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Short Trade on AVAX

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Short Trade on AVAX 16 Jan 2026 at 16:35:08

Take profit at 13.5367 (0.71 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6826 (0.36 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 16 Jan 2026 at 16:35:08

With 164.4975 AVAX at 13.634$ per unit.

Position size of 2242.7583 $

Take profit at 13.5367 (0.71 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6826 (0.36 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 6.99
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.92
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.8
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.73
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.658225

15m : -0.073984

1H : -0.047299

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.22
  4. atr: 0.0324219805
Details
  1. score: 1.22
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 13.5463
  4. ema21 : 13.6574
  5. ema50 : 13.87
  6. ema100 : 13.9583
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00647108
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00813203
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0153334
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0232359
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.151224
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.139129
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.111338
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0620848
  17. rsi : 0.454642
  18. adx : 0.484076
  19. kc_percentage : 0.47569
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0414954
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0263733
  22. volume_ema1 : 782903.16034587
  23. volume_ema2 : 762785.97030669
  24. chop : 34.4314
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 13.5394
  28. ema21 : 13.501
  29. ema50 : 13.5607
  30. ema100 : 13.6242
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00698405
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00284146
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0043971
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.000712599
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0812153
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0075344
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0282782
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0241997
  41. rsi : 0.626945
  42. adx : 0.306692
  43. kc_percentage : 0.99743
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0196633
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.370702
  46. volume_ema1 : 140540.06898233
  47. volume_ema2 : 223328.66579143
  48. chop : 38.9205
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 13.6006
  52. ema21 : 13.5418
  53. ema50 : 13.488
  54. ema100 : 13.5148
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0024533
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0043415
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00399164
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00881529
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0934098
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0806171
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0420458
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0136205
  65. rsi : 0.712593
  66. adx : 0.347017
  67. kc_percentage : 1.22046
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0089644
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.451722
  70. volume_ema1 : 37868.818077706
  71. volume_ema2 : 69068.713359031
  72. chop : 43.8435
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    95122.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00282071
  78. 5m_price: 
    95391
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.658225
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    95249.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00148136
  83. 15m_price: 
    95391
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.073984
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    94848.5
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00571915
  88. 1H_price: 
    95391
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.047299
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 11:00:00
                    [1] => 14.949
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
                    [1] => 14.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                    [1] => 14.111
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                    [1] => 14.467
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
                    [1] => 13.609
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
                    [1] => 13.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 13.674
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                    [1] => 13.859
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 13.182
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 13.66
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22693997071743
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3909877105143
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.6261568805947
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 02:30:00
                    [1] => 13.765
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 03:30:00
                    [1] => 13.859
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 06:15:00
                    [1] => 13.719
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 07:00:00
                    [1] => 13.798
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 08:30:00
                    [1] => 13.714
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 09:45:00
                    [1] => 13.806
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 11:15:00
                    [1] => 13.182
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
                    [1] => 13.445
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 13.288
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:30:00
                    [1] => 13.66
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22693997071743
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5662251655629
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7995183624323
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 09:15:00
                    [1] => 13.742
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 09:45:00
                    [1] => 13.806
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 11:15:00
                    [1] => 13.182
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 11:45:00
                    [1] => 13.423
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 12:10:00
                    [1] => 13.278
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
                    [1] => 13.445
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 14:10:00
                    [1] => 13.297
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 14:35:00
                    [1] => 13.424
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 15:05:00
                    [1] => 13.288
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:30:00
                    [1] => 13.66
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22693997071743
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5662251655629
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7995183624323
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.57%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.80%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1234
0.90%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3547
2.62%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 09:15:00 13.742 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 09:45:00 13.806 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:15:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 11:45:00 13.423 ↑ High
2026-01-16 12:10:00 13.278 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:15:00 13.445 ↑ High
2026-01-16 14:10:00 13.297 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 14:35:00 13.424 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:05:00 13.288 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:30:00 13.66 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.57%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.80%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1764
1.29%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3547
2.62%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 02:30:00 13.765 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:30:00 13.859 ↑ High
2026-01-16 06:15:00 13.719 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 07:00:00 13.798 ↑ High
2026-01-16 08:30:00 13.714 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 09:45:00 13.806 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:15:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:15:00 13.445 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:00:00 13.288 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:30:00 13.66 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.39%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.63%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.2664
9.26%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3547
2.62%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 11:00:00 14.949 ↑ High
2026-01-14 13:00:00 14.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 22:00:00 14.111 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 14.467 ↑ High
2026-01-15 15:00:00 13.609 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:00:00 13.85 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:00:00 13.674 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 13.859 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:00:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:00:00 13.66 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Jan 2026
16:35:08		 16 Jan 2026
21:30:00		 4 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.634 13.6826 13.5367 2 9.242
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.634
  • Stop Loss: 13.6826
  • Take Profit: 13.5367

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.6826 - 13.634 = 0.0486

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.634 - 13.5367 = 0.097300000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.097300000000001 / 0.0486 = 2.0021

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2242.7583 100 164.4975 22.43
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0486

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0486 = 164.61

Taille de position USD = 164.61 x 13.634 = 2244.29

Donc, tu peux acheter 164.61 avec un stoploss a 13.6826

Avec un position size USD de 2244.29$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 164.61 x 0.0486 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 164.61 x 0.097300000000001 = 16.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 164.61
  • Taille de position USD 2244.29
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0021

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.71 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.36 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
16.01 $ 0.71
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.022 % 6.17 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.5368
            [stop_loss] => 13.6826
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 21:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.085000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0030000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 28.33
            [high] => 13.63700000
            [low] => 13.54900000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.62
            [mae_pct] => 0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 28.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T16:35:08-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T18:35:08-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.101
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0030000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 33.67
            [high] => 13.63700000
            [low] => 13.53300000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.74
            [mae_pct] => 0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 33.67
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T16:35:08-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T23:35:08-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.66000000
            [high_after] => 13.63700000
            [low_before] => 13.28800000
            [low_after] => 13.53400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)