Short Trade on AVAX 16 Jan 2026 at 15:52:51
Take profit at 13.4619 (0.81 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6271 (0.41 %)
Short Trade on AVAX 16 Jan 2026 at 15:52:51
Take profit at 13.4619 (0.81 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6271 (0.41 %)
Position size of 1971.7627 $
Take profit at 13.4619 (0.81 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6271 (0.41 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.62 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.62 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.67 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.673589 15m : 0.039175 1H : -0.001321 |
0 |
Indicators:
95055.3
0.00207883
95253
0.673589
95275.1
-0.000884353
95190.9
0.039175
94807.5
0.0046985
95253
-0.001321
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 17:00:00
[1] => 14.855
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 11:00:00
[1] => 14.949
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
[1] => 14.4
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
[1] => 14.111
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
[1] => 14.467
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
[1] => 13.609
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
[1] => 13.85
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
[1] => 13.674
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
[1] => 13.859
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 11:00:00
[1] => 13.182
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.106934122231
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9206493703535
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.1357912304658
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 02:30:00
[1] => 13.765
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:30:00
[1] => 13.859
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 06:15:00
[1] => 13.719
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 07:00:00
[1] => 13.798
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 08:30:00
[1] => 13.714
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 09:45:00
[1] => 13.806
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 11:15:00
[1] => 13.182
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
[1] => 13.445
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 15:00:00
[1] => 13.288
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 15:45:00
[1] => 13.583
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11779430170066
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0996387718242
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2200481637568
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 09:15:00
[1] => 13.742
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 09:45:00
[1] => 13.806
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 11:15:00
[1] => 13.182
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 11:45:00
[1] => 13.423
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 12:10:00
[1] => 13.278
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
[1] => 13.445
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 14:10:00
[1] => 13.297
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 14:35:00
[1] => 13.424
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 15:05:00
[1] => 13.288
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 15:50:00
[1] => 13.583
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11779430170066
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0996387718242
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2200481637568
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 09:15:00 | 13.742 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 09:45:00 | 13.806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 11:15:00 | 13.182 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 11:45:00 | 13.423 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 12:10:00 | 13.278 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 13:15:00 | 13.445 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 14:10:00 | 13.297 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 14:35:00 | 13.424 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 15:05:00 | 13.288 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 15:50:00 | 13.583 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 02:30:00 | 13.765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 03:30:00 | 13.859 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 06:15:00 | 13.719 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 07:00:00 | 13.798 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 08:30:00 | 13.714 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 09:45:00 | 13.806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 11:15:00 | 13.182 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 13:15:00 | 13.445 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 15:00:00 | 13.288 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 15:45:00 | 13.583 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 17:00:00 | 14.855 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 11:00:00 | 14.949 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 13:00:00 | 14.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 22:00:00 | 14.111 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 04:00:00 | 14.467 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:00:00 | 13.609 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 19:00:00 | 13.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 23:00:00 | 13.674 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 03:00:00 | 13.859 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 11:00:00 | 13.182 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 15:52:51 |
16 Jan 2026 16:30:00 |
37 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.572 | 13.6271 | 13.4619 | 2 | 9.344 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.6271 - 13.572 = 0.055100000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 13.572 - 13.4619 = 0.1101
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1101 / 0.055100000000001 = 1.9982
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1971.7627 | 100 | 145.2817 | 19.72 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.055100000000001 = 145.19
Taille de position USD = 145.19 x 13.572 = 1970.52
Donc, tu peux acheter 145.19 avec un stoploss a 13.6271
Avec un position size USD de 1970.52$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 145.19 x 0.055100000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 145.19 x 0.1101 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.81 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.41 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6484 % | 159.7 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.4619
[entry_price] => 13.572
[stop_loss] => 13.63261
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 16:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.4619
[entry_price] => 13.572
[stop_loss] => 13.63812
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 16:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.4619
[entry_price] => 13.572
[stop_loss] => 13.64363
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 16:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.4619
[entry_price] => 13.572
[stop_loss] => 13.65465
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 16:30:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.023
[max_drawdown] => 0.088000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 0.26
[high] => 13.66000000
[low] => 13.54900000
[mfe_pct] => 0.17
[mae_pct] => 0.65
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.26
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-16T15:52:51-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T17:52:51-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.037999999999998
[max_drawdown] => 0.088000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 0.43
[high] => 13.66000000
[low] => 13.53400000
[mfe_pct] => 0.28
[mae_pct] => 0.65
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.43
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-16T15:52:51-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T22:52:51-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 13.58300000
[high_after] => 13.66000000
[low_before] => 13.27800000
[low_after] => 13.53600000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)