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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 16 Jan 2026 at 01:10:00

Take profit at 172.7426 (0.24 %) and Stop Loss at 173.3537 (0.12 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 16 Jan 2026 at 01:10:00

With 39.2709 MSTR at 173.15$ per unit.

Position size of 6799.7516 $

Take profit at 172.7426 (0.24 %) and Stop Loss at 173.3537 (0.12 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 2.04
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.7
Prediction 2 Probability
2 0.52
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.77
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.461781

15m : 0.136896

1H : -0.002993

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.54
  4. atr: 0.1358088826
Details
  1. score: 1.54
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 172.881
  4. ema21 : 174.112
  5. ema50 : 174.495
  6. ema100 : 171.912
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00155236
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00706757
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0021978
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.00719587
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.181479
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.15593
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0564878
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.00862139
  17. rsi : 0.444884
  18. adx : 0.237513
  19. kc_percentage : 0.349711
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0335706
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.934698
  22. volume_ema1 : 74724.106898117
  23. volume_ema2 : 1144294.1995757
  24. chop : 51.2254
  25. regime : range_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 172.624
  28. ema21 : 172.554
  29. ema50 : 173.263
  30. ema100 : 174.491
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00304262
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000406392
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00408994
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00768766
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0031831
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.00719336
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0248394
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0269937
  41. rsi : 0.57447
  42. adx : 0.184182
  43. kc_percentage : 0.942608
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00786695
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.977471
  46. volume_ema1 : 3265.5358940575
  47. volume_ema2 : 144950.21770861
  48. chop : 62.8901
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 172.832
  52. ema21 : 172.588
  53. ema50 : 172.459
  54. ema100 : 172.353
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0018386
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00141261
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000749178
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00462375
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0306741
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0173791
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00706814
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00421668
  65. rsi : 0.751333
  66. adx : 0.286668
  67. kc_percentage : 1.5386
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00305873
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.541797
  70. volume_ema1 : 1079.8244048466
  71. volume_ema2 : 2356.6542755481
  72. chop : 22.2027
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    95478.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00164875
  78. 5m_price: 
    95636.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.461781
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    95853.6
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00226964
  83. 15m_price: 
    95636.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.136896
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    94708
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00979884
  88. 1H_price: 
    95636.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.002993
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 163.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-12 20:00:00
                    [1] => 161.25
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-13 23:00:00
                    [1] => 179.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 01:00:00
                    [1] => 175.63
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
                    [1] => 175.91
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 09:00:00
                    [1] => 190.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                    [1] => 175.21
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                    [1] => 182.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.21
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 16:00:00
                    [1] => 170.07
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.0682902748067
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7639795378374
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 21
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.67031222437821
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 04:45:00
                    [1] => 182.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 07:30:00
                    [1] => 178.31
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 09:00:00
                    [1] => 180.8
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 10:45:00
                    [1] => 171.21
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 12:00:00
                    [1] => 177.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 16:00:00
                    [1] => 170.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 18:00:00
                    [1] => 171.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 20:30:00
                    [1] => 173.47
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 22:45:00
                    [1] => 171.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 01:00:00
                    [1] => 173.15
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.046202714409479
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.74509575644683
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.79166424122476
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 20:00:00
                    [1] => 173
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 20:10:00
                    [1] => 172.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 20:30:00
                    [1] => 173.47
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 21:00:00
                    [1] => 172.46
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 21:35:00
                    [1] => 172.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 21:55:00
                    [1] => 172.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 22:55:00
                    [1] => 171.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 23:25:00
                    [1] => 172.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 23:55:00
                    [1] => 171.98
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 01:05:00
                    [1] => 173.15
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.046202714409479
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.63379462728224
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.680311664147
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.63%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.68%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1163
0.07%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.9526
0.55%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 20:00:00 173 ↑ High
2026-01-15 20:10:00 172.22 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 20:30:00 173.47 ↑ High
2026-01-15 21:00:00 172.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 21:35:00 172.89 ↑ High
2026-01-15 21:55:00 172.2 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 22:55:00 171.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 23:25:00 172.5 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:55:00 171.98 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 01:05:00 173.15 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.75%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.79%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.9563
5.17%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.6726
1.55%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 04:45:00 182.31 ↑ High
2026-01-15 07:30:00 178.31 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 09:00:00 180.8 ↑ High
2026-01-15 10:45:00 171.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 12:00:00 177.89 ↑ High
2026-01-15 16:00:00 170.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 18:00:00 171.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 20:30:00 173.47 ↑ High
2026-01-15 22:45:00 171.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 01:00:00 173.15 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.76%
Bars Since Swing High
21 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.67%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.7463
9.66%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.4926
6.65%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-12 15:00:00 163.74 ↑ High
2026-01-12 20:00:00 161.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-13 23:00:00 179.62 ↑ High
2026-01-14 01:00:00 175.63 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 07:00:00 175.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 09:00:00 190.1 ↑ High
2026-01-14 22:00:00 175.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 182.31 ↑ High
2026-01-15 10:00:00 171.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 16:00:00 170.07 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Jan 2026
01:10:00		 16 Jan 2026
01:35:00		 25 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
173.15 173.3537 172.7426 2 128.82
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 173.15
  • Stop Loss: 173.3537
  • Take Profit: 172.7426

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 173.3537 - 173.15 = 0.2037

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 173.15 - 172.7426 = 0.4074

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4074 / 0.2037 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
6799.7516 100 39.2709 68.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.2037

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2037 = 39.27

Taille de position USD = 39.27 x 173.15 = 6799.6

Donc, tu peux acheter 39.27 avec un stoploss a 173.3537

Avec un position size USD de 6799.6$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 39.27 x 0.2037 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 39.27 x 0.4074 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 39.27
  • Taille de position USD 6799.6
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.24 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.12 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.7426
            [stop_loss] => 173.3537
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.64075
            [stop_loss] => 173.3537
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.5389
            [stop_loss] => 173.3537
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.43705
            [stop_loss] => 173.3537
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.3352
            [stop_loss] => 173.3537
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.23335
            [stop_loss] => 173.3537
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.1315
            [stop_loss] => 173.3537
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.02965
            [stop_loss] => 173.3537
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.9278
            [stop_loss] => 173.3537
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.82595
            [stop_loss] => 173.3537
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.7241
            [stop_loss] => 173.3537
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.52000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.28999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 1.79
            [high] => 173.44000000
            [low] => 172.63000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.3
            [mae_pct] => 0.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.79
            [candles_analyzed] => 25
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T01:10:00-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T03:10:00-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.95000000000002
            [max_drawdown] => 0.94
            [rr_ratio] => 1.01
            [high] => 174.09000000
            [low] => 172.20000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.55
            [mae_pct] => 0.54
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.01
            [candles_analyzed] => 85
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T01:10:00-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T08:10:00-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 173.15000000
            [high_after] => 174.09000000
            [low_before] => 171.79000000
            [low_after] => 172.32000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)