Short Trade on AVAX 16 Jan 2026 at 16:06:08

Take profit at 13.5067 (0.76 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6616 (0.38 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 16 Jan 2026 at 16:06:08

With 154.9635 AVAX at 13.61$ per unit.

Position size of 2109.0536 $

Take profit at 13.5067 (0.76 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6616 (0.38 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.89
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.92
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.82
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.91
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.664155

15m : -0.05833

1H : 0.030382

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.42
  4. atr: 0.03441670113
Details
  1. score: 1.42
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 13.5415
  4. ema21 : 13.6552
  5. ema50 : 13.8691
  6. ema100 : 13.9578
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00505551
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00832507
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0154239
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0249221
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.154123
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.140438
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.111896
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0623664
  17. rsi : 0.44045
  18. adx : 0.48861
  19. kc_percentage : 0.435058
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0401284
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.0854568
  22. volume_ema1 : 687316.18611254
  23. volume_ema2 : 751540.4439263
  24. chop : 34.3524
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 13.491
  29. ema21 : 13.4752
  30. ema50 : 13.5553
  31. ema100 : 13.6232
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00881511
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00117491
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00590775
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.000971124
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0562078
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0169483
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0407571
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0299698
  42. rsi : 0.608024
  43. adx : 0.340108
  44. kc_percentage : 0.985381
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0206971
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.262309
  47. volume_ema1 : 169183.15789358
  48. volume_ema2 : 229341.58205948
  49. chop : 44.9419
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 13.5507
  54. ema21 : 13.4858
  55. ema50 : 13.4542
  56. ema100 : 13.5029
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00437429
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00481089
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00234746
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00792817
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.123467
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0762397
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0295257
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00401586
  67. rsi : 0.73137
  68. adx : 0.292696
  69. kc_percentage : 1.42478
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0095766
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.314121
  72. volume_ema1 : 50765.688530956
  73. volume_ema2 : 74015.560691008
  74. chop : 19.2908
  75. regime : bull_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95068.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0042963
  81. 5m_price:
    95477.1
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.664155
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95239.3
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00249584
  86. 15m_price:
    95477.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.05833
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94850.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00660882
  91. 1H_price:
    95477.1
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.030382
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 11:00:00
                        [1] => 14.949
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
                        [1] => 14.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                        [1] => 14.111
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 14.467
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
                        [1] => 13.609
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 13.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 13.674
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                        [1] => 13.859
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:00:00
                        [1] => 13.182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 13.624
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12477980035233
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.2240934607798
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.353057199211
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 02:30:00
                        [1] => 13.765
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:30:00
                        [1] => 13.859
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 06:15:00
                        [1] => 13.719
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 07:00:00
                        [1] => 13.798
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 08:30:00
                        [1] => 13.714
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:45:00
                        [1] => 13.806
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:15:00
                        [1] => 13.182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
                        [1] => 13.445
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 13.288
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 13.624
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12477980035233
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4006622516556
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.528597230584
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:15:00
                        [1] => 13.742
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:45:00
                        [1] => 13.806
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:15:00
                        [1] => 13.182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:45:00
                        [1] => 13.423
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 12:10:00
                        [1] => 13.278
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
                        [1] => 13.445
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 14:10:00
                        [1] => 13.297
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 14:35:00
                        [1] => 13.424
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:05:00
                        [1] => 13.288
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:05:00
                        [1] => 13.624
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12477980035233
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4006622516556
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.528597230584
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.12%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.40%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.53%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1444
1.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3247
2.40%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 09:15:00 13.742 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 09:45:00 13.806 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:15:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 11:45:00 13.423 ↑ High
2026-01-16 12:10:00 13.278 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:15:00 13.445 ↑ High
2026-01-16 14:10:00 13.297 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 14:35:00 13.424 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:05:00 13.288 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:05:00 13.624 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.12%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.40%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.53%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1974
1.44%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3247
2.40%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 02:30:00 13.765 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:30:00 13.859 ↑ High
2026-01-16 06:15:00 13.719 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 07:00:00 13.798 ↑ High
2026-01-16 08:30:00 13.714 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 09:45:00 13.806 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:15:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:15:00 13.445 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:00:00 13.288 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:00:00 13.624 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.12%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.22%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.35%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.2874
9.42%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3247
2.40%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 11:00:00 14.949 ↑ High
2026-01-14 13:00:00 14.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 22:00:00 14.111 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 14.467 ↑ High
2026-01-15 15:00:00 13.609 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:00:00 13.85 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:00:00 13.674 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 13.859 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:00:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:00:00 13.624 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Jan 2026
16:06:08
17 Jan 2026
03:35:00
11 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.61 13.6616 13.5067 2 9.114
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.61
  • Stop Loss: 13.6616
  • Take Profit: 13.5067

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.6616 - 13.61 = 0.051600000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.61 - 13.5067 = 0.1033

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1033 / 0.051600000000001 = 2.0019

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2109.0536 100 154.9635 21.09
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.051600000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.051600000000001 = 155.04

Taille de position USD = 155.04 x 13.61 = 2110.09

Donc, tu peux acheter 155.04 avec un stoploss a 13.6616

Avec un position size USD de 2110.09$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 155.04 x 0.051600000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 155.04 x 0.1033 = 16.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 155.04
  • Taille de position USD 2110.09
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0019

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.76 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.38 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.38
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5952 % 157 % 20

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.061
            [max_drawdown] => 0.050000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 1.22
            [high] => 13.66000000
            [low] => 13.54900000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.45
            [mae_pct] => 0.37
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.22
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T16:06:08-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T18:06:08-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.075999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.050000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 1.52
            [high] => 13.66000000
            [low] => 13.53400000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.56
            [mae_pct] => 0.37
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.52
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T16:06:08-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T23:06:08-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.62400000
            [high_after] => 13.66000000
            [low_before] => 13.27800000
            [low_after] => 13.53400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)