Short Trade on COIN 16 Jan 2026 at 01:00:58
Take profit at 242.3735 (0.056 %) and Stop Loss at 242.5782 (0.028 %)
Short Trade on COIN 16 Jan 2026 at 01:00:58
Take profit at 242.3735 (0.056 %) and Stop Loss at 242.5782 (0.028 %)
Position size of 28431.4681 $
Take profit at 242.3735 (0.056 %) and Stop Loss at 242.5782 (0.028 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.59 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.57 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.56 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.265166 15m : 0.19697 1H : -0.11309 |
0 |
Indicators:
95484.3
0.00143873
95621.7
0.265166
95853.3
-0.00241691
95621.7
0.19697
94707.7
0.00964983
95621.7
-0.11309
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:00:00
[1] => 247.55
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 20:00:00
[1] => 242.14
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 07:00:00
[1] => 244.1
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 23:00:00
[1] => 257.32
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 05:00:00
[1] => 253.55
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 09:00:00
[1] => 262.83
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
[1] => 248.48
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
[1] => 254
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
[1] => 237.79
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 01:00:00
[1] => 242.82
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14825796886582
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.963917742546
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1153118297658
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 07:30:00
[1] => 251.46
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 09:15:00
[1] => 253.9
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 10:45:00
[1] => 244
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 12:45:00
[1] => 249.4
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:30:00
[1] => 237.79
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 16:45:00
[1] => 242.05
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 20:00:00
[1] => 242.54
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:30:00
[1] => 242.48
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 00:00:00
[1] => 241.87
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 00:45:00
[1] => 242.51
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.26460495307396
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.26460495307396
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:15:00
[1] => 242.15
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:25:00
[1] => 242.15
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:35:00
[1] => 242.48
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
[1] => 242.03
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:10:00
[1] => 242.03
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:20:00
[1] => 242.03
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:30:00
[1] => 242.03
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 00:00:00
[1] => 242.28
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 00:50:00
[1] => 242.51
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 01:00:00
[1] => 242.51
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.26460495307396
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 22:15:00 | 242.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 22:25:00 | 242.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 22:35:00 | 242.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 23:00:00 | 242.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 23:10:00 | 242.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 23:20:00 | 242.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 23:30:00 | 242.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 00:00:00 | 242.28 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 00:50:00 | 242.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 01:00:00 | 242.51 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 07:30:00 | 251.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 09:15:00 | 253.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 10:45:00 | 244 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 12:45:00 | 249.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:30:00 | 237.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 16:45:00 | 242.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 20:00:00 | 242.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 22:30:00 | 242.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 00:00:00 | 241.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 00:45:00 | 242.51 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 11:00:00 | 247.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 20:00:00 | 242.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 07:00:00 | 244.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 23:00:00 | 257.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 05:00:00 | 253.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 09:00:00 | 262.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 22:00:00 | 248.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 04:00:00 | 254 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:00:00 | 237.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 01:00:00 | 242.82 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 01:00:58 |
16 Jan 2026 01:35:00 |
34 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 242.51 | 242.5782 | 242.3735 | 2 | 175.32 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 242.5782 - 242.51 = 0.068200000000019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 242.51 - 242.3735 = 0.13649999999998
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.13649999999998 / 0.068200000000019 = 2.0015
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28431.4681 | 100 | 117.2383 | 284.31 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.068200000000019 = 117.3
Taille de position USD = 117.3 x 242.51 = 28446.42
Donc, tu peux acheter 117.3 avec un stoploss a 242.5782
Avec un position size USD de 28446.42$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 117.3 x 0.068200000000019 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 117.3 x 0.13649999999998 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.056 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.028 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.06 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0206 % | 73.31 % | 5 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.3736
[stop_loss] => 242.5782
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:35:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.3395
[stop_loss] => 242.5782
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.3054
[stop_loss] => 242.5782
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.2713
[stop_loss] => 242.5782
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.2372
[stop_loss] => 242.5782
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.2031
[stop_loss] => 242.5782
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.169
[stop_loss] => 242.5782
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.1349
[stop_loss] => 242.5782
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.1008
[stop_loss] => 242.5782
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.0667
[stop_loss] => 242.5782
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.0326
[stop_loss] => 242.5782
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.50999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.31
[rr_ratio] => 1.65
[high] => 242.82000000
[low] => 242.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.21
[mae_pct] => 0.13
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.65
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-16T01:00:58-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T03:00:58-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.42
[max_drawdown] => 0.31
[rr_ratio] => 4.58
[high] => 242.82000000
[low] => 241.09000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.59
[mae_pct] => 0.13
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.58
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-16T01:00:58-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T08:00:58-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 242.51000000
[high_after] => 242.82000000
[low_before] => 241.87000000
[low_after] => 241.09000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)