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Short Trade on AVAX

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Short Trade on AVAX 16 Jan 2026 at 03:11:18

Take profit at 13.786 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 13.8655 (0.19 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 16 Jan 2026 at 03:11:18

With 301.8914 AVAX at 13.839$ per unit.

Position size of 4177.8754 $

Take profit at 13.786 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 13.8655 (0.19 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 90
ML Pullback Score: 6.99
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.57
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.38
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.65
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.63014

15m : 0.125354

1H : 0.049051

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.01766639561
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 13.8086
  4. ema21 : 13.9036
  5. ema50 : 14.0771
  6. ema100 : 14.1148
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00219894
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0068359
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0123232
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0195417
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0759336
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.140129
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.103543
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0518942
  17. rsi : 0.423506
  18. adx : 0.440756
  19. kc_percentage : 0.371361
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0310348
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.681562
  22. volume_ema1 : 203195.20155452
  23. volume_ema2 : 638101.57576817
  24. chop : 80.6513
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 13.8026
  28. ema21 : 13.7918
  29. ema50 : 13.8216
  30. ema100 : 13.9223
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0026322
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000782135
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00215706
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00598446
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0298547
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0139147
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00780294
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0198296
  41. rsi : 0.588799
  42. adx : 0.115938
  43. kc_percentage : 0.824026
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0104295
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.382456
  46. volume_ema1 : 59090.809514
  47. volume_ema2 : 95686.849864148
  48. chop : 50.074
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 13.8088
  52. ema21 : 13.8015
  53. ema50 : 13.792
  54. ema100 : 13.7906
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00218508
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000529561
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00068947
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00350583
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.00178378
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.000502078
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00268699
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0012594
  65. rsi : 0.639631
  66. adx : 0.218889
  67. kc_percentage : 1.03876
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0049644
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.227637
  70. volume_ema1 : 16629.532906348
  71. volume_ema2 : 21530.724595132
  72. chop : 46.82
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    95532.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0007864
  78. 5m_price: 
    95607.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.63014
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    95846.2
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00248986
  83. 15m_price: 
    95607.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.125354
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    94784.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00868478
  88. 1H_price: 
    95607.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.049051
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-12 16:00:00
                    [1] => 13.458
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-13 11:00:00
                    [1] => 14.616
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-13 17:00:00
                    [1] => 14.855
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 11:00:00
                    [1] => 14.949
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
                    [1] => 14.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                    [1] => 14.111
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                    [1] => 14.467
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
                    [1] => 13.609
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
                    [1] => 13.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 13.674
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10108303249097
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1847301448004
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.287114231388
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 12:30:00
                    [1] => 14.062
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 14:15:00
                    [1] => 13.626
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 15:45:00
                    [1] => 13.609
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 19:45:00
                    [1] => 13.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 21:00:00
                    [1] => 13.701
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 13.848
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 13.674
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 01:30:00
                    [1] => 13.831
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 02:30:00
                    [1] => 13.765
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                    [1] => 13.839
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.021677866897898
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.51580094442426
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.5375953505267
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 22:05:00
                    [1] => 13.848
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 13.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 23:25:00
                    [1] => 13.781
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 23:50:00
                    [1] => 13.674
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 00:50:00
                    [1] => 13.828
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 01:20:00
                    [1] => 13.784
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 01:40:00
                    [1] => 13.831
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 02:30:00
                    [1] => 13.765
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 02:40:00
                    [1] => 13.765
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 03:10:00
                    [1] => 13.839
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.021677866897898
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.51580094442426
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.5375953505267
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.52%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.54%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0175
0.13%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1120
0.81%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 22:05:00 13.848 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:00:00 13.73 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 23:25:00 13.781 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:50:00 13.674 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 00:50:00 13.828 ↑ High
2026-01-16 01:20:00 13.784 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 01:40:00 13.831 ↑ High
2026-01-16 02:30:00 13.765 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 02:40:00 13.765 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:10:00 13.839 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.52%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.54%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1965
1.42%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1770
1.28%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 12:30:00 14.062 ↑ High
2026-01-15 14:15:00 13.626 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 15:45:00 13.609 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:45:00 13.85 ↑ High
2026-01-15 21:00:00 13.701 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 22:00:00 13.848 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:45:00 13.674 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 01:30:00 13.831 ↑ High
2026-01-16 02:30:00 13.765 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 13.839 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.18%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.29%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.0835
7.81%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3280
2.38%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-12 16:00:00 13.458 ↓ Low
2026-01-13 11:00:00 14.616 ↑ High
2026-01-13 17:00:00 14.855 ↑ High
2026-01-14 11:00:00 14.949 ↑ High
2026-01-14 13:00:00 14.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 22:00:00 14.111 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 14.467 ↑ High
2026-01-15 15:00:00 13.609 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:00:00 13.85 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:00:00 13.674 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Jan 2026
03:11:18		 16 Jan 2026
04:20:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.839 13.8655 13.786 2 8.936
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.839
  • Stop Loss: 13.8655
  • Take Profit: 13.786

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.8655 - 13.839 = 0.0265

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.839 - 13.786 = 0.053000000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.053000000000001 / 0.0265 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4177.8754 100 301.8914 41.78
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0265

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0265 = 301.89

Taille de position USD = 301.89 x 13.839 = 4177.86

Donc, tu peux acheter 301.89 avec un stoploss a 13.8655

Avec un position size USD de 4177.86$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 301.89 x 0.0265 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 301.89 x 0.053000000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 301.89
  • Taille de position USD 4177.86
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.38 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.19 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.38
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1445 % 75.46 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.786
            [stop_loss] => 13.8655
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.77275
            [stop_loss] => 13.8655
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.7595
            [stop_loss] => 13.8655
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 05:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.74625
            [stop_loss] => 13.8655
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 05:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.733
            [stop_loss] => 13.8655
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.71975
            [stop_loss] => 13.8655
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 06:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.097
            [max_drawdown] => 0.02
            [rr_ratio] => 4.85
            [high] => 13.85900000
            [low] => 13.74200000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.7
            [mae_pct] => 0.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.85
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T03:11:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T05:11:18-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.125
            [max_drawdown] => 0.02
            [rr_ratio] => 6.25
            [high] => 13.85900000
            [low] => 13.71400000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.9
            [mae_pct] => 0.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.25
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T03:11:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T10:11:18-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.83900000
            [high_after] => 13.85900000
            [low_before] => 13.67400000
            [low_after] => 13.71400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)