Short Trade on PENGU 16 Jan 2026 at 01:48:02
Take profit at 0.01199 (0.75 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01212 (0.33 %)
Short Trade on PENGU 16 Jan 2026 at 01:48:02
Take profit at 0.01199 (0.75 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01212 (0.33 %)
Position size of 2244.3491 $
Take profit at 0.01199 (0.75 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01212 (0.33 %)
That's a 2.25 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.68 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.48 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.66 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.764342 15m : 0.057984 1H : -0.064223 |
0 |
Indicators:
95534
0.00161128
95688
0.764342
95866.9
-0.00186627
95688
0.057984
94709
0.0103358
95688
-0.064223
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 22:00:00
[1] => 0.011688
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 00:00:00
[1] => 0.012155
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 22:00:00
[1] => 0.0138
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 08:00:00
[1] => 0.012672
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 12:00:00
[1] => 0.01348
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
[1] => 0.012259
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 09:00:00
[1] => 0.012783
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
[1] => 0.011892
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 20:00:00
[1] => 0.012131
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
[1] => 0.011871
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.41216717500618
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7690169320192
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1902114396428
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 09:00:00
[1] => 0.012783
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 10:45:00
[1] => 0.012152
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 11:45:00
[1] => 0.012535
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:45:00
[1] => 0.011892
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 17:30:00
[1] => 0.012103
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 18:00:00
[1] => 0.01199
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 20:30:00
[1] => 0.012131
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 21:15:00
[1] => 0.011968
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:45:00
[1] => 0.011871
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 01:45:00
[1] => 0.01209
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.074441687344916
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7690169320192
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8448319433915
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 20:30:00
[1] => 0.012131
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 21:20:00
[1] => 0.011968
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 21:25:00
[1] => 0.012092
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:00:00
[1] => 0.012092
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:30:00
[1] => 0.011983
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:15:00
[1] => 0.01206
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:50:00
[1] => 0.011871
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 00:50:00
[1] => 0.012075
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 01:20:00
[1] => 0.011999
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 01:45:00
[1] => 0.01209
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.074441687344916
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.68339028252355
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.75839653304443
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 20:30:00 | 0.012131 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 21:20:00 | 0.011968 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 21:25:00 | 0.012092 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 22:00:00 | 0.012092 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 22:30:00 | 0.011983 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 23:15:00 | 0.01206 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 23:50:00 | 0.011871 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 00:50:00 | 0.012075 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 01:20:00 | 0.011999 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 01:45:00 | 0.01209 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 09:00:00 | 0.012783 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 10:45:00 | 0.012152 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 11:45:00 | 0.012535 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:45:00 | 0.011892 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 17:30:00 | 0.012103 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 18:00:00 | 0.01199 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 20:30:00 | 0.012131 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 21:15:00 | 0.011968 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 23:45:00 | 0.011871 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 01:45:00 | 0.01209 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 22:00:00 | 0.011688 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 00:00:00 | 0.012155 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 22:00:00 | 0.0138 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 08:00:00 | 0.012672 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 12:00:00 | 0.01348 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 22:00:00 | 0.012259 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 09:00:00 | 0.012783 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:00:00 | 0.011892 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 20:00:00 | 0.012131 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 23:00:00 | 0.011871 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 01:48:02 |
16 Jan 2026 02:05:00 |
16 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01208 | 0.01212 | 0.01199 | 2.25 | 0.006961 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01212 - 0.01208 = 4.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01208 - 0.01199 = 9.0E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 9.0E-5 / 4.0E-5 = 2.25
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2244.3491 | 100 | 185821.2499 | 22.44 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 4.0E-5 = 200000
Taille de position USD = 200000 x 0.01208 = 2416
Donc, tu peux acheter 200000 avec un stoploss a 0.01212
Avec un position size USD de 2416$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 200000 x 4.0E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 200000 x 9.0E-5 = 18
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 18$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.75 % | 16.72 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 7.43 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.43 $ | -0.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3311 % | 100 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01199
[entry_price] => 0.01208
[stop_loss] => 0.012124
[rr_ratio] => 2.05
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01199
[entry_price] => 0.01208
[stop_loss] => 0.012128
[rr_ratio] => 1.87
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01199
[entry_price] => 0.01208
[stop_loss] => 0.012132
[rr_ratio] => 1.73
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01199
[entry_price] => 0.01208
[stop_loss] => 0.01214
[rr_ratio] => 1.5
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 02:10:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.0000000000001E-5
[max_drawdown] => 0.000233
[rr_ratio] => 0.09
[high] => 0.01231300
[low] => 0.01206000
[mfe_pct] => 0.17
[mae_pct] => 1.93
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.09
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-16T01:48:02-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T03:48:02-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.000152
[max_drawdown] => 0.000233
[rr_ratio] => 0.65
[high] => 0.01231300
[low] => 0.01192800
[mfe_pct] => 1.26
[mae_pct] => 1.93
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.65
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-16T01:48:02-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T08:48:02-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.01209200
[high_after] => 0.01231300
[low_before] => 0.01187100
[low_after] => 0.01204900
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)