Short Trade on MERL 17 Jan 2026 at 19:29:07

Take profit at 0.1906 (3.2 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2001 (1.63 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 17 Jan 2026 at 19:29:07

With 2522.038 MERL at 0.1969$ per unit.

Position size of 496.5893 $

Take profit at 0.1906 (3.2 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2001 (1.63 %)

That's a 1.97 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: -0.01
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.72
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.41
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.61
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.123205

15m : -0.008261

1H : -0.047402

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 0.002114691888
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.202875
  4. ema21 : 0.219366
  5. ema50 : 0.234499
  6. ema100 : 0.240736
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0294549
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.075173
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0645347
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.182091
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.46021
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.00226
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.533461
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.281816
  17. rsi : 0.203484
  18. adx : 0.521996
  19. kc_percentage : -0.204727
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.15467
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.828724
  22. volume_ema1 : 251333.32934529
  23. volume_ema2 : 137436.38503663
  24. chop : 6.13746
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.192349
  29. ema21 : 0.196611
  30. ema50 : 0.21056
  31. ema100 : 0.225059
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0236563
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0216771
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0662476
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.125121
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.14995
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.392051
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.42726
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.318357
  42. rsi : 0.401028
  43. adx : 0.66237
  44. kc_percentage : 0.542879
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.092435
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.551897
  47. volume_ema1 : 32277.888126337
  48. volume_ema2 : 72032.396634321
  49. chop : 79.7554
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.193301
  54. ema21 : 0.192515
  55. ema50 : 0.194675
  56. ema100 : 0.202376
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0186141
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00408683
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0110993
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.0270596
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0661675
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0090064
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0625027
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.112364
  67. rsi : 0.661978
  68. adx : 0.14
  69. kc_percentage : 1.04632
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0406655
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.488554
  72. volume_ema1 : 11701.190498771
  73. volume_ema2 : 22878.668963723
  74. chop : 46.3781
  75. regime : range_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95241.3
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000837065
  81. 5m_price:
    95161.6
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.123205
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95283.4
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00103437
  86. 15m_price:
    95184.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.008261
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    95314.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00160898
  91. 1H_price:
    95161.6
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.047402
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
                        [1] => 0.231
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 01:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2681
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2409
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 08:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2591
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2435
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 20:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2567
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2489
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2658
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2524
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1842
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -25.620767494357
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.328990228013
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 31
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 37.024972855592
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 20:30:00
                        [1] => 0.2529
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 22:45:00
                        [1] => 0.2556
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 01:15:00
                        [1] => 0.245
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2503
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:15:00
                        [1] => 0.2327
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:45:00
                        [1] => 0.2377
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 15:15:00
                        [1] => 0.1842
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 16:15:00
                        [1] => 0.198
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 18:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1887
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 19:15:00
                        [1] => 0.198
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15151515151516
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7694753577106
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.9284578696343
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 11:25:00
                        [1] => 0.2368
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1884
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 15:20:00
                        [1] => 0.1842
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 16:25:00
                        [1] => 0.198
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 17:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1894
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 17:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1953
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 18:10:00
                        [1] => 0.1941
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 18:20:00
                        [1] => 0.1888
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 18:55:00
                        [1] => 0.1887
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 19:25:00
                        [1] => 0.198
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15151515151516
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7694753577106
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.9284578696343
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.77%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.93%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0367
18.34%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0064
3.36%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 11:25:00 0.2368 ↑ High
2026-01-17 14:00:00 0.1884 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 15:20:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 16:25:00 0.198 ↑ High
2026-01-17 17:00:00 0.1894 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 17:30:00 0.1953 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:10:00 0.1941 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:20:00 0.1888 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 18:55:00 0.1887 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 19:25:00 0.198 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.77%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.93%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0555
27.74%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0064
3.36%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 20:30:00 0.2529 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 22:45:00 0.2556 ↑ High
2026-01-17 01:15:00 0.245 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 03:00:00 0.2503 ↑ High
2026-01-17 09:15:00 0.2327 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 09:45:00 0.2377 ↑ High
2026-01-17 15:15:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 16:15:00 0.198 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:45:00 0.1887 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 19:15:00 0.198 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-25.62%
Dist From Last Low Pct
7.33%
Bars Since Swing High
31 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
37.02%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0680
33.98%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0064
3.36%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 13:00:00 0.231 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 01:00:00 0.2681 ↑ High
2026-01-15 04:00:00 0.2409 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 08:00:00 0.2591 ↑ High
2026-01-15 11:00:00 0.2435 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 20:00:00 0.2567 ↑ High
2026-01-16 04:00:00 0.2489 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 12:00:00 0.2658 ↑ High
2026-01-16 16:00:00 0.2524 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 15:00:00 0.1842 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Jan 2026
19:29:07
17 Jan 2026
19:30:00
53 seconds

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1969 0.2001 0.1906 1.97 0.04526
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1969
  • Stop Loss: 0.2001
  • Take Profit: 0.1906

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2001 - 0.1969 = 0.0032

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1969 - 0.1906 = 0.0063

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0063 / 0.0032 = 1.9688

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
496.5893 100 2522.038 4.97
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0032

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0032 = 2500

Taille de position USD = 2500 x 0.1969 = 492.25

Donc, tu peux acheter 2500 avec un stoploss a 0.2001

Avec un position size USD de 492.25$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2500 x 0.0032 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2500 x 0.0063 = 15.75

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.75$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2500
  • Taille de position USD 492.25
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.75
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9688

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.2 % 15.89 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.63 % 8.07 $
PNL PNL %
-8.07 $ -1.63
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.8441 % 175 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1906
            [entry_price] => 0.1969
            [stop_loss] => 0.20042
            [rr_ratio] => 1.79
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1906
            [entry_price] => 0.1969
            [stop_loss] => 0.20074
            [rr_ratio] => 1.64
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1906
            [entry_price] => 0.1969
            [stop_loss] => 0.20106
            [rr_ratio] => 1.51
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1906
            [entry_price] => 0.1969
            [stop_loss] => 0.2017
            [rr_ratio] => 1.31
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.00060000000000002
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0192
            [rr_ratio] => -0.03
            [high] => 0.21610000
            [low] => 0.19750000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.3
            [mae_pct] => 9.75
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.03
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-17T19:29:07-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-17T21:29:07-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00029999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0192
            [rr_ratio] => 0.02
            [high] => 0.21610000
            [low] => 0.19660000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.15
            [mae_pct] => 9.75
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-17T19:29:07-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-18T02:29:07-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.19800000
            [high_after] => 0.21610000
            [low_before] => 0.18580000
            [low_after] => 0.19660000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)