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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 16 Jan 2026 at 01:14:41

Take profit at 172.6745 (0.23 %) and Stop Loss at 173.2677 (0.11 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 16 Jan 2026 at 01:14:41

With 40.4582 MSTR at 173.07$ per unit.

Position size of 7002.1042 $

Take profit at 172.6745 (0.23 %) and Stop Loss at 173.2677 (0.11 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.46
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.67
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.4
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.9
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.463222

15m : -0.172724

1H : 0.161488

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.34
  4. atr: 0.1318232304
Details
  1. score: 1.34
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 172.865
  4. ema21 : 174.104
  5. ema50 : 174.492
  6. ema100 : 171.911
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00118227
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00711799
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00222154
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.00673979
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.182233
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.156271
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0566366
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.00854451
  17. rsi : 0.441548
  18. adx : 0.237513
  19. kc_percentage : 0.337259
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0335861
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.928667
  22. volume_ema1 : 81683.254164783
  23. volume_ema2 : 1145112.9227835
  24. chop : 51.2254
  25. regime : range_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 172.608
  28. ema21 : 172.547
  29. ema50 : 173.26
  30. ema100 : 174.489
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00267212
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00035583
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00411388
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00813713
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00241041
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.00754429
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0249899
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0270691
  41. rsi : 0.565077
  42. adx : 0.184182
  43. kc_percentage : 0.889471
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00787058
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.929856
  46. volume_ema1 : 10224.683160724
  47. volume_ema2 : 145768.94091646
  48. chop : 62.8901
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 172.879
  52. ema21 : 172.632
  53. ema50 : 172.485
  54. ema100 : 172.387
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00110028
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00143405
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000848155
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00395865
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0322796
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0193166
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00822622
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00463245
  65. rsi : 0.705004
  66. adx : 0.294956
  67. kc_percentage : 1.3361
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00293902
  69. volume_ema_diff : 1.37939
  70. volume_ema1 : 7679.0302032311
  71. volume_ema2 : 3227.2995671626
  72. chop : 24.8596
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    95485.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000823109
  78. 5m_price: 
    95564.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.463222
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    95852.2
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00300187
  83. 15m_price: 
    95564.5
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.172724
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    94706.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00905793
  88. 1H_price: 
    95564.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.161488
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 163.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-12 20:00:00
                    [1] => 161.25
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-13 23:00:00
                    [1] => 179.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 01:00:00
                    [1] => 175.63
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
                    [1] => 175.91
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 09:00:00
                    [1] => 190.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                    [1] => 175.21
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                    [1] => 182.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.21
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 16:00:00
                    [1] => 170.07
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.0682902748067
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7639795378374
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 21
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.67031222437821
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 04:45:00
                    [1] => 182.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 07:30:00
                    [1] => 178.31
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 09:00:00
                    [1] => 180.8
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 10:45:00
                    [1] => 171.21
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 12:00:00
                    [1] => 177.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 16:00:00
                    [1] => 170.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 18:00:00
                    [1] => 171.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 20:30:00
                    [1] => 173.47
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 22:45:00
                    [1] => 171.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 01:00:00
                    [1] => 173.15
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.046202714409479
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.74509575644683
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.79166424122476
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 20:00:00
                    [1] => 173
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 20:10:00
                    [1] => 172.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 20:30:00
                    [1] => 173.47
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 21:00:00
                    [1] => 172.46
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 21:35:00
                    [1] => 172.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 21:55:00
                    [1] => 172.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 22:55:00
                    [1] => 171.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 23:25:00
                    [1] => 172.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 23:55:00
                    [1] => 171.98
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 01:05:00
                    [1] => 173.15
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.046202714409479
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.63379462728224
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.680311664147
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.63%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.68%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2023
0.12%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.8845
0.51%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 20:00:00 173 ↑ High
2026-01-15 20:10:00 172.22 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 20:30:00 173.47 ↑ High
2026-01-15 21:00:00 172.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 21:35:00 172.89 ↑ High
2026-01-15 21:55:00 172.2 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 22:55:00 171.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 23:25:00 172.5 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:55:00 171.98 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 01:05:00 173.15 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.75%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.79%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.0423
5.22%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.6045
1.51%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 04:45:00 182.31 ↑ High
2026-01-15 07:30:00 178.31 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 09:00:00 180.8 ↑ High
2026-01-15 10:45:00 171.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 12:00:00 177.89 ↑ High
2026-01-15 16:00:00 170.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 18:00:00 171.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 20:30:00 173.47 ↑ High
2026-01-15 22:45:00 171.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 01:00:00 173.15 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.76%
Bars Since Swing High
21 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.67%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.8323
9.71%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.4245
6.62%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-12 15:00:00 163.74 ↑ High
2026-01-12 20:00:00 161.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-13 23:00:00 179.62 ↑ High
2026-01-14 01:00:00 175.63 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 07:00:00 175.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 09:00:00 190.1 ↑ High
2026-01-14 22:00:00 175.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 182.31 ↑ High
2026-01-15 10:00:00 171.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 16:00:00 170.07 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Jan 2026
01:14:41		 16 Jan 2026
01:55:00		 40 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
173.07 173.2677 172.6745 2 128.49
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 173.07
  • Stop Loss: 173.2677
  • Take Profit: 172.6745

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 173.2677 - 173.07 = 0.1977

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 173.07 - 172.6745 = 0.3955

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3955 / 0.1977 = 2.0005

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
7002.1042 100 40.4582 70.02
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1977

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1977 = 40.47

Taille de position USD = 40.47 x 173.07 = 7004.14

Donc, tu peux acheter 40.47 avec un stoploss a 173.2677

Avec un position size USD de 7004.14$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 40.47 x 0.1977 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 40.47 x 0.3955 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 40.47
  • Taille de position USD 7004.14
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0005

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.23 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.11 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.11
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1271 % 111.3 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.6745
            [entry_price] => 173.07
            [stop_loss] => 173.28747
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.6745
            [entry_price] => 173.07
            [stop_loss] => 173.30724
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.6745
            [entry_price] => 173.07
            [stop_loss] => 173.32701
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.6745
            [entry_price] => 173.07
            [stop_loss] => 173.36655
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.44
            [max_drawdown] => 0.37
            [rr_ratio] => 1.19
            [high] => 173.44000000
            [low] => 172.63000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.25
            [mae_pct] => 0.21
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.19
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T01:14:41-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T03:14:41-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.87
            [max_drawdown] => 1.02
            [rr_ratio] => 0.85
            [high] => 174.09000000
            [low] => 172.20000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.5
            [mae_pct] => 0.59
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.85
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T01:14:41-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T08:14:41-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 173.15000000
            [high_after] => 174.09000000
            [low_before] => 171.79000000
            [low_after] => 172.32000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)