Short Trade on AAVE 15 Jan 2026 at 23:19:10
Take profit at 171.3867 (0.53 %) and Stop Loss at 172.7566 (0.27 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 15 Jan 2026 at 23:19:10
Take profit at 171.3867 (0.53 %) and Stop Loss at 172.7566 (0.27 %)
Position size of 3018.5055 $
Take profit at 171.3867 (0.53 %) and Stop Loss at 172.7566 (0.27 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.67 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2 | 0.42 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.79 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.669757 15m : -0.032925 1H : -0.099128 |
0 |
Indicators:
95521.4
5.43642E-6
95522
0.669757
95874.9
-0.00368182
95522
-0.032925
94621
0.00952115
95522
-0.099128
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
[1] => 160.75
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
[1] => 167.52
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 06:00:00
[1] => 168.91
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 17:00:00
[1] => 179.93
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 08:00:00
[1] => 174.06
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 14:00:00
[1] => 180.33
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
[1] => 172
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
[1] => 178.46
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
[1] => 169
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
[1] => 172.66
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2837947411097
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8757396449704
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1656804733728
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 09:00:00
[1] => 176.71
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 10:45:00
[1] => 170.62
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 12:30:00
[1] => 174.37
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
[1] => 169.18
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
[1] => 171.06
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:45:00
[1] => 169
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 19:30:00
[1] => 172.66
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 21:15:00
[1] => 170.52
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:45:00
[1] => 170.78
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:15:00
[1] => 172.52
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.20287502898216
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.81391263614006
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0188546668228
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 17:30:00
[1] => 171.37
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 18:05:00
[1] => 170.44
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 19:40:00
[1] => 172.66
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 20:10:00
[1] => 171.19
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 20:30:00
[1] => 172.33
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 21:20:00
[1] => 170.52
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 21:25:00
[1] => 171.89
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:00:00
[1] => 172.02
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:55:00
[1] => 170.78
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:15:00
[1] => 172.52
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.20287502898216
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.81391263614006
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0188546668228
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 17:30:00 | 171.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 18:05:00 | 170.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 19:40:00 | 172.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 20:10:00 | 171.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 20:30:00 | 172.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 21:20:00 | 170.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 21:25:00 | 171.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 22:00:00 | 172.02 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 22:55:00 | 170.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 23:15:00 | 172.52 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 09:00:00 | 176.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 10:45:00 | 170.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 12:30:00 | 174.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 14:00:00 | 169.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 15:00:00 | 171.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:45:00 | 169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 19:30:00 | 172.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 21:15:00 | 170.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 22:45:00 | 170.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 23:15:00 | 172.52 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 09:00:00 | 160.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 15:00:00 | 167.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 06:00:00 | 168.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 17:00:00 | 179.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 08:00:00 | 174.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 14:00:00 | 180.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 22:00:00 | 172 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 04:00:00 | 178.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:00:00 | 169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 19:00:00 | 172.66 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 23:19:10 |
15 Jan 2026 23:20:00 |
50 seconds |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 172.3 | 172.7566 | 171.3867 | 2 | 114.33 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 172.7566 - 172.3 = 0.45659999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 172.3 - 171.3867 = 0.91330000000002
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.91330000000002 / 0.45659999999998 = 2.0002
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3018.5055 | 100 | 17.5189 | 30.19 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.45659999999998 = 17.52
Taille de position USD = 17.52 x 172.3 = 3018.7
Donc, tu peux acheter 17.52 avec un stoploss a 172.7566
Avec un position size USD de 3018.7$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 17.52 x 0.45659999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 17.52 x 0.91330000000002 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.53 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.53 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1277 % | 48.19 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 171.3868
[stop_loss] => 172.7566
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 23:20:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 171.1585
[stop_loss] => 172.7566
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 23:20:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 170.9302
[stop_loss] => 172.7566
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 23:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 170.7019
[stop_loss] => 172.7566
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 23:30:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 170.4736
[stop_loss] => 172.7566
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 23:35:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 170.2453
[stop_loss] => 172.7566
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 23:40:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 170.017
[stop_loss] => 172.7566
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-15 23:50:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 169.7887
[stop_loss] => 172.7566
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 169.5604
[stop_loss] => 172.7566
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 169.3321
[stop_loss] => 172.7566
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 169.1038
[stop_loss] => 172.7566
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:05:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.36
[max_drawdown] => 0.22
[rr_ratio] => 10.73
[high] => 172.52000000
[low] => 169.94000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.37
[mae_pct] => 0.13
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 10.73
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-15T23:19:10-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T01:19:10-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.36
[max_drawdown] => 1.89
[rr_ratio] => 1.25
[high] => 174.19000000
[low] => 169.94000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.37
[mae_pct] => 1.1
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.25
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-15T23:19:10-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T06:19:10-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 172.66000000
[high_after] => 174.19000000
[low_before] => 170.52000000
[low_after] => 169.94000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)