Short Trade on AVAX 16 Jan 2026 at 15:48:17

Take profit at 13.4366 (0.83 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6052 (0.41 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 16 Jan 2026 at 15:48:17

With 142.38 AVAX at 13.549$ per unit.

Position size of 1929.1065 $

Take profit at 13.4366 (0.83 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6052 (0.41 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.12
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.54
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.8
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.62
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.67246

15m : -0.083318

1H : 0.173235

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.26
  4. atr: 0.03745844665
Details
  1. score: 1.26
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 13.5188
  4. ema21 : 13.6572
  5. ema50 : 13.8796
  6. ema100 : 13.9716
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00223202
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0101321
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0160252
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0302505
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.17135
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.146112
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.113432
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0631117
  17. rsi : 0.402194
  18. adx : 0.500795
  19. kc_percentage : 0.332753
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0430431
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.203001
  22. volume_ema1 : 941991.0794688
  23. volume_ema2 : 783033.91770754
  24. chop : 34.1054
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 13.4557
  29. ema21 : 13.4592
  30. ema50 : 13.553
  31. ema100 : 13.6303
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00693062
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000258724
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00692078
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00597179
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0321005
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0339533
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.049008
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0348528
  42. rsi : 0.564691
  43. adx : 0.365352
  44. kc_percentage : 0.820666
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0213552
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.288463
  47. volume_ema1 : 164791.53714037
  48. volume_ema2 : 231599.46254879
  49. chop : 51.4341
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 13.4855
  54. ema21 : 13.4358
  55. ema50 : 13.4301
  56. ema100 : 13.4947
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00470446
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00369939
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000422696
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00401947
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0709097
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0400367
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00843056
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00795728
  67. rsi : 0.680339
  68. adx : 0.236519
  69. kc_percentage : 1.26011
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0107615
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.0733521
  72. volume_ema1 : 72041.883000466
  73. volume_ema2 : 77744.617758889
  74. chop : 25.1308
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95050.8
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00156796
  81. 5m_price:
    95199.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.67246
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95275.3
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000791759
  86. 15m_price:
    95199.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.083318
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94806.4
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00414955
  91. 1H_price:
    95199.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.173235
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 17:00:00
                        [1] => 14.855
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 11:00:00
                        [1] => 14.949
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
                        [1] => 14.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                        [1] => 14.111
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 14.467
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
                        [1] => 13.609
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 13.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 13.674
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                        [1] => 13.859
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:00:00
                        [1] => 13.182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.2223825672848
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.799271734183
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.1357912304658
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 02:30:00
                        [1] => 13.765
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:30:00
                        [1] => 13.859
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 06:15:00
                        [1] => 13.719
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 07:00:00
                        [1] => 13.798
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 08:30:00
                        [1] => 13.714
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:45:00
                        [1] => 13.806
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:15:00
                        [1] => 13.182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
                        [1] => 13.445
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 13.288
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:45:00
                        [1] => 13.565
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10320678215997
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9792293798916
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0845875978326
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:15:00
                        [1] => 13.742
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:45:00
                        [1] => 13.806
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:15:00
                        [1] => 13.182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:45:00
                        [1] => 13.423
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 12:10:00
                        [1] => 13.278
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
                        [1] => 13.445
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 14:10:00
                        [1] => 13.297
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 14:35:00
                        [1] => 13.424
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:05:00
                        [1] => 13.288
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:45:00
                        [1] => 13.565
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10320678215997
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9792293798916
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0845875978326
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.98%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.08%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2008
1.48%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2546
1.89%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 09:15:00 13.742 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 09:45:00 13.806 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:15:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 11:45:00 13.423 ↑ High
2026-01-16 12:10:00 13.278 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:15:00 13.445 ↑ High
2026-01-16 14:10:00 13.297 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 14:35:00 13.424 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:05:00 13.288 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 15:45:00 13.565 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.98%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.08%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2538
1.87%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2546
1.89%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 02:30:00 13.765 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:30:00 13.859 ↑ High
2026-01-16 06:15:00 13.719 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 07:00:00 13.798 ↑ High
2026-01-16 08:30:00 13.714 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 09:45:00 13.806 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:15:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:15:00 13.445 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:00:00 13.288 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 15:45:00 13.565 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.22%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.80%
Bars Since Swing High
12 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.14%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.3438
9.88%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2546
1.89%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-13 17:00:00 14.855 ↑ High
2026-01-14 11:00:00 14.949 ↑ High
2026-01-14 13:00:00 14.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 22:00:00 14.111 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 14.467 ↑ High
2026-01-15 15:00:00 13.609 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:00:00 13.85 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:00:00 13.674 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 13.859 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:00:00 13.182 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Jan 2026
15:48:17
16 Jan 2026
16:00:00
11 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.549 13.6052 13.4366 2 8.983
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.549
  • Stop Loss: 13.6052
  • Take Profit: 13.4366

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.6052 - 13.549 = 0.0562

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.549 - 13.4366 = 0.1124

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1124 / 0.0562 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1929.1065 100 142.38 19.29
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0562

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0562 = 142.35

Taille de position USD = 142.35 x 13.549 = 1928.7

Donc, tu peux acheter 142.35 avec un stoploss a 13.6052

Avec un position size USD de 1928.7$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 142.35 x 0.0562 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 142.35 x 0.1124 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 142.35
  • Taille de position USD 1928.7
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.83 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.41 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.41
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4724 % 113.89 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.4366
            [entry_price] => 13.549
            [stop_loss] => 13.61082
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.4366
            [entry_price] => 13.549
            [stop_loss] => 13.61644
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 16:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.4366
            [entry_price] => 13.549
            [stop_loss] => 13.62206
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 16:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.4366
            [entry_price] => 13.549
            [stop_loss] => 13.6333
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 16:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0039999999999996
            [max_drawdown] => 0.111
            [rr_ratio] => 0.04
            [high] => 13.66000000
            [low] => 13.54500000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.03
            [mae_pct] => 0.82
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.04
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T15:48:17-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T17:48:17-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.014999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.111
            [rr_ratio] => 0.14
            [high] => 13.66000000
            [low] => 13.53400000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.11
            [mae_pct] => 0.82
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T15:48:17-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T22:48:17-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.56500000
            [high_after] => 13.66000000
            [low_before] => 13.27800000
            [low_after] => 13.53600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)