Short Trade on XMR 17 Jan 2026 at 01:06:47

Take profit at 629.3303 (1.33 %) and Stop Loss at 642.0499 (0.66 %)

Short Trade on XMR

The 17 Jan 2026 at 01:06:47

With 1.8869 XMR at 637.81$ per unit.

Position size of 1203.4568 $

Take profit at 629.3303 (1.33 %) and Stop Loss at 642.0499 (0.66 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 8.64
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.55
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.51
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.73
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.013591

15m : 0.034935

1H : -0.066405

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.14
  4. atr: 2.826568763
Details
  1. score: 1.14
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 633.592
  4. ema21 : 649.255
  5. ema50 : 670.3
  6. ema100 : 676.037
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00665718
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0241247
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0313966
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0565467
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.612161
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.510923
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.300919
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.152294
  17. rsi : 0.419216
  18. adx : 0.372383
  19. kc_percentage : 0.338897
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0995635
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.643174
  22. volume_ema1 : 455201.18408916
  23. volume_ema2 : 1275696.447691
  24. chop : 44.5036
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 630.293
  29. ema21 : 628.8
  30. ema50 : 638.084
  31. ema100 : 652.427
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0119252
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00237468
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0145504
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0224048
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0859723
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0128392
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0757956
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.082629
  42. rsi : 0.584532
  43. adx : 0.190766
  44. kc_percentage : 0.876739
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0378679
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.621497
  47. volume_ema1 : 94476.563384431
  48. volume_ema2 : 249606.36793483
  49. chop : 61.7444
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 633.223
  54. ema21 : 630.57
  55. ema50 : 628.487
  56. ema100 : 629.587
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00724357
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00420612
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0033155
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0130605
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0637957
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0427404
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0238544
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00564845
  67. rsi : 0.728012
  68. adx : 0.179932
  69. kc_percentage : 1.14407
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.017261
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.237824
  72. volume_ema1 : 34181.701563993
  73. volume_ema2 : 44847.522726309
  74. chop : 43.9953
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95328.8
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00121312
  81. 5m_price:
    95213.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.013591
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95281.2
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000714584
  86. 15m_price:
    95213.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.034935
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94901.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00328598
  91. 1H_price:
    95213.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.066405
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 14:00:00
                        [1] => 799.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                        [1] => 689.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 08:00:00
                        [1] => 743.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
                        [1] => 726.87
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 16:00:00
                        [1] => 656.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 01:00:00
                        [1] => 662.34
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 04:00:00
                        [1] => 719.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                        [1] => 717.89
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 19:00:00
                        [1] => 611.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 01:00:00
                        [1] => 638
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.39655172413793
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.9878906889216
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.4018982163312
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 04:30:00
                        [1] => 694.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 06:15:00
                        [1] => 696.68
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 06:45:00
                        [1] => 716.83
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 08:15:00
                        [1] => 699.82
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                        [1] => 717.89
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 10:30:00
                        [1] => 690.23
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 624.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 19:45:00
                        [1] => 611.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 22:15:00
                        [1] => 633.95
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 01:00:00
                        [1] => 638
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.39655172413793
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.9878906889216
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.63885164445145
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 19:55:00
                        [1] => 611.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 20:50:00
                        [1] => 629.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 21:25:00
                        [1] => 629.55
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 21:55:00
                        [1] => 617.52
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 22:15:00
                        [1] => 633.95
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 22:35:00
                        [1] => 621.77
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 23:15:00
                        [1] => 622.08
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 23:50:00
                        [1] => 632.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 00:25:00
                        [1] => 625.17
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 01:05:00
                        [1] => 638
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.39655172413793
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6475518658925
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0522417902331
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.40%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.65%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.05%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.0499
0.63%
TP to Pivot Distance
18.2303
2.90%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 19:55:00 611.1 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 20:50:00 629.84 ↑ High
2026-01-16 21:25:00 629.55 ↑ High
2026-01-16 21:55:00 617.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 22:15:00 633.95 ↑ High
2026-01-16 22:35:00 621.77 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 23:15:00 622.08 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 23:50:00 632.48 ↑ High
2026-01-17 00:25:00 625.17 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 01:05:00 638 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.40%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.99%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
21 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.64%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
75.8401
11.81%
TP to Pivot Distance
18.2303
2.90%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 04:30:00 694.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 06:15:00 696.68 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 06:45:00 716.83 ↑ High
2026-01-16 08:15:00 699.82 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 10:00:00 717.89 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:30:00 690.23 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 15:00:00 624.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 19:45:00 611.1 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 22:15:00 633.95 ↑ High
2026-01-17 01:00:00 638 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.40%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.99%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.40%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
157.0501
24.46%
TP to Pivot Distance
18.2303
2.90%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 14:00:00 799.1 ↑ High
2026-01-14 22:00:00 689.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 08:00:00 743.81 ↑ High
2026-01-15 15:00:00 726.87 ↑ High
2026-01-15 16:00:00 656.73 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 01:00:00 662.34 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 04:00:00 719.33 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:00:00 717.89 ↑ High
2026-01-16 19:00:00 611.1 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 01:00:00 638 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Jan 2026
01:06:47
17 Jan 2026
01:10:00
3 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
637.81 642.0499 629.3303 2 343.55
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 637.81
  • Stop Loss: 642.0499
  • Take Profit: 629.3303

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 642.0499 - 637.81 = 4.2399

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 637.81 - 629.3303 = 8.4797

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 8.4797 / 4.2399 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1203.4568 100 1.8869 12.03
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 4.2399

Taille de position = 8 / 4.2399 = 1.89

Taille de position USD = 1.89 x 637.81 = 1205.46

Donc, tu peux acheter 1.89 avec un stoploss a 642.0499

Avec un position size USD de 1205.46$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1.89 x 4.2399 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1.89 x 8.4797 = 16.03

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.03$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1.89
  • Taille de position USD 1205.46
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 16.03
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.33 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.66 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.66
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7008 % 105.42 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 629.3303
            [entry_price] => 637.81
            [stop_loss] => 642.47389
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 02:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 629.3303
            [entry_price] => 637.81
            [stop_loss] => 642.89788
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 02:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 629.3303
            [entry_price] => 637.81
            [stop_loss] => 643.32187
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 02:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 629.3303
            [entry_price] => 637.81
            [stop_loss] => 644.16985
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 02:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 19.04
            [max_drawdown] => 4.47
            [rr_ratio] => 4.26
            [high] => 642.28000000
            [low] => 618.77000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.99
            [mae_pct] => 0.7
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.26
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-17T01:06:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-17T03:06:47-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 27.55
            [max_drawdown] => 4.47
            [rr_ratio] => 6.16
            [high] => 642.28000000
            [low] => 610.26000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.32
            [mae_pct] => 0.7
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.16
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-17T01:06:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-17T08:06:47-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 638.00000000
            [high_after] => 642.28000000
            [low_before] => 617.52000000
            [low_after] => 610.26000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)