Short Trade on AVAX 16 Jan 2026 at 16:38:17

Take profit at 13.5315 (0.74 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6822 (0.37 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 16 Jan 2026 at 16:38:17

With 159.2353 AVAX at 13.632$ per unit.

Position size of 2170.6957 $

Take profit at 13.5315 (0.74 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6822 (0.37 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.99
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.92
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.8
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.82
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.657599

15m : -0.074038

1H : -0.047159

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.17
  4. atr: 0.03349340908
Details
  1. score: 1.17
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 13.5459
  4. ema21 : 13.6572
  5. ema50 : 13.87
  6. ema100 : 13.9582
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00635315
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00814812
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0153409
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0233764
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.151466
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.139238
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.111384
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0621083
  17. rsi : 0.453487
  18. adx : 0.484076
  19. kc_percentage : 0.472491
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0415014
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0311704
  22. volume_ema1 : 787067.5171792
  23. volume_ema2 : 763275.89464002
  24. chop : 34.4314
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 13.5394
  29. ema21 : 13.501
  30. ema50 : 13.5607
  31. ema100 : 13.6242
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00683634
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00284146
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0043971
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.000565802
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0812153
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0075344
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0282782
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0241997
  42. rsi : 0.626945
  43. adx : 0.306692
  44. kc_percentage : 0.98997
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0196662
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.370702
  47. volume_ema1 : 140540.06898233
  48. volume_ema2 : 223328.66579143
  49. chop : 38.9205
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 13.6002
  54. ema21 : 13.5416
  55. ema50 : 13.4879
  56. ema100 : 13.5148
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00233573
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00432545
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.003984
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00867026
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.093162
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0805042
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0419971
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0135961
  67. rsi : 0.707649
  68. adx : 0.347017
  69. kc_percentage : 1.17263
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00940585
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.395715
  72. volume_ema1 : 42033.17491104
  73. volume_ema2 : 69558.637692364
  74. chop : 43.9232
  75. regime : bull_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95123.5
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00326687
  81. 5m_price:
    95434.3
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.657599
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95249.9
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00148136
  86. 15m_price:
    95391
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.074038
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94849.4
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00616657
  91. 1H_price:
    95434.3
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.047159
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 11:00:00
                        [1] => 14.949
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
                        [1] => 14.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                        [1] => 14.111
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 14.467
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
                        [1] => 13.609
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 13.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 13.674
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                        [1] => 13.859
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:00:00
                        [1] => 13.182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 13.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22693997071743
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3909877105143
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.6261568805947
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 02:30:00
                        [1] => 13.765
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:30:00
                        [1] => 13.859
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 06:15:00
                        [1] => 13.719
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 07:00:00
                        [1] => 13.798
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 08:30:00
                        [1] => 13.714
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:45:00
                        [1] => 13.806
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:15:00
                        [1] => 13.182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
                        [1] => 13.445
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 13.288
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:30:00
                        [1] => 13.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22693997071743
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5662251655629
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7995183624323
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:15:00
                        [1] => 13.742
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:45:00
                        [1] => 13.806
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:15:00
                        [1] => 13.182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:45:00
                        [1] => 13.423
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 12:10:00
                        [1] => 13.278
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
                        [1] => 13.445
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 14:10:00
                        [1] => 13.297
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 14:35:00
                        [1] => 13.424
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:05:00
                        [1] => 13.288
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:30:00
                        [1] => 13.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22693997071743
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5662251655629
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7995183624323
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.57%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.80%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1238
0.90%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3495
2.58%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 09:15:00 13.742 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 09:45:00 13.806 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:15:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 11:45:00 13.423 ↑ High
2026-01-16 12:10:00 13.278 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:15:00 13.445 ↑ High
2026-01-16 14:10:00 13.297 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 14:35:00 13.424 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:05:00 13.288 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:30:00 13.66 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.57%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.80%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1768
1.29%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3495
2.58%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 02:30:00 13.765 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:30:00 13.859 ↑ High
2026-01-16 06:15:00 13.719 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 07:00:00 13.798 ↑ High
2026-01-16 08:30:00 13.714 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 09:45:00 13.806 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:15:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:15:00 13.445 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:00:00 13.288 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:30:00 13.66 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.39%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.63%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.2668
9.26%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3495
2.58%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 11:00:00 14.949 ↑ High
2026-01-14 13:00:00 14.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 22:00:00 14.111 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 14.467 ↑ High
2026-01-15 15:00:00 13.609 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:00:00 13.85 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:00:00 13.674 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 13.859 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:00:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:00:00 13.66 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Jan 2026
16:38:17
17 Jan 2026
02:00:00
9 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.632 13.6822 13.5315 2 9.243
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.632
  • Stop Loss: 13.6822
  • Take Profit: 13.5315

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.6822 - 13.632 = 0.0502

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.632 - 13.5315 = 0.1005

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1005 / 0.0502 = 2.002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2170.6957 100 159.2353 21.71
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0502

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0502 = 159.36

Taille de position USD = 159.36 x 13.632 = 2172.4

Donc, tu peux acheter 159.36 avec un stoploss a 13.6822

Avec un position size USD de 2172.4$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 159.36 x 0.0502 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 159.36 x 0.1005 = 16.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 159.36
  • Taille de position USD 2172.4
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.74 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.37 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.74
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0367 % 9.96 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.083
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0050000000000008
            [rr_ratio] => 16.6
            [high] => 13.63700000
            [low] => 13.54900000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.61
            [mae_pct] => 0.04
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 16.6
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T16:38:17-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T18:38:17-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.099
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0050000000000008
            [rr_ratio] => 19.8
            [high] => 13.63700000
            [low] => 13.53300000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.73
            [mae_pct] => 0.04
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 19.8
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T16:38:17-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T23:38:17-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.66000000
            [high_after] => 13.63700000
            [low_before] => 13.28800000
            [low_after] => 13.53400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)