Short Trade on RIVER 17 Jan 2026 at 14:51:33

Take profit at 18.679 (7.25 %) and Stop Loss at 20.8675 (3.62 %)

Short Trade on RIVER

The 17 Jan 2026 at 14:51:33

With 10.9662 RIVER at 20.138$ per unit.

Position size of 220.8365 $

Take profit at 18.679 (7.25 %) and Stop Loss at 20.8675 (3.62 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.74
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.94
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.45
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.81
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.033541

15m : 0.091316

1H : -0.029874

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 0.4863447048
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 19.2389
  4. ema21 : 20.7108
  5. ema50 : 22.4588
  6. ema100 : 22.8947
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0467331
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0710705
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0778307
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.120408
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.41246
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.17035
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.672082
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.338901
  17. rsi : 0.451252
  18. adx : 0.213798
  19. kc_percentage : 0.440636
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.38696
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.0728093
  22. volume_ema1 : 7239929.8203248
  23. volume_ema2 : 7808458.5848721
  24. chop : 52.3204
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 18.936
  29. ema21 : 18.7431
  30. ema50 : 19.6021
  31. ema100 : 20.8818
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0634724
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0102938
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0438229
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0356226
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.336801
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0797628
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.27666
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.254444
  42. rsi : 0.612504
  43. adx : 0.225774
  44. kc_percentage : 0.893252
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.177719
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.123007
  47. volume_ema1 : 1579683.1324027
  48. volume_ema2 : 1801250.8584776
  49. chop : 41.1527
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 19.5544
  54. ema21 : 18.9776
  55. ema50 : 18.6257
  56. ema100 : 18.8023
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0298429
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0303936
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0188918
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0710351
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.743835
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.523598
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.225097
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.071379
  67. rsi : 0.740693
  68. adx : 0.252077
  69. kc_percentage : 1.06673
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0987395
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.0113246
  72. volume_ema1 : 593002.31354388
  73. volume_ema2 : 599794.76306943
  74. chop : 36.1778
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95333.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000894818
  81. 5m_price:
    95248.4
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.033541
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95253
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -4.84834E-5
  86. 15m_price:
    95248.4
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.091316
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    95229.4
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000198656
  91. 1H_price:
    95248.4
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.029874
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
                        [1] => 22.831
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 11:00:00
                        [1] => 31.365
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 19:00:00
                        [1] => 20.253
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 16.852
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                        [1] => 34.864
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                        [1] => 22.165
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 19:00:00
                        [1] => 21.469
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 22:00:00
                        [1] => 26.778
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:00:00
                        [1] => 21.546
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 13:00:00
                        [1] => 16.148
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -8.0711036851388
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 22.659152836265
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 33.42828833292
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
                        [1] => 25.431
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 14:45:00
                        [1] => 23.08
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:45:00
                        [1] => 24.978
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 19:30:00
                        [1] => 21.469
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 22:00:00
                        [1] => 26.778
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 00:30:00
                        [1] => 22.064
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 04:30:00
                        [1] => 19.36
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:30:00
                        [1] => 21.546
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 13:00:00
                        [1] => 16.148
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 14:30:00
                        [1] => 20.387
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.8449502133713
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 22.659152836265
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 26.250928907605
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 08:40:00
                        [1] => 20.407
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:05:00
                        [1] => 18.342
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:30:00
                        [1] => 21.546
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 10:40:00
                        [1] => 17.426
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 11:05:00
                        [1] => 18.552
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 11:45:00
                        [1] => 17.167
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 12:00:00
                        [1] => 18.306
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 13:00:00
                        [1] => 16.148
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 14:25:00
                        [1] => 18.534
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 14:40:00
                        [1] => 20.387
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.8449502133713
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.8684579691378
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.9978418042517
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.84%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.87%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.00%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.6785
3.25%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5310
13.55%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 08:40:00 20.407 ↑ High
2026-01-17 09:05:00 18.342 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 09:30:00 21.546 ↑ High
2026-01-17 10:40:00 17.426 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 11:05:00 18.552 ↑ High
2026-01-17 11:45:00 17.167 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 12:00:00 18.306 ↑ High
2026-01-17 13:00:00 16.148 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 14:25:00 18.534 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 14:40:00 20.387 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.84%
Dist From Last Low Pct
22.66%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
26.25%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.9105
28.32%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5310
13.55%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 13:15:00 25.431 ↑ High
2026-01-16 14:45:00 23.08 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 15:45:00 24.978 ↑ High
2026-01-16 19:30:00 21.469 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 22:00:00 26.778 ↑ High
2026-01-17 00:30:00 22.064 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 04:30:00 19.36 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 09:30:00 21.546 ↑ High
2026-01-17 13:00:00 16.148 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 14:30:00 20.387 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-8.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
22.66%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
33.43%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.9965
67.07%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5310
13.55%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 07:00:00 22.831 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 11:00:00 31.365 ↑ High
2026-01-14 19:00:00 20.253 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 16.852 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 34.864 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:00:00 22.165 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 19:00:00 21.469 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 22:00:00 26.778 ↑ High
2026-01-17 09:00:00 21.546 ↑ High
2026-01-17 13:00:00 16.148 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Jan 2026
14:51:33
17 Jan 2026
19:40:00
4 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
20.138 20.8675 18.679 2 10.849
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 20.138
  • Stop Loss: 20.8675
  • Take Profit: 18.679

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 20.8675 - 20.138 = 0.7295

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 20.138 - 18.679 = 1.459

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.459 / 0.7295 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
220.8365 100 10.9662 2.21
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.7295

Taille de position = 8 / 0.7295 = 10.97

Taille de position USD = 10.97 x 20.138 = 220.91

Donc, tu peux acheter 10.97 avec un stoploss a 20.8675

Avec un position size USD de 220.91$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 10.97 x 0.7295 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 10.97 x 1.459 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 10.97
  • Taille de position USD 220.91
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
7.25 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.62 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -3.62
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.201 % 115.97 % 11

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 18.679
            [entry_price] => 20.138
            [stop_loss] => 20.94045
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 19:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 18.679
            [entry_price] => 20.138
            [stop_loss] => 21.0134
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 20:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 18.679
            [entry_price] => 20.138
            [stop_loss] => 21.08635
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 20:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 18.679
            [entry_price] => 20.138
            [stop_loss] => 21.23225
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 20:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.975
            [max_drawdown] => 0.392
            [rr_ratio] => 2.49
            [high] => 20.53000000
            [low] => 19.16300000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.84
            [mae_pct] => 1.95
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.49
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-17T14:51:33-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-17T16:51:33-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.976
            [max_drawdown] => 1.577
            [rr_ratio] => 1.25
            [high] => 21.71500000
            [low] => 18.16200000
            [mfe_pct] => 9.81
            [mae_pct] => 7.83
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.25
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-17T14:51:33-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-17T21:51:33-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 20.38700000
            [high_after] => 21.71500000
            [low_before] => 16.14800000
            [low_after] => 19.16300000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)