Long Trade on RIVER 16 Jan 2026 at 04:34:16
Take profit at 33.5693 (8.72 %) and Stop Loss at 29.5308 (4.36 %)
Long Trade on RIVER 16 Jan 2026 at 04:34:16
Take profit at 33.5693 (8.72 %) and Stop Loss at 29.5308 (4.36 %)
Position size of 183.4961 $
Take profit at 33.5693 (8.72 %) and Stop Loss at 29.5308 (4.36 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.85 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.72 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.57 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_high_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.071461 15m : -0.077224 1H : 0.161265 |
1 |
Indicators:
95558.5
0.000452458
95601.8
0.071461
95849.8
-0.00258761
95601.8
-0.077224
94764.4
0.0088366
95601.8
0.161265
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 14:00:00
[1] => 21.9
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 19:00:00
[1] => 18.731
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 03:00:00
[1] => 22.776
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 07:00:00
[1] => 18.092
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 11:00:00
[1] => 21.744
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
[1] => 22.831
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 11:00:00
[1] => 31.365
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 19:00:00
[1] => 20.253
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
[1] => 16.852
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
[1] => 34.864
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -11.501835704452
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 83.088060764301
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 24
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 106.88345596962
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 09:00:00
[1] => 20.576
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 10:45:00
[1] => 22.4
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 11:30:00
[1] => 20.909
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 14:45:00
[1] => 24.54
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:15:00
[1] => 22.901
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 16:30:00
[1] => 25.888
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 18:45:00
[1] => 23.838
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
[1] => 25.787
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:30:00
[1] => 34.864
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 04:30:00
[1] => 30.308
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -11.501835704452
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8015045532533
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 15.03233469711
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 20:20:00
[1] => 24.789
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:35:00
[1] => 28.419
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
[1] => 25.787
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 00:55:00
[1] => 31.265
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 01:15:00
[1] => 29.818
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 02:05:00
[1] => 33.333
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 02:55:00
[1] => 34.586
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:15:00
[1] => 32
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:35:00
[1] => 34.864
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 04:30:00
[1] => 30.308
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -11.501835704452
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8015045532533
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 15.03233469711
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 20:20:00 | 24.789 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 22:35:00 | 28.419 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 23:00:00 | 25.787 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 00:55:00 | 31.265 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 01:15:00 | 29.818 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 02:05:00 | 33.333 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 02:55:00 | 34.586 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 03:15:00 | 32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 03:35:00 | 34.864 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 04:30:00 | 30.308 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 09:00:00 | 20.576 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 10:45:00 | 22.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 11:30:00 | 20.909 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 14:45:00 | 24.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:15:00 | 22.901 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 16:30:00 | 25.888 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 18:45:00 | 23.838 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 23:00:00 | 25.787 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 03:30:00 | 34.864 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 04:30:00 | 30.308 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 14:00:00 | 21.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 19:00:00 | 18.731 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 03:00:00 | 22.776 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-13 07:00:00 | 18.092 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 11:00:00 | 21.744 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 07:00:00 | 22.831 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 11:00:00 | 31.365 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 19:00:00 | 20.253 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 04:00:00 | 16.852 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 03:00:00 | 34.864 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 04:34:16 |
16 Jan 2026 05:05:00 |
30 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.877 | 29.5308 | 33.5693 | 2 | 11.032 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 29.5308 - 30.877 = -1.3462
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 30.877 - 33.5693 = -2.6923
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.6923 / -1.3462 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 183.4961 | 100 | 5.9428 | 1.83 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.3462 = -5.94
Taille de position USD = -5.94 x 30.877 = -183.41
Donc, tu peux acheter -5.94 avec un stoploss a 29.5308
Avec un position size USD de -183.41$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5.94 x -1.3462 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5.94 x -2.6923 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.72 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.36 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -4.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.777 % | 109.57 % | 3 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 33.5693
[entry_price] => 30.877
[stop_loss] => 29.39618
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 05:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 33.5693
[entry_price] => 30.877
[stop_loss] => 29.26156
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 05:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 33.5693
[entry_price] => 30.877
[stop_loss] => 29.12694
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 05:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 33.5693
[entry_price] => 30.877
[stop_loss] => 28.8577
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 05:40:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.176
[max_drawdown] => 6.786
[rr_ratio] => 0.32
[high] => 33.05300000
[low] => 24.09100000
[mfe_pct] => 7.05
[mae_pct] => 21.98
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.32
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-16T04:34:16-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T06:34:16-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.176
[max_drawdown] => 8.712
[rr_ratio] => 0.25
[high] => 33.05300000
[low] => 22.16500000
[mfe_pct] => 7.05
[mae_pct] => 28.22
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.25
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-16T04:34:16-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T11:34:16-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 34.86400000
[high_after] => 33.05300000
[low_before] => 29.81800000
[low_after] => 22.16500000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)