Short Trade on AVAX 16 Jan 2026 at 15:39:03

Take profit at 13.4093 (0.87 %) and Stop Loss at 13.5858 (0.43 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 16 Jan 2026 at 15:39:03

With 135.9781 AVAX at 13.527$ per unit.

Position size of 1839.3754 $

Take profit at 13.4093 (0.87 %) and Stop Loss at 13.5858 (0.43 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.07
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.56
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.59
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.59
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.672056

15m : 0.06457

1H : 0.010139

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.23
  4. atr: 0.03922201018
Details
  1. score: 1.23
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 13.5144
  4. ema21 : 13.6552
  5. ema50 : 13.8787
  6. ema100 : 13.9712
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000930442
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0103093
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0161081
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0317949
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.174006
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.147311
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.113943
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0633696
  17. rsi : 0.387705
  18. adx : 0.50346
  19. kc_percentage : 0.295109
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0423739
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.159912
  22. volume_ema1 : 902918.99353547
  23. volume_ema2 : 778437.20171538
  24. chop : 34.0647
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 13.425
  29. ema21 : 13.4468
  30. ema50 : 13.5521
  31. ema100 : 13.6343
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00759558
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00162543
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00776771
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00787327
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0120545
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0486943
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0557784
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0383346
  42. rsi : 0.537028
  43. adx : 0.393529
  44. kc_percentage : 0.778728
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.022298
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.238978
  47. volume_ema1 : 178222.23236055
  48. volume_ema2 : 234188.07248794
  49. chop : 56.338
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 13.4512
  54. ema21 : 13.4127
  55. ema50 : 13.4208
  56. ema100 : 13.4949
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00562984
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00287348
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000606813
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00237491
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0554247
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.027838
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.000875662
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.01261
  67. rsi : 0.660998
  68. adx : 0.213844
  69. kc_percentage : 1.22598
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0114784
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.0102922
  72. volume_ema1 : 78432.940109383
  73. volume_ema2 : 79248.58836144
  74. chop : 28.8823
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95054.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000953781
  81. 5m_price:
    95145.3
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.672056
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95269.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00182802
  86. 15m_price:
    95095
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.06457
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94805.4
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00358509
  91. 1H_price:
    95145.3
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.010139
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 17:00:00
                        [1] => 14.855
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 11:00:00
                        [1] => 14.949
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
                        [1] => 14.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                        [1] => 14.111
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 14.467
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
                        [1] => 13.609
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 13.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 13.674
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                        [1] => 13.859
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:00:00
                        [1] => 13.182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.4460639295765
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5641025641026
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.1357912304658
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 02:30:00
                        [1] => 13.765
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:30:00
                        [1] => 13.859
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 06:15:00
                        [1] => 13.719
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 07:00:00
                        [1] => 13.798
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 08:30:00
                        [1] => 13.714
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:45:00
                        [1] => 13.806
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:15:00
                        [1] => 13.182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
                        [1] => 13.445
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 13.288
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:30:00
                        [1] => 13.54
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14771048744461
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7459361830223
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.896447922938
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:15:00
                        [1] => 13.742
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:45:00
                        [1] => 13.806
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:15:00
                        [1] => 13.182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:45:00
                        [1] => 13.423
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 12:10:00
                        [1] => 13.278
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
                        [1] => 13.445
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 14:10:00
                        [1] => 13.297
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 14:35:00
                        [1] => 13.424
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:05:00
                        [1] => 13.288
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:35:00
                        [1] => 13.54
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14771048744461
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7459361830223
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.896447922938
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.75%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.90%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2202
1.62%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2273
1.70%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 09:15:00 13.742 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 09:45:00 13.806 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:15:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 11:45:00 13.423 ↑ High
2026-01-16 12:10:00 13.278 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:15:00 13.445 ↑ High
2026-01-16 14:10:00 13.297 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 14:35:00 13.424 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:05:00 13.288 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 15:35:00 13.54 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.75%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.90%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2732
2.01%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2273
1.70%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 02:30:00 13.765 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:30:00 13.859 ↑ High
2026-01-16 06:15:00 13.719 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 07:00:00 13.798 ↑ High
2026-01-16 08:30:00 13.714 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 09:45:00 13.806 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:15:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:15:00 13.445 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:00:00 13.288 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 15:30:00 13.54 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.45%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.56%
Bars Since Swing High
12 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.14%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.3632
10.03%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2273
1.70%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-13 17:00:00 14.855 ↑ High
2026-01-14 11:00:00 14.949 ↑ High
2026-01-14 13:00:00 14.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 22:00:00 14.111 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 14.467 ↑ High
2026-01-15 15:00:00 13.609 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:00:00 13.85 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:00:00 13.674 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 13.859 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:00:00 13.182 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Jan 2026
15:39:03
16 Jan 2026
16:00:00
20 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.527 13.5858 13.4093 2 8.983
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.527
  • Stop Loss: 13.5858
  • Take Profit: 13.4093

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.5858 - 13.527 = 0.058800000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.527 - 13.4093 = 0.1177

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1177 / 0.058800000000002 = 2.0017

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1839.3754 100 135.9781 18.39
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.058800000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.058800000000002 = 136.05

Taille de position USD = 136.05 x 13.527 = 1840.35

Donc, tu peux acheter 136.05 avec un stoploss a 13.5858

Avec un position size USD de 1840.35$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 136.05 x 0.058800000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 136.05 x 0.1177 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 136.05
  • Taille de position USD 1840.35
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0017

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.87 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.43 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.43
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6358 % 146.26 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.4093
            [entry_price] => 13.527
            [stop_loss] => 13.59168
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.4093
            [entry_price] => 13.527
            [stop_loss] => 13.59756
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.4093
            [entry_price] => 13.527
            [stop_loss] => 13.60344
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.4093
            [entry_price] => 13.527
            [stop_loss] => 13.6152
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 16:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0069999999999997
            [max_drawdown] => 0.133
            [rr_ratio] => 0.05
            [high] => 13.66000000
            [low] => 13.52000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.05
            [mae_pct] => 0.98
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.05
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T15:39:03-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T17:39:03-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0069999999999997
            [max_drawdown] => 0.133
            [rr_ratio] => 0.05
            [high] => 13.66000000
            [low] => 13.52000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.05
            [mae_pct] => 0.98
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.05
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T15:39:03-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T22:39:03-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.54000000
            [high_after] => 13.66000000
            [low_before] => 13.27800000
            [low_after] => 13.52000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)