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Short Trade on AVAX

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Short Trade on AVAX 16 Jan 2026 at 16:14:34

Take profit at 13.4941 (0.79 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6545 (0.39 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 16 Jan 2026 at 16:14:34

With 149.6542 AVAX at 13.601$ per unit.

Position size of 2035.4463 $

Take profit at 13.4941 (0.79 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6545 (0.39 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.39
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.93
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.82
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.93
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.662671

15m : -0.060717

1H : -0.023366

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.23
  4. atr: 0.03563772038
Details
  1. score: 1.23
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 13.5397
  4. ema21 : 13.6544
  5. ema50 : 13.8687
  6. ema100 : 13.9576
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00452442
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00839747
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0154578
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0255545
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.15521
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.140929
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.112105
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.062472
  17. rsi : 0.434936
  18. adx : 0.48751
  19. kc_percentage : 0.420787
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0404785
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.0443003
  22. volume_ema1 : 722165.2085792
  23. volume_ema2 : 755640.32892238
  24. chop : 34.3701
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 13.4892
  28. ema21 : 13.4744
  29. ema50 : 13.5549
  30. ema100 : 13.623
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00828253
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00110211
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00594223
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0016187
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0550884
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0174533
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.040973
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0300785
  41. rsi : 0.601985
  42. adx : 0.341408
  43. kc_percentage : 0.949453
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0210343
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.125981
  46. volume_ema1 : 204032.18036024
  47. volume_ema2 : 233441.46705556
  48. chop : 43.7086
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 13.5603
  52. ema21 : 13.496
  53. ema50 : 13.46
  54. ema100 : 13.506
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0030014
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00475936
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00267446
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00703035
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.126134
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0817298
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0336479
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00641108
  65. rsi : 0.710862
  66. adx : 0.305729
  67. kc_percentage : 1.2349
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0101216
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.138704
  70. volume_ema1 : 64589.933265082
  71. volume_ema2 : 74991.571036914
  72. chop : 17.9395
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    95083.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00348429
  78. 5m_price: 
    95414.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.662671
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    95238.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00185262
  83. 15m_price: 
    95414.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.060717
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    94849
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00596301
  88. 1H_price: 
    95414.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.023366
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 11:00:00
                    [1] => 14.949
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
                    [1] => 14.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                    [1] => 14.111
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                    [1] => 14.467
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
                    [1] => 13.609
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
                    [1] => 13.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 13.674
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                    [1] => 13.859
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 13.182
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 13.624
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.18349970640047
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1634046426946
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.353057199211
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 02:30:00
                    [1] => 13.765
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 03:30:00
                    [1] => 13.859
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 06:15:00
                    [1] => 13.719
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 07:00:00
                    [1] => 13.798
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 08:30:00
                    [1] => 13.714
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 09:45:00
                    [1] => 13.806
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 11:15:00
                    [1] => 13.182
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
                    [1] => 13.445
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 13.288
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 13.624
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.18349970640047
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3404575556893
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.528597230584
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 09:15:00
                    [1] => 13.742
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 09:45:00
                    [1] => 13.806
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 11:15:00
                    [1] => 13.182
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 11:45:00
                    [1] => 13.423
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 12:10:00
                    [1] => 13.278
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
                    [1] => 13.445
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 14:10:00
                    [1] => 13.297
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 14:35:00
                    [1] => 13.424
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 15:05:00
                    [1] => 13.288
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:05:00
                    [1] => 13.624
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.18349970640047
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3404575556893
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.528597230584
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.18%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.34%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.53%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1515
1.11%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3121
2.31%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 09:15:00 13.742 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 09:45:00 13.806 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:15:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 11:45:00 13.423 ↑ High
2026-01-16 12:10:00 13.278 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:15:00 13.445 ↑ High
2026-01-16 14:10:00 13.297 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 14:35:00 13.424 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:05:00 13.288 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:05:00 13.624 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.18%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.34%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.53%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2045
1.50%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3121
2.31%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 02:30:00 13.765 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:30:00 13.859 ↑ High
2026-01-16 06:15:00 13.719 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 07:00:00 13.798 ↑ High
2026-01-16 08:30:00 13.714 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 09:45:00 13.806 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:15:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:15:00 13.445 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:00:00 13.288 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:00:00 13.624 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.18%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.16%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.35%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.2945
9.48%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3121
2.31%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 11:00:00 14.949 ↑ High
2026-01-14 13:00:00 14.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 22:00:00 14.111 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 14.467 ↑ High
2026-01-15 15:00:00 13.609 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:00:00 13.85 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:00:00 13.674 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 13.859 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:00:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:00:00 13.624 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Jan 2026
16:14:34		 16 Jan 2026
16:30:00		 15 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.601 13.6545 13.4941 2 9.243
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.601
  • Stop Loss: 13.6545
  • Take Profit: 13.4941

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.6545 - 13.601 = 0.0535

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.601 - 13.4941 = 0.1069

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1069 / 0.0535 = 1.9981

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2035.4463 100 149.6542 20.35
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0535

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0535 = 149.53

Taille de position USD = 149.53 x 13.601 = 2033.76

Donc, tu peux acheter 149.53 avec un stoploss a 13.6545

Avec un position size USD de 2033.76$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 149.53 x 0.0535 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 149.53 x 0.1069 = 15.98

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 149.53
  • Taille de position USD 2033.76
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.98
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9981

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.79 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.39 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -0.39
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4338 % 110.27 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.4941
            [entry_price] => 13.601
            [stop_loss] => 13.65985
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 16:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.052000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.058999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 0.88
            [high] => 13.66000000
            [low] => 13.54900000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.38
            [mae_pct] => 0.43
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.88
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T16:14:34-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T18:14:34-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.067
            [max_drawdown] => 0.058999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 1.14
            [high] => 13.66000000
            [low] => 13.53400000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.49
            [mae_pct] => 0.43
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T16:14:34-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T23:14:34-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.62400000
            [high_after] => 13.66000000
            [low_before] => 13.28000000
            [low_after] => 13.53400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)