Short Trade on TRUMP 17 Jan 2026 at 19:21:16
Take profit at 5.3065 (0.53 %) and Stop Loss at 5.3493 (0.27 %)
Short Trade on TRUMP 17 Jan 2026 at 19:21:16
Take profit at 5.3065 (0.53 %) and Stop Loss at 5.3493 (0.27 %)
Position size of 2994.4834 $
Take profit at 5.3065 (0.53 %) and Stop Loss at 5.3493 (0.27 %)
That's a 1.99 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.8 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.87 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.65 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.52695 15m : -0.003344 1H : 0.042199 |
0 |
Indicators:
95241
-0.000589126
95184.9
0.52695
95283.4
-0.00103437
95184.9
-0.003344
95315.4
-0.00136937
95184.9
0.042199
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
[1] => 5.31
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
[1] => 5.38
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
[1] => 5.309
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 04:00:00
[1] => 5.433
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
[1] => 5.287
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
[1] => 5.406
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
[1] => 5.387
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 06:00:00
[1] => 5.356
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
[1] => 5.466
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 17:00:00
[1] => 5.264
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.5429930479327
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1968085106383
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8373860182371
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 06:00:00
[1] => 5.356
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 06:15:00
[1] => 5.383
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 07:45:00
[1] => 5.36
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
[1] => 5.466
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 11:45:00
[1] => 5.384
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 13:15:00
[1] => 5.412
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 13:30:00
[1] => 5.339
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 17:00:00
[1] => 5.354
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 17:30:00
[1] => 5.264
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 19:15:00
[1] => 5.336
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16866566716642
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1968085106383
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3677811550152
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 14:20:00
[1] => 5.351
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 14:35:00
[1] => 5.364
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 15:20:00
[1] => 5.363
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 15:30:00
[1] => 5.339
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 16:15:00
[1] => 5.331
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 17:00:00
[1] => 5.354
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 17:35:00
[1] => 5.264
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 18:05:00
[1] => 5.312
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 19:05:00
[1] => 5.303
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 19:20:00
[1] => 5.336
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16866566716642
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.45257401470866
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.62228927022441
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 14:20:00 | 5.351 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 14:35:00 | 5.364 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 15:20:00 | 5.363 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 15:30:00 | 5.339 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 16:15:00 | 5.331 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 17:00:00 | 5.354 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 17:35:00 | 5.264 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 18:05:00 | 5.312 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 19:05:00 | 5.303 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 19:20:00 | 5.336 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 06:00:00 | 5.356 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 06:15:00 | 5.383 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 07:45:00 | 5.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 10:00:00 | 5.466 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 11:45:00 | 5.384 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 13:15:00 | 5.412 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 13:30:00 | 5.339 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 17:00:00 | 5.354 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 17:30:00 | 5.264 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 19:15:00 | 5.336 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 14:00:00 | 5.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 19:00:00 | 5.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 23:00:00 | 5.309 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 04:00:00 | 5.433 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 10:00:00 | 5.287 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 16:00:00 | 5.406 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 03:00:00 | 5.387 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 06:00:00 | 5.356 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 10:00:00 | 5.466 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 17:00:00 | 5.264 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 19:21:16 |
17 Jan 2026 19:45:00 |
23 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.335 | 5.3493 | 5.3065 | 1.99 | 3.49 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 5.3493 - 5.335 = 0.0143
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 5.335 - 5.3065 = 0.0285
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0285 / 0.0143 = 1.993
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2994.4834 | 100 | 561.2902 | 29.94 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0143 = 559.44
Taille de position USD = 559.44 x 5.335 = 2984.61
Donc, tu peux acheter 559.44 avec un stoploss a 5.3493
Avec un position size USD de 2984.61$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 559.44 x 0.0143 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 559.44 x 0.0285 = 15.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.94$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.53 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.53 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.3064
[stop_loss] => 5.3493
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-17 19:45:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.29925
[stop_loss] => 5.3493
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-17 20:05:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.2921
[stop_loss] => 5.3493
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-17 20:05:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.28495
[stop_loss] => 5.3493
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-17 20:10:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.2778
[stop_loss] => 5.3493
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-17 20:10:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.27065
[stop_loss] => 5.3493
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-17 23:10:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.2635
[stop_loss] => 5.3493
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-17 23:30:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.058
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 5.32800000
[low] => 5.27700000
[mfe_pct] => 1.09
[mae_pct] => -0.13
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-17T19:21:16-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-17T21:21:16-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.081
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 5.32800000
[low] => 5.25400000
[mfe_pct] => 1.52
[mae_pct] => -0.13
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-17T19:21:16-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-18T02:21:16-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 5.36000000
[high_after] => 5.32800000
[low_before] => 5.26400000
[low_after] => 5.26300000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)