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Short Trade on MERL

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Short Trade on MERL 17 Jan 2026 at 19:37:16

Take profit at 0.1948 (3.37 %) and Stop Loss at 0.205 (1.69 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 17 Jan 2026 at 19:37:16

With 2359.6105 MERL at 0.2016$ per unit.

Position size of 475.6975 $

Take profit at 0.1948 (3.37 %) and Stop Loss at 0.205 (1.69 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.21
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.63
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.67
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.7
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.136764

15m : 0.218674

1H : 0.117513

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.34
  4. atr: 0.002260260024
Details
  1. score: 1.34
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.203815
  4. ema21 : 0.219793
  5. ema50 : 0.234683
  6. ema100 : 0.240829
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.010871
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0726941
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0634487
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.162892
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.42837
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.987989
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.527331
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.278703
  17. rsi : 0.272036
  18. adx : 0.512068
  19. kc_percentage : -0.0322416
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.160389
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.905852
  22. volume_ema1 : 264997.15771862
  23. volume_ema2 : 139043.89425702
  24. chop : 6.3124
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.194495
  28. ema21 : 0.19723
  29. ema50 : 0.210281
  30. ema100 : 0.224594
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0365264
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0138653
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0620648
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.102384
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0291891
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.3179
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.396
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.304875
  41. rsi : 0.510762
  42. adx : 0.607584
  43. kc_percentage : 0.74416
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.097244
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.494754
  46. volume_ema1 : 36007.577852003
  47. volume_ema2 : 71267.484803128
  48. chop : 65.8086
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.196231
  52. ema21 : 0.194069
  53. ema50 : 0.195198
  54. ema100 : 0.202329
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0273575
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.011142
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00578262
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00360372
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.206139
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0863242
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0234393
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0913593
  65. rsi : 0.750449
  66. adx : 0.194203
  67. kc_percentage : 1.34009
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0440006
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.358777
  70. volume_ema1 : 14513.222544639
  71. volume_ema2 : 22633.66862112
  72. chop : 30.0279
  73. regime : bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    95216.5
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000294045
  78. 5m_price: 
    95188.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.136764
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    95293
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00144944
  83. 15m_price: 
    95154.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.218674
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    95315.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00133131
  88. 1H_price: 
    95188.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.117513
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
                    [1] => 0.231
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 01:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2681
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2409
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 08:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2591
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2435
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2567
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2489
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2658
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2524
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1842
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -24.228743416102
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.3376764386536
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 31
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 37.024972855592
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 20:30:00
                    [1] => 0.2529
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 22:45:00
                    [1] => 0.2556
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 01:15:00
                    [1] => 0.245
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2503
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 09:15:00
                    [1] => 0.2327
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 09:45:00
                    [1] => 0.2377
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 15:15:00
                    [1] => 0.1842
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 16:15:00
                    [1] => 0.198
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 18:45:00
                    [1] => 0.1887
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 0.2033
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.93457943925234
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.7302596714361
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.7371489136195
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 11:25:00
                    [1] => 0.2368
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1884
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 15:20:00
                    [1] => 0.1842
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 16:25:00
                    [1] => 0.198
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 17:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1894
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 17:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1953
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 18:10:00
                    [1] => 0.1941
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 18:20:00
                    [1] => 0.1888
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 18:55:00
                    [1] => 0.1887
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 19:35:00
                    [1] => 0.2033
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.93457943925234
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.7302596714361
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.7371489136195
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.93%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.73%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.74%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0318
15.51%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0106
5.44%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 11:25:00 0.2368 ↑ High
2026-01-17 14:00:00 0.1884 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 15:20:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 16:25:00 0.198 ↑ High
2026-01-17 17:00:00 0.1894 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 17:30:00 0.1953 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:10:00 0.1941 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:20:00 0.1888 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 18:55:00 0.1887 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 19:35:00 0.2033 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.93%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.73%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.74%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0506
24.68%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0106
5.44%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 20:30:00 0.2529 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 22:45:00 0.2556 ↑ High
2026-01-17 01:15:00 0.245 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 03:00:00 0.2503 ↑ High
2026-01-17 09:15:00 0.2327 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 09:45:00 0.2377 ↑ High
2026-01-17 15:15:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 16:15:00 0.198 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:45:00 0.1887 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 19:30:00 0.2033 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-24.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.34%
Bars Since Swing High
31 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
37.02%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0631
30.78%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0106
5.44%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 13:00:00 0.231 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 01:00:00 0.2681 ↑ High
2026-01-15 04:00:00 0.2409 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 08:00:00 0.2591 ↑ High
2026-01-15 11:00:00 0.2435 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 20:00:00 0.2567 ↑ High
2026-01-16 04:00:00 0.2489 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 12:00:00 0.2658 ↑ High
2026-01-16 16:00:00 0.2524 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 15:00:00 0.1842 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Jan 2026
19:37:16		 17 Jan 2026
19:40:00		 2 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2016 0.205 0.1948 2 0.04526
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2016
  • Stop Loss: 0.205
  • Take Profit: 0.1948

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.205 - 0.2016 = 0.0034

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2016 - 0.1948 = 0.0068

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0068 / 0.0034 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
475.6975 100 2359.6105 4.76
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0034

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0034 = 2352.94

Taille de position USD = 2352.94 x 0.2016 = 474.35

Donc, tu peux acheter 2352.94 avec un stoploss a 0.205

Avec un position size USD de 474.35$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2352.94 x 0.0034 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2352.94 x 0.0068 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2352.94
  • Taille de position USD 474.35
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.37 % 16.05 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.69 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
-8.02 $ -1.69
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.1329 % 126.47 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1948
            [entry_price] => 0.2016
            [stop_loss] => 0.20534
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 19:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1948
            [entry_price] => 0.2016
            [stop_loss] => 0.20568
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 19:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1948
            [entry_price] => 0.2016
            [stop_loss] => 0.20602
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 19:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1948
            [entry_price] => 0.2016
            [stop_loss] => 0.2067
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 19:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00020000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0145
            [rr_ratio] => 0.01
            [high] => 0.21610000
            [low] => 0.20140000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.1
            [mae_pct] => 7.19
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.01
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-17T19:37:16-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-17T21:37:16-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.005
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0145
            [rr_ratio] => 0.34
            [high] => 0.21610000
            [low] => 0.19660000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.48
            [mae_pct] => 7.19
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.34
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-17T19:37:16-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-18T02:37:16-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.20330000
            [high_after] => 0.21610000
            [low_before] => 0.18620000
            [low_after] => 0.19660000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)