Short Trade on AAVE 15 Jan 2026 at 19:46:30

Take profit at 171.4855 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 172.8272 (0.26 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 15 Jan 2026 at 19:46:30

With 17.8871 AAVE at 172.38$ per unit.

Position size of 3083.3814 $

Take profit at 171.4855 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 172.8272 (0.26 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 100
ML Pullback Score: 5.66
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.7
Prediction 2 Probability
2 0.47
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.61
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.727872

15m : -0.226794

1H : 0.084907

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.2981661596
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 171.725
  4. ema21 : 172.958
  5. ema50 : 173.642
  6. ema100 : 172.557
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00380984
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0071251
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00393986
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00102698
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.170771
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.127587
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0515711
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.00772791
  17. rsi : 0.457112
  18. adx : 0.219166
  19. kc_percentage : 0.435483
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.044614
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.375446
  22. volume_ema1 : 409978.86259951
  23. volume_ema2 : 656434.9498154
  24. chop : 51.1848
  25. regime : range_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 171.703
  29. ema21 : 171.387
  30. ema50 : 172.123
  31. ema100 : 173.513
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00394158
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00184446
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0042795
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00652983
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0718657
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.020899
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0191778
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.026924
  42. rsi : 0.609094
  43. adx : 0.229818
  44. kc_percentage : 0.897423
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0145337
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.37352
  47. volume_ema1 : 87318.651078398
  48. volume_ema2 : 139379.79305387
  49. chop : 57.633
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 172.095
  54. ema21 : 171.715
  55. ema50 : 171.278
  56. ema100 : 171.288
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0016551
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00220922
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00255295
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00637487
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0401953
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0344629
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0215022
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00907289
  67. rsi : 0.713374
  68. adx : 0.429414
  69. kc_percentage : 1.0623
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00657496
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.717202
  72. volume_ema1 : 59448.163861168
  73. volume_ema2 : 34619.200231288
  74. chop : 42.7148
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95750.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000290676
  81. 5m_price:
    95722.8
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.727872
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    96168.6
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00463658
  86. 15m_price:
    95722.8
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.226794
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94459
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0133786
  91. 1H_price:
    95722.8
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.084907
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
                        [1] => 160.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
                        [1] => 167.52
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 06:00:00
                        [1] => 168.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 17:00:00
                        [1] => 179.93
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 08:00:00
                        [1] => 174.06
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 14:00:00
                        [1] => 180.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                        [1] => 172
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 178.46
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
                        [1] => 169
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 172.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11583458820803
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0473372781065
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1656804733728
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 02:30:00
                        [1] => 175.95
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:30:00
                        [1] => 178.46
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 05:45:00
                        [1] => 173.83
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 09:00:00
                        [1] => 176.71
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 10:45:00
                        [1] => 170.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 12:30:00
                        [1] => 174.37
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
                        [1] => 169.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
                        [1] => 171.06
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 15:45:00
                        [1] => 169
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 19:30:00
                        [1] => 172.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11583458820803
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0473372781065
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1656804733728
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 13:10:00
                        [1] => 170.52
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
                        [1] => 169.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 14:40:00
                        [1] => 169.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 15:05:00
                        [1] => 171.06
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 15:45:00
                        [1] => 169
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 16:30:00
                        [1] => 169.88
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 16:45:00
                        [1] => 170.86
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 17:30:00
                        [1] => 171.37
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 18:05:00
                        [1] => 170.44
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 19:40:00
                        [1] => 172.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11583458820803
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1851678009857
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 20
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3025111476179
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.12%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.19%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
20 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.30%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1672
0.10%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4855
1.45%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 13:10:00 170.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 14:00:00 169.18 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 14:40:00 169.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 15:05:00 171.06 ↑ High
2026-01-15 15:45:00 169 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 16:30:00 169.88 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 16:45:00 170.86 ↑ High
2026-01-15 17:30:00 171.37 ↑ High
2026-01-15 18:05:00 170.44 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:40:00 172.66 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.12%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.05%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
16 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.17%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.6328
3.26%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4855
1.45%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 02:30:00 175.95 ↑ High
2026-01-15 04:30:00 178.46 ↑ High
2026-01-15 05:45:00 173.83 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 09:00:00 176.71 ↑ High
2026-01-15 10:45:00 170.62 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 12:30:00 174.37 ↑ High
2026-01-15 14:00:00 169.18 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 15:00:00 171.06 ↑ High
2026-01-15 15:45:00 169 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:30:00 172.66 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.12%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.05%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.17%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.5028
4.34%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.7355
6.26%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-12 09:00:00 160.75 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 15:00:00 167.52 ↑ High
2026-01-13 06:00:00 168.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-13 17:00:00 179.93 ↑ High
2026-01-14 08:00:00 174.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 14:00:00 180.33 ↑ High
2026-01-14 22:00:00 172 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 178.46 ↑ High
2026-01-15 15:00:00 169 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:00:00 172.66 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Jan 2026
19:46:30
15 Jan 2026
20:05:00
18 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
172.38 172.8272 171.4855 2 119.84
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 172.38
  • Stop Loss: 172.8272
  • Take Profit: 171.4855

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 172.8272 - 172.38 = 0.44720000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 172.38 - 171.4855 = 0.89449999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.89449999999999 / 0.44720000000001 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3083.3814 100 17.8871 30.83
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.44720000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.44720000000001 = 17.89

Taille de position USD = 17.89 x 172.38 = 3083.88

Donc, tu peux acheter 17.89 avec un stoploss a 172.8272

Avec un position size USD de 3083.88$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17.89 x 0.44720000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17.89 x 0.89449999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17.89
  • Taille de position USD 3083.88
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.52 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.26 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.52
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0696 % 26.83 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.4856
            [stop_loss] => 172.8272
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 20:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.262
            [stop_loss] => 172.8272
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 20:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.0384
            [stop_loss] => 172.8272
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.8148
            [stop_loss] => 172.8272
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 21:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.5912
            [stop_loss] => 172.8272
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 21:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.3676
            [stop_loss] => 172.8272
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 23:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.144
            [stop_loss] => 172.8272
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 23:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.86
            [max_drawdown] => 0.12
            [rr_ratio] => 15.5
            [high] => 172.50000000
            [low] => 170.52000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.08
            [mae_pct] => 0.07
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 15.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-15T19:46:30-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-15T21:46:30-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.44
            [max_drawdown] => 0.88
            [rr_ratio] => 2.77
            [high] => 173.26000000
            [low] => 169.94000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.42
            [mae_pct] => 0.51
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.77
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-15T19:46:30-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T02:46:30-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 172.66000000
            [high_after] => 172.52000000
            [low_before] => 169.08000000
            [low_after] => 169.94000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)