Short Trade on COIN 16 Jan 2026 at 00:47:11
Take profit at 242.2009 (0.053 %) and Stop Loss at 242.3946 (0.027 %)
Short Trade on COIN 16 Jan 2026 at 00:47:11
Take profit at 242.2009 (0.053 %) and Stop Loss at 242.3946 (0.027 %)
Position size of 30028.205 $
Take profit at 242.2009 (0.053 %) and Stop Loss at 242.3946 (0.027 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.73 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.53 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.69 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.293378 15m : -0.2188 1H : -0.188243 |
0 |
Indicators:
95458.2
0.00186288
95636.1
0.293378
95862.2
-0.0023596
95636.1
-0.2188
94743.6
0.00941909
95636.1
-0.188243
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
[1] => 238.75
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:00:00
[1] => 247.55
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 20:00:00
[1] => 242.14
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 07:00:00
[1] => 244.1
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 23:00:00
[1] => 257.32
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 05:00:00
[1] => 253.55
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 09:00:00
[1] => 262.83
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
[1] => 248.48
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
[1] => 254
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
[1] => 237.79
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.5944881889764
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9092476554944
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 20
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.8169393162034
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 07:30:00
[1] => 251.46
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 09:15:00
[1] => 253.9
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 10:45:00
[1] => 244
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 12:45:00
[1] => 249.4
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:30:00
[1] => 237.79
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 16:45:00
[1] => 242.05
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 20:00:00
[1] => 242.54
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:30:00
[1] => 242.48
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 00:00:00
[1] => 241.87
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 00:45:00
[1] => 242.33
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.19018481002192
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.19018481002192
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 21:40:00
[1] => 242.31
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:15:00
[1] => 242.15
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:25:00
[1] => 242.15
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:35:00
[1] => 242.48
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
[1] => 242.03
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:10:00
[1] => 242.03
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:20:00
[1] => 242.03
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:30:00
[1] => 242.03
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 00:00:00
[1] => 242.28
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 00:45:00
[1] => 242.33
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.19018481002192
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.020637279181117
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 21:40:00 | 242.31 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 22:15:00 | 242.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 22:25:00 | 242.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 22:35:00 | 242.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 23:00:00 | 242.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 23:10:00 | 242.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 23:20:00 | 242.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 23:30:00 | 242.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 00:00:00 | 242.28 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 00:45:00 | 242.33 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 07:30:00 | 251.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 09:15:00 | 253.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 10:45:00 | 244 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 12:45:00 | 249.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:30:00 | 237.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 16:45:00 | 242.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 20:00:00 | 242.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 22:30:00 | 242.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 00:00:00 | 241.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 00:45:00 | 242.33 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 09:00:00 | 238.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 11:00:00 | 247.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 20:00:00 | 242.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 07:00:00 | 244.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 23:00:00 | 257.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 05:00:00 | 253.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 09:00:00 | 262.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 22:00:00 | 248.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 04:00:00 | 254 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:00:00 | 237.79 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 00:47:11 |
16 Jan 2026 00:50:00 |
2 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 242.33 | 242.3946 | 242.2009 | 2 | 177.37 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 242.3946 - 242.33 = 0.064599999999984
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 242.33 - 242.2009 = 0.12910000000002
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.12910000000002 / 0.064599999999984 = 1.9985
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30028.205 | 100 | 123.9145 | 300.28 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.064599999999984 = 123.84
Taille de position USD = 123.84 x 242.33 = 30010.15
Donc, tu peux acheter 123.84 avec un stoploss a 242.3946
Avec un position size USD de 30010.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 123.84 x 0.064599999999984 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 123.84 x 0.12910000000002 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.053 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.027 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0743 % | 278.28 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.2009
[entry_price] => 242.33
[stop_loss] => 242.40106
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 00:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.2009
[entry_price] => 242.33
[stop_loss] => 242.40752
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 00:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.2009
[entry_price] => 242.33
[stop_loss] => 242.41398
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 00:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.2009
[entry_price] => 242.33
[stop_loss] => 242.4269
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 00:50:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.33000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 0.48999999999998
[rr_ratio] => 0.67
[high] => 242.82000000
[low] => 242.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.14
[mae_pct] => 0.2
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.67
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-16T00:47:11-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T02:47:11-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.24
[max_drawdown] => 0.48999999999998
[rr_ratio] => 2.53
[high] => 242.82000000
[low] => 241.09000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.51
[mae_pct] => 0.2
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.53
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-16T00:47:11-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T07:47:11-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 242.48000000
[high_after] => 242.82000000
[low_before] => 241.76000000
[low_after] => 241.09000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)