Short Trade on AAPL 16 Jan 2026 at 01:00:15
Take profit at 258.9014 (0.05 %) and Stop Loss at 259.0943 (0.025 %)
Short Trade on AAPL 16 Jan 2026 at 01:00:15
Take profit at 258.9014 (0.05 %) and Stop Loss at 259.0943 (0.025 %)
Position size of 32232.7663 $
Take profit at 258.9014 (0.05 %) and Stop Loss at 259.0943 (0.025 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.62 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.64 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.84 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.131107 15m : 0.036576 1H : -0.009634 |
0 |
Indicators:
95484.3
0.00143873
95621.7
0.131107
95853.3
-0.00241691
95621.7
0.036576
94707.7
0.00964983
95621.7
-0.009634
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 01:00:00
[1] => 260.72
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 09:00:00
[1] => 262.38
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 15:00:00
[1] => 259.32
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 22:00:00
[1] => 261.73
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 09:00:00
[1] => 262.22
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 12:00:00
[1] => 257.26
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 23:00:00
[1] => 259.68
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 09:00:00
[1] => 261.45
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
[1] => 257.61
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 01:00:00
[1] => 259.06
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.030880877016901
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.53181165327433
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.56286634835604
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 10:45:00
[1] => 259.89
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 12:30:00
[1] => 258.86
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:15:00
[1] => 257.61
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 17:15:00
[1] => 258.9
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 18:15:00
[1] => 258.48
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 20:00:00
[1] => 258.87
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 21:45:00
[1] => 258.9
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:15:00
[1] => 258.9
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
[1] => 258.62
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 01:00:00
[1] => 259.06
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.030880877016901
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.139200371201
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.17013378702343
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:00:00
[1] => 258.9
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:10:00
[1] => 258.9
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:20:00
[1] => 258.9
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:30:00
[1] => 258.9
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:10:00
[1] => 258.62
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 00:10:00
[1] => 258.94
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 00:35:00
[1] => 258.88
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 00:45:00
[1] => 258.88
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 00:55:00
[1] => 258.88
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 01:00:00
[1] => 259.06
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0038601096271099
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.065667490729302
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.06953028430161
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 22:00:00 | 258.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 22:10:00 | 258.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 22:20:00 | 258.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 22:30:00 | 258.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 23:10:00 | 258.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 00:10:00 | 258.94 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 00:35:00 | 258.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 00:45:00 | 258.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 00:55:00 | 258.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 01:00:00 | 259.06 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 10:45:00 | 259.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 12:30:00 | 258.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 15:15:00 | 257.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 17:15:00 | 258.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 18:15:00 | 258.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 20:00:00 | 258.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 21:45:00 | 258.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 22:15:00 | 258.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 23:00:00 | 258.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 01:00:00 | 259.06 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 01:00:00 | 260.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 09:00:00 | 262.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 15:00:00 | 259.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 22:00:00 | 261.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 09:00:00 | 262.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 12:00:00 | 257.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 23:00:00 | 259.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 09:00:00 | 261.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:00:00 | 257.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 01:00:00 | 259.06 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 01:00:15 |
16 Jan 2026 03:55:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 259.03 | 259.0943 | 258.9014 | 2 | 263.22 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 259.0943 - 259.03 = 0.064300000000003
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 259.03 - 258.9014 = 0.12859999999995
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.12859999999995 / 0.064300000000003 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32232.7663 | 100 | 124.4364 | 322.33 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.064300000000003 = 124.42
Taille de position USD = 124.42 x 259.03 = 32228.51
Donc, tu peux acheter 124.42 avec un stoploss a 259.0943
Avec un position size USD de 32228.51$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 124.42 x 0.064300000000003 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 124.42 x 0.12859999999995 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.05 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.025 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0154 % | 62.1 % | 13 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 258.9014
[stop_loss] => 259.0943
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 03:55:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 258.86925
[stop_loss] => 259.0943
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 03:55:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 258.8371
[stop_loss] => 259.0943
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 03:55:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 258.80495
[stop_loss] => 259.0943
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:15:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 258.7728
[stop_loss] => 259.0943
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:15:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 258.74065
[stop_loss] => 259.0943
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:15:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 258.7085
[stop_loss] => 259.0943
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:15:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 258.67635
[stop_loss] => 259.0943
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:30:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 258.6442
[stop_loss] => 259.0943
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:30:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 258.61205
[stop_loss] => 259.0943
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:30:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 258.5799
[stop_loss] => 259.0943
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:30:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.099999999999966
[max_drawdown] => 0.03000000000003
[rr_ratio] => 3.33
[high] => 259.06000000
[low] => 258.93000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.04
[mae_pct] => 0.01
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.33
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-16T01:00:15-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T03:00:15-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.24
[max_drawdown] => 0.04000000000002
[rr_ratio] => 31
[high] => 259.07000000
[low] => 257.79000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.48
[mae_pct] => 0.02
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 31
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-16T01:00:15-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T08:00:15-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 259.06000000
[high_after] => 259.07000000
[low_before] => 258.62000000
[low_after] => 257.79000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)