Short Trade on AAVE 15 Jan 2026 at 19:46:30
Take profit at 171.4855 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 172.8272 (0.26 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 15 Jan 2026 at 19:46:30
Take profit at 171.4855 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 172.8272 (0.26 %)
Position size of 3083.3814 $
Take profit at 171.4855 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 172.8272 (0.26 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.7 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2 | 0.47 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.61 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.727872 15m : -0.226794 1H : 0.084907 |
0 |
Indicators:
95750.6
-0.000290676
95722.8
0.727872
96168.6
-0.00463658
95722.8
-0.226794
94459
0.0133786
95722.8
0.084907
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
[1] => 160.75
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
[1] => 167.52
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 06:00:00
[1] => 168.91
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 17:00:00
[1] => 179.93
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 08:00:00
[1] => 174.06
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 14:00:00
[1] => 180.33
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
[1] => 172
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
[1] => 178.46
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
[1] => 169
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
[1] => 172.66
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11583458820803
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0473372781065
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1656804733728
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 02:30:00
[1] => 175.95
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 04:30:00
[1] => 178.46
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 05:45:00
[1] => 173.83
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 09:00:00
[1] => 176.71
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 10:45:00
[1] => 170.62
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 12:30:00
[1] => 174.37
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
[1] => 169.18
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
[1] => 171.06
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:45:00
[1] => 169
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 19:30:00
[1] => 172.66
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11583458820803
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0473372781065
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1656804733728
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 13:10:00
[1] => 170.52
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
[1] => 169.18
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 14:40:00
[1] => 169.25
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:05:00
[1] => 171.06
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:45:00
[1] => 169
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 16:30:00
[1] => 169.88
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 16:45:00
[1] => 170.86
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 17:30:00
[1] => 171.37
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 18:05:00
[1] => 170.44
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 19:40:00
[1] => 172.66
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11583458820803
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1851678009857
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 20
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3025111476179
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 13:10:00 | 170.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 14:00:00 | 169.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 14:40:00 | 169.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 15:05:00 | 171.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:45:00 | 169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 16:30:00 | 169.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 16:45:00 | 170.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 17:30:00 | 171.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 18:05:00 | 170.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 19:40:00 | 172.66 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 02:30:00 | 175.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 04:30:00 | 178.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 05:45:00 | 173.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 09:00:00 | 176.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 10:45:00 | 170.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 12:30:00 | 174.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 14:00:00 | 169.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 15:00:00 | 171.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:45:00 | 169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 19:30:00 | 172.66 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 09:00:00 | 160.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 15:00:00 | 167.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 06:00:00 | 168.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 17:00:00 | 179.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 08:00:00 | 174.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 14:00:00 | 180.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 22:00:00 | 172 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 04:00:00 | 178.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:00:00 | 169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 19:00:00 | 172.66 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 19:46:30 |
15 Jan 2026 20:05:00 |
18 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 172.38 | 172.8272 | 171.4855 | 2 | 119.84 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 172.8272 - 172.38 = 0.44720000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 172.38 - 171.4855 = 0.89449999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.89449999999999 / 0.44720000000001 = 2.0002
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3083.3814 | 100 | 17.8871 | 30.83 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.44720000000001 = 17.89
Taille de position USD = 17.89 x 172.38 = 3083.88
Donc, tu peux acheter 17.89 avec un stoploss a 172.8272
Avec un position size USD de 3083.88$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 17.89 x 0.44720000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 17.89 x 0.89449999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.52 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0696 % | 26.83 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 171.4856
[stop_loss] => 172.8272
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 20:05:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 171.262
[stop_loss] => 172.8272
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 20:10:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 171.0384
[stop_loss] => 172.8272
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 21:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 170.8148
[stop_loss] => 172.8272
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 21:05:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 170.5912
[stop_loss] => 172.8272
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 21:20:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 170.3676
[stop_loss] => 172.8272
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 23:35:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 170.144
[stop_loss] => 172.8272
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 23:50:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.86
[max_drawdown] => 0.12
[rr_ratio] => 15.5
[high] => 172.50000000
[low] => 170.52000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.08
[mae_pct] => 0.07
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 15.5
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-15T19:46:30-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-15T21:46:30-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.44
[max_drawdown] => 0.88
[rr_ratio] => 2.77
[high] => 173.26000000
[low] => 169.94000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.42
[mae_pct] => 0.51
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.77
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-15T19:46:30-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T02:46:30-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 172.66000000
[high_after] => 172.52000000
[low_before] => 169.08000000
[low_after] => 169.94000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)