Short Trade on TRUMP 16 Jan 2026 at 11:50:07

Take profit at 5.3386 (0.75 %) and Stop Loss at 5.3992 (0.38 %)

Short Trade on TRUMP

The 16 Jan 2026 at 11:50:07

With 396.1632 TRUMP at 5.379$ per unit.

Position size of 2130.9619 $

Take profit at 5.3386 (0.75 %) and Stop Loss at 5.3992 (0.38 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 5.33
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.6
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.75
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.59
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.681134

15m : 0.038021

1H : -0.155375

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.01346246505
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 5.36827
  4. ema21 : 5.38072
  5. ema50 : 5.42452
  6. ema100 : 5.44125
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00199719
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00231404
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00807427
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0114419
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.0184641
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.025163
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0470904
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0274746
  17. rsi : 0.478306
  18. adx : 0.406266
  19. kc_percentage : 0.498837
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0318364
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.574054
  22. volume_ema1 : 467012.65074057
  23. volume_ema2 : 296694.14674923
  24. chop : 49.4961
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 5.35575
  29. ema21 : 5.36305
  30. ema50 : 5.36937
  31. ema100 : 5.374
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00434045
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00136054
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00117723
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.000929824
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0383575
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0315596
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0144156
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0081182
  42. rsi : 0.543114
  43. adx : 0.212097
  44. kc_percentage : 0.681849
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0168541
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.310379
  47. volume_ema1 : 115482.79959144
  48. volume_ema2 : 88129.282829116
  49. chop : 33.6763
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 5.35795
  54. ema21 : 5.35087
  55. ema50 : 5.359
  56. ema100 : 5.37328
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00392805
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00132367
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00151707
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00106389
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.048538
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.00718399
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.00911796
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0105569
  67. rsi : 0.625764
  68. adx : 0.305685
  69. kc_percentage : 1.03727
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00973191
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.439128
  72. volume_ema1 : 24063.882284016
  73. volume_ema2 : 42904.444670296
  74. chop : 33.2914
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95227.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00331518
  81. 5m_price:
    94912.1
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.681134
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95530.6
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00640033
  86. 15m_price:
    94919.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.038021
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94668.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00257518
  91. 1H_price:
    94912.1
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.155375
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 23:00:00
                        [1] => 5.783
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 11:00:00
                        [1] => 5.707
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                        [1] => 5.416
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 5.508
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 06:00:00
                        [1] => 5.508
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
                        [1] => 5.31
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5.38
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 5.309
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 04:00:00
                        [1] => 5.433
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                        [1] => 5.287
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1595803423523
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.569888405523
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7614904482693
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 22:15:00
                        [1] => 5.371
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 23:45:00
                        [1] => 5.309
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 00:45:00
                        [1] => 5.361
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 04:30:00
                        [1] => 5.433
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 06:15:00
                        [1] => 5.365
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 07:00:00
                        [1] => 5.404
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 08:30:00
                        [1] => 5.362
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:30:00
                        [1] => 5.387
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 10:45:00
                        [1] => 5.287
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:45:00
                        [1] => 5.383
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24150102173509
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.569888405523
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8157745413278
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 06:15:00
                        [1] => 5.365
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 07:00:00
                        [1] => 5.404
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 07:50:00
                        [1] => 5.367
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 08:15:00
                        [1] => 5.382
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 08:25:00
                        [1] => 5.382
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 08:35:00
                        [1] => 5.362
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:30:00
                        [1] => 5.387
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:45:00
                        [1] => 5.387
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 10:45:00
                        [1] => 5.287
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:50:00
                        [1] => 5.383
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24150102173509
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.569888405523
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8157745413278
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.57%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.82%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0048
0.09%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0516
0.97%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 06:15:00 5.365 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 07:00:00 5.404 ↑ High
2026-01-16 07:50:00 5.367 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 08:15:00 5.382 ↑ High
2026-01-16 08:25:00 5.382 ↑ High
2026-01-16 08:35:00 5.362 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 09:30:00 5.387 ↑ High
2026-01-16 09:45:00 5.387 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:45:00 5.287 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 11:50:00 5.383 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.57%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.82%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0338
0.63%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0516
0.97%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 22:15:00 5.371 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:45:00 5.309 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 00:45:00 5.361 ↑ High
2026-01-16 04:30:00 5.433 ↑ High
2026-01-16 06:15:00 5.365 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 07:00:00 5.404 ↑ High
2026-01-16 08:30:00 5.362 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 09:30:00 5.387 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:45:00 5.287 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 11:45:00 5.383 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.57%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.76%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3838
7.11%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0516
0.97%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-13 23:00:00 5.783 ↑ High
2026-01-14 11:00:00 5.707 ↑ High
2026-01-14 22:00:00 5.416 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 5.508 ↑ High
2026-01-15 06:00:00 5.508 ↑ High
2026-01-15 14:00:00 5.31 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:00:00 5.38 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:00:00 5.309 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 04:00:00 5.433 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:00:00 5.287 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Jan 2026
11:50:07
16 Jan 2026
13:45:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5.379 5.3992 5.3386 2 3.465
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5.379
  • Stop Loss: 5.3992
  • Take Profit: 5.3386

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 5.3992 - 5.379 = 0.020200000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5.379 - 5.3386 = 0.0404

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0404 / 0.020200000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2130.9619 100 396.1632 21.31
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.020200000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.020200000000001 = 396.04

Taille de position USD = 396.04 x 5.379 = 2130.3

Donc, tu peux acheter 396.04 avec un stoploss a 5.3992

Avec un position size USD de 2130.3$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 396.04 x 0.020200000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 396.04 x 0.0404 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 396.04
  • Taille de position USD 2130.3
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.75 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.38 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.75
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.3386
            [stop_loss] => 5.3992
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 13:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.3285
            [stop_loss] => 5.3992
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 14:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.3184
            [stop_loss] => 5.3992
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 15:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.3083
            [stop_loss] => 5.3992
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 15:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2982
            [stop_loss] => 5.3992
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 15:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2881
            [stop_loss] => 5.3992
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 15:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.278
            [stop_loss] => 5.3992
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 15:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2679
            [stop_loss] => 5.3992
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 15:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2578
            [stop_loss] => 5.3992
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 15:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2477
            [stop_loss] => 5.3992
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 15:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2376
            [stop_loss] => 5.3992
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 15:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.042
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 5.37000000
            [low] => 5.33700000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.78
            [mae_pct] => -0.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T11:50:07-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T13:50:07-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.06
            [max_drawdown] => 0.027
            [rr_ratio] => 2.22
            [high] => 5.40600000
            [low] => 5.31900000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.12
            [mae_pct] => 0.5
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.22
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T11:50:07-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T18:50:07-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 5.38700000
            [high_after] => 5.40600000
            [low_before] => 5.28700000
            [low_after] => 5.31900000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)