Short Trade on RIVER 17 Jan 2026 at 14:08:34
Take profit at 17.697 (7.03 %) and Stop Loss at 19.704 (3.51 %)
Short Trade on RIVER 17 Jan 2026 at 14:08:34
Take profit at 17.697 (7.03 %) and Stop Loss at 19.704 (3.51 %)
Position size of 227.6228 $
Take profit at 17.697 (7.03 %) and Stop Loss at 19.704 (3.51 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.87 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.85 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.75 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.042187 15m : 0.034561 1H : 0.154948 |
0 |
Indicators:
95317.1
0.000216171
95337.8
-0.042187
95284.3
0.000561286
95337.8
0.034561
95231.2
0.00111883
95337.8
0.154948
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
[1] => 22.831
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 11:00:00
[1] => 31.365
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 19:00:00
[1] => 20.253
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
[1] => 16.852
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
[1] => 34.864
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
[1] => 22.165
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 19:00:00
[1] => 21.469
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 22:00:00
[1] => 26.778
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 09:00:00
[1] => 21.546
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 13:00:00
[1] => 16.148
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -11.630929174789
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 17.909338617785
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 33.42828833292
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
[1] => 25.431
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 14:45:00
[1] => 23.08
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 15:45:00
[1] => 24.978
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 19:30:00
[1] => 21.469
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 22:00:00
[1] => 26.778
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 00:30:00
[1] => 22.064
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 04:30:00
[1] => 19.36
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 09:30:00
[1] => 21.546
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 13:00:00
[1] => 16.148
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 14:00:00
[1] => 19.355
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.627486437613
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 17.909338617785
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 19.860044587565
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 08:00:00
[1] => 18.58
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 08:40:00
[1] => 20.407
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 09:05:00
[1] => 18.342
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 09:30:00
[1] => 21.546
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 10:40:00
[1] => 17.426
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 11:05:00
[1] => 18.552
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 11:45:00
[1] => 17.167
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 12:00:00
[1] => 18.306
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 13:00:00
[1] => 16.148
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 14:05:00
[1] => 19.355
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.627486437613
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 17.909338617785
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 19.860044587565
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 08:00:00 | 18.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 08:40:00 | 20.407 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 09:05:00 | 18.342 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 09:30:00 | 21.546 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 10:40:00 | 17.426 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 11:05:00 | 18.552 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 11:45:00 | 17.167 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 12:00:00 | 18.306 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 13:00:00 | 16.148 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 14:05:00 | 19.355 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 13:15:00 | 25.431 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 14:45:00 | 23.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 15:45:00 | 24.978 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 19:30:00 | 21.469 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 22:00:00 | 26.778 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 00:30:00 | 22.064 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 04:30:00 | 19.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 09:30:00 | 21.546 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 13:00:00 | 16.148 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 14:00:00 | 19.355 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 07:00:00 | 22.831 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 11:00:00 | 31.365 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 19:00:00 | 20.253 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 04:00:00 | 16.852 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 03:00:00 | 34.864 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 10:00:00 | 22.165 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 19:00:00 | 21.469 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 22:00:00 | 26.778 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 09:00:00 | 21.546 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 13:00:00 | 16.148 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 14:08:34 |
17 Jan 2026 14:35:00 |
26 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.035 | 19.704 | 17.697 | 2 | 10.813 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 19.704 - 19.035 = 0.669
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 19.035 - 17.697 = 1.338
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.338 / 0.669 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 227.6228 | 100 | 11.9581 | 2.28 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.669 = 11.96
Taille de position USD = 11.96 x 19.035 = 227.66
Donc, tu peux acheter 11.96 avec un stoploss a 19.704
Avec un position size USD de 227.66$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 11.96 x 0.669 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 11.96 x 1.338 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.03 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.51 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.8298 % | 108.97 % | 4 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 17.697
[entry_price] => 19.035
[stop_loss] => 19.7709
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-17 14:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 17.697
[entry_price] => 19.035
[stop_loss] => 19.8378
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-17 14:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 17.697
[entry_price] => 19.035
[stop_loss] => 19.9047
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-17 14:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 17.697
[entry_price] => 19.035
[stop_loss] => 20.0385
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-17 14:40:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.501
[max_drawdown] => 1.495
[rr_ratio] => 0.34
[high] => 20.53000000
[low] => 18.53400000
[mfe_pct] => 2.63
[mae_pct] => 7.85
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.34
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-17T14:08:34-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-17T16:08:34-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.501
[max_drawdown] => 2.68
[rr_ratio] => 0.19
[high] => 21.71500000
[low] => 18.53400000
[mfe_pct] => 2.63
[mae_pct] => 14.08
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.19
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-17T14:08:34-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-17T21:08:34-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 19.35500000
[high_after] => 20.98400000
[low_before] => 16.14800000
[low_after] => 18.53400000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)