
            [high] => 172.66000000
            [low] => 170.52000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.97
            [mae_pct] => 0.27
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.55
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-15T19:36:57-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-15T21:36:57-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.25
            [max_drawdown] => 1.07
            [rr_ratio] => 2.1
            [high] => 173.26000000
            [low] => 169.94000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.31
            [mae_pct] => 0.62
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.1
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-15T19:36:57-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T02:36:57-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 172.54000000
            [high_after] => 172.66000000
            [low_before] => 169.00000000
            [low_after] => 169.94000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)