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Short Trade on XAU

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Short Trade on XAU 16 Jan 2026 at 17:19:09

Take profit at 4593.8731 (0.13 %) and Stop Loss at 4602.6434 (0.064 %)

Short Trade on XAU

The 16 Jan 2026 at 17:19:09

With 2.7365 XAU at 4599.72$ per unit.

Position size of 12587.1121 $

Take profit at 4593.8731 (0.13 %) and Stop Loss at 4602.6434 (0.064 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 6.99
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.55
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.52
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.82
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_low

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.25312

15m : -0.000293

1H : -0.048913

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 1.948964923
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4595.8
  4. ema21 : 4599.76
  5. ema50 : 4605.45
  6. ema100 : 4607.83
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000851819
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0008614
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0012341
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00176208
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0190993
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0163662
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0103842
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.00560953
  17. rsi : 0.491484
  18. adx : 0.349716
  19. kc_percentage : 0.504333
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0133951
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.494603
  22. volume_ema1 : 153048.2934413
  23. volume_ema2 : 302828.00593562
  24. chop : 36.8334
  25. regime : range_low
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 4595.89
  28. ema21 : 4594.12
  29. ema50 : 4596.69
  30. ema100 : 4601.38
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.000832434
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000385657
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000559327
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.000362462
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.011826
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00306963
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00268704
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.00359219
  41. rsi : 0.558543
  42. adx : 0.158295
  43. kc_percentage : 0.770958
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00448761
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.804001
  46. volume_ema1 : 15461.672793971
  47. volume_ema2 : 78886.534912567
  48. chop : 70.6891
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 4598.55
  52. ema21 : 4595.95
  53. ema50 : 4593.86
  54. ema100 : 4594.65
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000252924
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000565435
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000455691
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00110321
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0149736
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0103202
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00499881
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00176082
  65. rsi : 0.615092
  66. adx : 0.213511
  67. kc_percentage : 1.02635
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00148747
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.625997
  70. volume_ema1 : 5182.9865854577
  71. volume_ema2 : 13858.15855096
  72. chop : 31.2054
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    95165
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00194341
  78. 5m_price: 
    95350
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.25312
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    95291.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000611745
  83. 15m_price: 
    95350
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.000293
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    94882.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00492822
  88. 1H_price: 
    95350
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.048913
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
                    [1] => 4647.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 10:00:00
                    [1] => 4601.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 14:00:00
                    [1] => 4644.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                    [1] => 4585
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 05:00:00
                    [1] => 4624.94
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 08:00:00
                    [1] => 4585.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 11:00:00
                    [1] => 4626.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 00:00:00
                    [1] => 4617.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 01:00:00
                    [1] => 4597.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                    [1] => 4620
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.44523809523809
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2911821705426
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.4872107186358
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 01:45:00
                    [1] => 4597.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 04:15:00
                    [1] => 4603.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 06:00:00
                    [1] => 4601.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 06:45:00
                    [1] => 4616.41
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 08:15:00
                    [1] => 4587.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                    [1] => 4620
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 10:30:00
                    [1] => 4540.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 13:45:00
                    [1] => 4597.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 15:30:00
                    [1] => 4584.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:45:00
                    [1] => 4601.03
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.034774822159374
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.33463566378496
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.36953899247178
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 11:40:00
                    [1] => 4603.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 11:50:00
                    [1] => 4590
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 12:25:00
                    [1] => 4582.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 13:45:00
                    [1] => 4597.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 14:15:00
                    [1] => 4585.46
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 15:05:00
                    [1] => 4596.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 15:30:00
                    [1] => 4584.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:10:00
                    [1] => 4586.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:15:00
                    [1] => 4598.54
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:55:00
                    [1] => 4601.03
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.034774822159374
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.29197303119904
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.054147620766586
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.29%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.05%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4266
0.01%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.7631
0.26%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 11:40:00 4603.07 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:50:00 4590 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 12:25:00 4582.11 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:45:00 4597.19 ↑ High
2026-01-16 14:15:00 4585.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 15:05:00 4596.82 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:30:00 4584.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:10:00 4586.04 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:15:00 4598.54 ↑ High
2026-01-16 16:55:00 4601.03 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.33%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.37%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
17.3566
0.38%
TP to Pivot Distance
53.0731
1.16%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 01:45:00 4597.6 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 04:15:00 4603.27 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 06:00:00 4601.86 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 06:45:00 4616.41 ↑ High
2026-01-16 08:15:00 4587.43 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 10:00:00 4620 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:30:00 4540.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:45:00 4597.19 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:30:00 4584.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:45:00 4601.03 ↑ High
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.45%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.29%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.49%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
44.9466
0.98%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.8731
0.19%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 07:00:00 4647.59 ↑ High
2026-01-14 10:00:00 4601.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 14:00:00 4644.82 ↑ High
2026-01-14 22:00:00 4585 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 05:00:00 4624.94 ↑ High
2026-01-15 08:00:00 4585.83 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 11:00:00 4626.73 ↑ High
2026-01-16 00:00:00 4617.31 ↑ High
2026-01-16 01:00:00 4597.6 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 10:00:00 4620 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Jan 2026
17:19:09		 16 Jan 2026
20:05:00		 2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4599.72 4602.6434 4593.8731 2 5188.24
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4599.72
  • Stop Loss: 4602.6434
  • Take Profit: 4593.8731

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4602.6434 - 4599.72 = 2.9233999999997

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4599.72 - 4593.8731 = 5.8469000000005

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.8469000000005 / 2.9233999999997 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
12587.1121 100 2.7365 125.87
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 2.9233999999997

Taille de position = 8 / 2.9233999999997 = 2.74

Taille de position USD = 2.74 x 4599.72 = 12603.23

Donc, tu peux acheter 2.74 avec un stoploss a 4602.6434

Avec un position size USD de 12603.23$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2.74 x 2.9233999999997 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2.74 x 5.8469000000005 = 16.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2.74
  • Taille de position USD 12603.23
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 16.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.13 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.064 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.13
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0061 % 9.59 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4593.8732
            [stop_loss] => 4602.6434
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 20:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4592.4115
            [stop_loss] => 4602.6434
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 20:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.8100000000004
            [max_drawdown] => 0.27999999999975
            [rr_ratio] => 13.61
            [high] => 4600.00000000
            [low] => 4595.91000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.08
            [mae_pct] => 0.01
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 13.61
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T17:19:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T19:19:09-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 8.5799999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.27999999999975
            [rr_ratio] => 30.64
            [high] => 4600.00000000
            [low] => 4591.14000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.19
            [mae_pct] => 0.01
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 30.64
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T17:19:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-17T00:19:09-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4601.03000000
            [high_after] => 4600.00000000
            [low_before] => 4584.09000000
            [low_after] => 4591.14000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)