Short Trade on AVAX 16 Jan 2026 at 03:33:27

Take profit at 13.8006 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 13.8837 (0.2 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 16 Jan 2026 at 03:33:27

With 288.7209 AVAX at 13.856$ per unit.

Position size of 4000.5169 $

Take profit at 13.8006 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 13.8837 (0.2 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 100
ML Pullback Score: 6
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.71
Prediction 2 Probability
2 0.45
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.78
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.673312

15m : -0.045455

1H : -0.067012

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.0184722797
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 13.812
  4. ema21 : 13.9052
  5. ema50 : 14.0778
  6. ema100 : 14.1151
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00318305
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00670177
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0122602
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0183608
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0739004
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.139218
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.103153
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0516967
  17. rsi : 0.435072
  18. adx : 0.43776
  19. kc_percentage : 0.40887
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.031574
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.633767
  22. volume_ema1 : 235066.81318785
  23. volume_ema2 : 641851.1771368
  24. chop : 79.2887
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 13.8197
  29. ema21 : 13.8018
  30. ema50 : 13.825
  31. ema100 : 13.9284
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00262495
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00129289
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0016734
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00520487
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0372324
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0203116
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.00374767
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0185367
  42. rsi : 0.615015
  43. adx : 0.120433
  44. kc_percentage : 0.886272
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.00997336
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.496321
  47. volume_ema1 : 46392.340409926
  48. volume_ema2 : 92107.04127991
  49. chop : 58.6361
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 13.8279
  54. ema21 : 13.8135
  55. ema50 : 13.7986
  56. ema100 : 13.7919
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00203113
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00103961
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00108014
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00464236
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0176417
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.00963645
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00661168
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00372158
  67. rsi : 0.656738
  68. adx : 0.228874
  69. kc_percentage : 1.06228
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00534232
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.266559
  72. volume_ema1 : 16026.566349814
  73. volume_ema2 : 21851.227582148
  74. chop : 36.9769
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95569.9
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00184359
  81. 5m_price:
    95746.1
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.673312
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95865.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0012462
  86. 15m_price:
    95746.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.045455
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94787.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0101167
  91. 1H_price:
    95746.1
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.067012
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 11:00:00
                        [1] => 14.616
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 17:00:00
                        [1] => 14.855
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 11:00:00
                        [1] => 14.949
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
                        [1] => 14.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                        [1] => 14.111
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 14.467
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
                        [1] => 13.609
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 13.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 13.674
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                        [1] => 13.859
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.02164658344758
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3309931256399
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3529325727658
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 12:30:00
                        [1] => 14.062
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 14:15:00
                        [1] => 13.626
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 15:45:00
                        [1] => 13.609
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 19:45:00
                        [1] => 13.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 21:00:00
                        [1] => 13.701
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 22:00:00
                        [1] => 13.848
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 23:45:00
                        [1] => 13.674
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 01:30:00
                        [1] => 13.831
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 02:30:00
                        [1] => 13.765
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:30:00
                        [1] => 13.859
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.02164658344758
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.66109698510715
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.68289139120959
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 22:05:00
                        [1] => 13.848
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 13.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 23:25:00
                        [1] => 13.781
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 23:50:00
                        [1] => 13.674
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 00:50:00
                        [1] => 13.828
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 01:20:00
                        [1] => 13.784
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 01:40:00
                        [1] => 13.831
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 02:30:00
                        [1] => 13.765
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 02:40:00
                        [1] => 13.765
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:30:00
                        [1] => 13.859
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.02164658344758
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.66109698510715
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.68289139120959
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.66%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.68%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0247
0.18%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1266
0.92%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 22:05:00 13.848 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:00:00 13.73 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 23:25:00 13.781 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:50:00 13.674 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 00:50:00 13.828 ↑ High
2026-01-16 01:20:00 13.784 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 01:40:00 13.831 ↑ High
2026-01-16 02:30:00 13.765 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 02:40:00 13.765 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:30:00 13.859 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.66%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.68%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1783
1.28%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1916
1.39%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 12:30:00 14.062 ↑ High
2026-01-15 14:15:00 13.626 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 15:45:00 13.609 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:45:00 13.85 ↑ High
2026-01-15 21:00:00 13.701 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 22:00:00 13.848 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:45:00 13.674 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 01:30:00 13.831 ↑ High
2026-01-16 02:30:00 13.765 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:30:00 13.859 ↑ High
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.33%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.35%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.0653
7.67%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1916
1.39%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-13 11:00:00 14.616 ↑ High
2026-01-13 17:00:00 14.855 ↑ High
2026-01-14 11:00:00 14.949 ↑ High
2026-01-14 13:00:00 14.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 22:00:00 14.111 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 14.467 ↑ High
2026-01-15 15:00:00 13.609 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:00:00 13.85 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:00:00 13.674 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 13.859 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Jan 2026
03:33:27
16 Jan 2026
04:00:00
26 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.856 13.8837 13.8006 2 8.601
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.856
  • Stop Loss: 13.8837
  • Take Profit: 13.8006

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.8837 - 13.856 = 0.027699999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.856 - 13.8006 = 0.055400000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.055400000000001 / 0.027699999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4000.5169 100 288.7209 40.01
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.027699999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.027699999999999 = 288.81

Taille de position USD = 288.81 x 13.856 = 4001.75

Donc, tu peux acheter 288.81 avec un stoploss a 13.8837

Avec un position size USD de 4001.75$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 288.81 x 0.027699999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 288.81 x 0.055400000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 288.81
  • Taille de position USD 4001.75
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.4 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.2 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.40
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.8006
            [stop_loss] => 13.8837
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.78675
            [stop_loss] => 13.8837
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.7729
            [stop_loss] => 13.8837
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.75905
            [stop_loss] => 13.8837
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 05:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.7452
            [stop_loss] => 13.8837
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 05:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.73135
            [stop_loss] => 13.8837
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.7175
            [stop_loss] => 13.8837
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 08:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.126
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 13.85600000
            [low] => 13.73000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.91
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T03:33:27-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T05:33:27-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.375
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 13.85600000
            [low] => 13.48100000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.71
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T03:33:27-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T10:33:27-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.85900000
            [high_after] => 13.85600000
            [low_before] => 13.67400000
            [low_after] => 13.71400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)