Short Trade on AVAX 17 Jan 2026 at 02:59:29
Take profit at 13.559 (0.29 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6175 (0.14 %)
Short Trade on AVAX 17 Jan 2026 at 02:59:29
Take profit at 13.559 (0.29 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6175 (0.14 %)
Position size of 5584.6566 $
Take profit at 13.559 (0.29 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6175 (0.14 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.66 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.68 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.56 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.477702 15m : -0.152214 1H : -0.339235 |
0 |
Indicators:
95254.6
-0.00198921
95065.2
0.477702
95307.1
-0.00293412
95027.5
-0.152214
94916.9
0.0015617
95065.2
-0.339235
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
[1] => 14.4
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
[1] => 14.111
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
[1] => 14.467
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
[1] => 13.609
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
[1] => 13.85
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
[1] => 13.674
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
[1] => 13.859
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 11:00:00
[1] => 13.182
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
[1] => 13.66
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 02:00:00
[1] => 13.522
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.45387994143484
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.56204703446236
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0205590888922
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
[1] => 13.445
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 15:00:00
[1] => 13.288
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 16:30:00
[1] => 13.66
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 19:00:00
[1] => 13.551
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 20:00:00
[1] => 13.628
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 22:30:00
[1] => 13.575
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 23:15:00
[1] => 13.533
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 00:45:00
[1] => 13.604
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 02:00:00
[1] => 13.522
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 02:45:00
[1] => 13.598
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.56204703446236
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.56204703446236
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 20:05:00
[1] => 13.628
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 21:30:00
[1] => 13.536
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 22:05:00
[1] => 13.534
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 22:30:00
[1] => 13.534
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 22:40:00
[1] => 13.575
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 23:15:00
[1] => 13.533
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 00:15:00
[1] => 13.553
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 00:45:00
[1] => 13.604
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 02:00:00
[1] => 13.522
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 02:55:00
[1] => 13.598
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.56204703446236
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.56204703446236
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 20:05:00 | 13.628 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 21:30:00 | 13.536 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 22:05:00 | 13.534 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 22:30:00 | 13.534 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 22:40:00 | 13.575 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 23:15:00 | 13.533 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 00:15:00 | 13.553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 00:45:00 | 13.604 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 02:00:00 | 13.522 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 02:55:00 | 13.598 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 13:15:00 | 13.445 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 15:00:00 | 13.288 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 16:30:00 | 13.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 19:00:00 | 13.551 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 20:00:00 | 13.628 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 22:30:00 | 13.575 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 23:15:00 | 13.533 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 00:45:00 | 13.604 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 02:00:00 | 13.522 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 02:45:00 | 13.598 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 13:00:00 | 14.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 22:00:00 | 14.111 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 04:00:00 | 14.467 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:00:00 | 13.609 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 19:00:00 | 13.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 23:00:00 | 13.674 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 03:00:00 | 13.859 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 11:00:00 | 13.182 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 16:00:00 | 13.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 02:00:00 | 13.522 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 02:59:29 |
17 Jan 2026 03:00:00 |
31 seconds |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.598 | 13.6175 | 13.559 | 2 | 9.141 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.6175 - 13.598 = 0.019499999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 13.598 - 13.559 = 0.039000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.039000000000001 / 0.019499999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5584.6566 | 100 | 410.6969 | 55.85 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.019499999999999 = 410.26
Taille de position USD = 410.26 x 13.598 = 5578.72
Donc, tu peux acheter 410.26 avec un stoploss a 13.6175
Avec un position size USD de 5578.72$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 410.26 x 0.019499999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 410.26 x 0.039000000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.29 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.14 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1544 % | 107.67 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.559
[entry_price] => 13.598
[stop_loss] => 13.61945
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.559
[entry_price] => 13.598
[stop_loss] => 13.6214
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.559
[entry_price] => 13.598
[stop_loss] => 13.62335
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-17 03:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.559
[entry_price] => 13.598
[stop_loss] => 13.62725
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-17 03:15:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0050000000000008
[max_drawdown] => 0.107
[rr_ratio] => 0.05
[high] => 13.70500000
[low] => 13.59300000
[mfe_pct] => 0.04
[mae_pct] => 0.79
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.05
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-17T02:59:29-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-17T04:59:29-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0050000000000008
[max_drawdown] => 0.368
[rr_ratio] => 0.01
[high] => 13.96600000
[low] => 13.59300000
[mfe_pct] => 0.04
[mae_pct] => 2.71
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.01
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-17T02:59:29-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-17T09:59:29-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 13.60400000
[high_after] => 13.78500000
[low_before] => 13.52200000
[low_after] => 13.59300000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)