Short Trade on AVAX 16 Jan 2026 at 16:06:08
Take profit at 13.5067 (0.76 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6616 (0.38 %)
Short Trade on AVAX 16 Jan 2026 at 16:06:08
Take profit at 13.5067 (0.76 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6616 (0.38 %)
Position size of 2109.0536 $
Take profit at 13.5067 (0.76 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6616 (0.38 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.92 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.82 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.91 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.664155 15m : -0.05833 1H : 0.030382 |
0 |
Indicators:
95068.6
0.0042963
95477.1
0.664155
95239.3
0.00249584
95477.1
-0.05833
94850.2
0.00660882
95477.1
0.030382
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 11:00:00
[1] => 14.949
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
[1] => 14.4
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
[1] => 14.111
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
[1] => 14.467
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
[1] => 13.609
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
[1] => 13.85
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
[1] => 13.674
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
[1] => 13.859
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 11:00:00
[1] => 13.182
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
[1] => 13.624
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12477980035233
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.2240934607798
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.353057199211
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 02:30:00
[1] => 13.765
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:30:00
[1] => 13.859
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 06:15:00
[1] => 13.719
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 07:00:00
[1] => 13.798
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 08:30:00
[1] => 13.714
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 09:45:00
[1] => 13.806
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 11:15:00
[1] => 13.182
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
[1] => 13.445
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 15:00:00
[1] => 13.288
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
[1] => 13.624
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12477980035233
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4006622516556
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.528597230584
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 09:15:00
[1] => 13.742
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 09:45:00
[1] => 13.806
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 11:15:00
[1] => 13.182
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 11:45:00
[1] => 13.423
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 12:10:00
[1] => 13.278
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
[1] => 13.445
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 14:10:00
[1] => 13.297
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 14:35:00
[1] => 13.424
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 15:05:00
[1] => 13.288
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 16:05:00
[1] => 13.624
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12477980035233
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4006622516556
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.528597230584
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 09:15:00 | 13.742 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 09:45:00 | 13.806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 11:15:00 | 13.182 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 11:45:00 | 13.423 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 12:10:00 | 13.278 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 13:15:00 | 13.445 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 14:10:00 | 13.297 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 14:35:00 | 13.424 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 15:05:00 | 13.288 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 16:05:00 | 13.624 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 02:30:00 | 13.765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 03:30:00 | 13.859 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 06:15:00 | 13.719 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 07:00:00 | 13.798 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 08:30:00 | 13.714 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 09:45:00 | 13.806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 11:15:00 | 13.182 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 13:15:00 | 13.445 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 15:00:00 | 13.288 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 16:00:00 | 13.624 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 11:00:00 | 14.949 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 13:00:00 | 14.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 22:00:00 | 14.111 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 04:00:00 | 14.467 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:00:00 | 13.609 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 19:00:00 | 13.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 23:00:00 | 13.674 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 03:00:00 | 13.859 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 11:00:00 | 13.182 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 16:00:00 | 13.624 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 16:06:08 |
17 Jan 2026 03:35:00 |
11 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.61 | 13.6616 | 13.5067 | 2 | 9.114 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.6616 - 13.61 = 0.051600000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 13.61 - 13.5067 = 0.1033
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1033 / 0.051600000000001 = 2.0019
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2109.0536 | 100 | 154.9635 | 21.09 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.051600000000001 = 155.04
Taille de position USD = 155.04 x 13.61 = 2110.09
Donc, tu peux acheter 155.04 avec un stoploss a 13.6616
Avec un position size USD de 2110.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 155.04 x 0.051600000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 155.04 x 0.1033 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.76 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.38 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5952 % | 157 % | 20 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.061
[max_drawdown] => 0.050000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 1.22
[high] => 13.66000000
[low] => 13.54900000
[mfe_pct] => 0.45
[mae_pct] => 0.37
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.22
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-16T16:06:08-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T18:06:08-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.075999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.050000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 1.52
[high] => 13.66000000
[low] => 13.53400000
[mfe_pct] => 0.56
[mae_pct] => 0.37
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.52
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-16T16:06:08-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T23:06:08-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 13.62400000
[high_after] => 13.66000000
[low_before] => 13.27800000
[low_after] => 13.53400000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)