Short Trade on RIVER 17 Jan 2026 at 14:35:35

Take profit at 18.2458 (6.96 %) and Stop Loss at 20.2921 (3.48 %)

Short Trade on RIVER

The 17 Jan 2026 at 14:35:35

With 11.7287 RIVER at 19.61$ per unit.

Position size of 230 $

Take profit at 18.2458 (6.96 %) and Stop Loss at 20.2921 (3.48 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.75
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.79
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.42
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.8
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.024792

15m : -0.014754

1H : -0.034437

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.4547246275
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 19.1333
  4. ema21 : 20.6628
  5. ema50 : 22.4381
  6. ema100 : 22.8842
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0249144
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0740232
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.079119
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.143079
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.45045
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.18696
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.679145
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.342552
  17. rsi : 0.427426
  18. adx : 0.219764
  19. kc_percentage : 0.374548
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.382223
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.169869
  22. volume_ema1 : 6400011.9019914
  23. volume_ema2 : 7709644.712127
  24. chop : 52.2479
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 18.5873
  29. ema21 : 18.5788
  30. ema50 : 19.5654
  31. ema100 : 20.8648
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0550185
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000455651
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.050426
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0601398
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.140178
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.196842
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.327962
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.276137
  42. rsi : 0.579517
  43. adx : 0.223501
  44. kc_percentage : 0.811633
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.172374
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.209005
  47. volume_ema1 : 1412051.8551041
  48. volume_ema2 : 1785160.6824114
  49. chop : 48.5675
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 19.0899
  54. ema21 : 18.6264
  55. ema50 : 18.4418
  56. ema100 : 18.6992
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0272438
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0248848
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0100048
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0487035
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.630407
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.407836
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.144136
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0267089
  67. rsi : 0.697669
  68. adx : 0.222357
  69. kc_percentage : 1.02475
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0931761
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.162864
  72. volume_ema1 : 480440.31275227
  73. volume_ema2 : 573909.64983376
  74. chop : 43.2561
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95333.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000349559
  81. 5m_price:
    95299.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.024792
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95257.9
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000440391
  86. 15m_price:
    95299.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.014754
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    95230.5
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000728738
  91. 1H_price:
    95299.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.034437
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
                        [1] => 22.831
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 11:00:00
                        [1] => 31.365
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 19:00:00
                        [1] => 20.253
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 16.852
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                        [1] => 34.864
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                        [1] => 22.165
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 19:00:00
                        [1] => 21.469
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 22:00:00
                        [1] => 26.778
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:00:00
                        [1] => 21.546
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 13:00:00
                        [1] => 16.148
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -8.6837464030446
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 21.841714144166
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 33.42828833292
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
                        [1] => 25.431
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 14:45:00
                        [1] => 23.08
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:45:00
                        [1] => 24.978
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 19:30:00
                        [1] => 21.469
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 22:00:00
                        [1] => 26.778
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 00:30:00
                        [1] => 22.064
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 04:30:00
                        [1] => 19.36
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:30:00
                        [1] => 21.546
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 13:00:00
                        [1] => 16.148
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 14:30:00
                        [1] => 19.764
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.45031370167982
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 21.841714144166
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 22.392865989596
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 08:40:00
                        [1] => 20.407
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:05:00
                        [1] => 18.342
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:30:00
                        [1] => 21.546
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 10:40:00
                        [1] => 17.426
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 11:05:00
                        [1] => 18.552
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 11:45:00
                        [1] => 17.167
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 12:00:00
                        [1] => 18.306
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 13:00:00
                        [1] => 16.148
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 14:25:00
                        [1] => 18.534
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 14:35:00
                        [1] => 19.764
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.45031370167982
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.1562533721809
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.6364519261897
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.45%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.16%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.64%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.2539
6.18%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.0978
11.50%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 08:40:00 20.407 ↑ High
2026-01-17 09:05:00 18.342 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 09:30:00 21.546 ↑ High
2026-01-17 10:40:00 17.426 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 11:05:00 18.552 ↑ High
2026-01-17 11:45:00 17.167 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 12:00:00 18.306 ↑ High
2026-01-17 13:00:00 16.148 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 14:25:00 18.534 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 14:35:00 19.764 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.45%
Dist From Last Low Pct
21.84%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
22.39%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.4859
31.96%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.0978
11.50%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 13:15:00 25.431 ↑ High
2026-01-16 14:45:00 23.08 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 15:45:00 24.978 ↑ High
2026-01-16 19:30:00 21.469 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 22:00:00 26.778 ↑ High
2026-01-17 00:30:00 22.064 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 04:30:00 19.36 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 09:30:00 21.546 ↑ High
2026-01-17 13:00:00 16.148 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 14:30:00 19.764 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-8.68%
Dist From Last Low Pct
21.84%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
33.43%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.5719
71.81%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.0978
11.50%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 07:00:00 22.831 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 11:00:00 31.365 ↑ High
2026-01-14 19:00:00 20.253 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 16.852 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 34.864 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:00:00 22.165 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 19:00:00 21.469 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 22:00:00 26.778 ↑ High
2026-01-17 09:00:00 21.546 ↑ High
2026-01-17 13:00:00 16.148 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Jan 2026
14:35:35
17 Jan 2026
14:40:00
4 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
19.61 20.2921 18.2458 2 11.887
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 19.61
  • Stop Loss: 20.2921
  • Take Profit: 18.2458

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 20.2921 - 19.61 = 0.6821

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 19.61 - 18.2458 = 1.3642

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3642 / 0.6821 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
230 100 11.7287 2.30
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.6821

Taille de position = 8 / 0.6821 = 11.73

Taille de position USD = 11.73 x 19.61 = 230.03

Donc, tu peux acheter 11.73 avec un stoploss a 20.2921

Avec un position size USD de 230.03$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 11.73 x 0.6821 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 11.73 x 1.3642 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 11.73
  • Taille de position USD 230.03
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
6.96 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.48 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -3.48
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.9623 % 113.91 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 18.2458
            [entry_price] => 19.61
            [stop_loss] => 20.36031
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 14:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 18.2458
            [entry_price] => 19.61
            [stop_loss] => 20.42852
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 15:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 18.2458
            [entry_price] => 19.61
            [stop_loss] => 20.49673
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 15:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 18.2458
            [entry_price] => 19.61
            [stop_loss] => 20.63315
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 19:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.447
            [max_drawdown] => 0.92
            [rr_ratio] => 0.49
            [high] => 20.53000000
            [low] => 19.16300000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.28
            [mae_pct] => 4.69
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.49
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-17T14:35:35-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-17T16:35:35-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.234
            [max_drawdown] => 2.105
            [rr_ratio] => 0.59
            [high] => 21.71500000
            [low] => 18.37600000
            [mfe_pct] => 6.29
            [mae_pct] => 10.73
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.59
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-17T14:35:35-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-17T21:35:35-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 19.76400000
            [high_after] => 21.33800000
            [low_before] => 16.14800000
            [low_after] => 19.16300000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)