Short Trade on HOOD 16 Jan 2026 at 04:05:47
Take profit at 112.8438 (0.13 %) and Stop Loss at 113.0631 (0.065 %)
Short Trade on HOOD 16 Jan 2026 at 04:05:47
Take profit at 112.8438 (0.13 %) and Stop Loss at 113.0631 (0.065 %)
Position size of 12368.4911 $
Take profit at 112.8438 (0.13 %) and Stop Loss at 113.0631 (0.065 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.81 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.57 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.180772 15m : 0.054553 1H : -0.016654 |
0 |
Indicators:
95574.8
0.000930442
95663.8
0.180772
95820.5
-0.00163588
95663.8
0.054553
94765.6
0.00947778
95663.8
-0.016654
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 20:00:00
[1] => 116.94
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 09:00:00
[1] => 116.16
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 17:00:00
[1] => 121.64
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 09:00:00
[1] => 120.87
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 10:00:00
[1] => 116.64
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 15:00:00
[1] => 119.69
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 23:00:00
[1] => 117.97
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
[1] => 119.93
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
[1] => 110.25
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
[1] => 113.01
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.026546323334219
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4761904761905
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5034013605442
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 09:30:00
[1] => 119.81
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 11:45:00
[1] => 115.24
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 12:30:00
[1] => 116.49
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:30:00
[1] => 110.25
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 17:30:00
[1] => 112.16
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 18:30:00
[1] => 111.57
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 20:00:00
[1] => 112.5
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 21:30:00
[1] => 111.96
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:15:00
[1] => 112.53
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:45:00
[1] => 113.01
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.026546323334219
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91103965702037
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 26
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.42655291922154
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 00:45:00
[1] => 112.49
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 01:10:00
[1] => 112.49
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 01:20:00
[1] => 112.41
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 02:00:00
[1] => 112.78
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 02:35:00
[1] => 112.48
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 02:45:00
[1] => 112.48
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:05:00
[1] => 112.8
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:35:00
[1] => 112.8
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:45:00
[1] => 113.01
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:55:00
[1] => 113.01
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.026546323334219
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.15957446808511
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 00:45:00 | 112.49 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 01:10:00 | 112.49 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 01:20:00 | 112.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 02:00:00 | 112.78 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 02:35:00 | 112.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 02:45:00 | 112.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 03:05:00 | 112.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 03:35:00 | 112.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 03:45:00 | 113.01 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 03:55:00 | 113.01 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 09:30:00 | 119.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 11:45:00 | 115.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 12:30:00 | 116.49 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:30:00 | 110.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 17:30:00 | 112.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 18:30:00 | 111.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 20:00:00 | 112.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 21:30:00 | 111.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 22:15:00 | 112.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 03:45:00 | 113.01 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 20:00:00 | 116.94 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 09:00:00 | 116.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 17:00:00 | 121.64 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 09:00:00 | 120.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 10:00:00 | 116.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 15:00:00 | 119.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 23:00:00 | 117.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 04:00:00 | 119.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:00:00 | 110.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 03:00:00 | 113.01 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 04:05:47 |
16 Jan 2026 04:15:00 |
9 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112.99 | 113.0631 | 112.8438 | 2 | 75.32 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 113.0631 - 112.99 = 0.073100000000011
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 112.99 - 112.8438 = 0.14619999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.14619999999999 / 0.073100000000011 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12368.4911 | 100 | 109.4654 | 123.68 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.073100000000011 = 109.44
Taille de position USD = 109.44 x 112.99 = 12365.63
Donc, tu peux acheter 109.44 avec un stoploss a 113.0631
Avec un position size USD de 12365.63$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 109.44 x 0.073100000000011 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 109.44 x 0.14619999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.13 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.065 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 112.8438
[stop_loss] => 113.0631
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:15:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 112.80725
[stop_loss] => 113.0631
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 112.7707
[stop_loss] => 113.0631
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 112.73415
[stop_loss] => 113.0631
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:15:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 112.6976
[stop_loss] => 113.0631
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:15:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 112.66105
[stop_loss] => 113.0631
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:15:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 112.6245
[stop_loss] => 113.0631
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:15:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 112.58795
[stop_loss] => 113.0631
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:20:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 112.5514
[stop_loss] => 113.0631
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:20:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 112.51485
[stop_loss] => 113.0631
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:20:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 112.4783
[stop_loss] => 113.0631
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 04:20:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.64999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 112.98000000
[low] => 112.34000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.58
[mae_pct] => -0.01
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-16T04:05:47-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T06:05:47-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 5.92
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 112.98000000
[low] => 107.07000000
[mfe_pct] => 5.24
[mae_pct] => -0.01
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-16T04:05:47-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T11:05:47-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 113.01000000
[high_after] => 112.98000000
[low_before] => 112.39000000
[low_after] => 107.07000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)