Short Trade on MERL 17 Jan 2026 at 20:06:40

Take profit at 0.2064 (3.87 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2189 (1.96 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 17 Jan 2026 at 20:06:40

With 1920.212 MERL at 0.2147$ per unit.

Position size of 412.2695 $

Take profit at 0.2064 (3.87 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2189 (1.96 %)

That's a 1.98 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 80
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.78
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.5
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.58
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high_exhausted

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.072355

15m : 0.090716

1H : -0.018845

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.65
  4. atr: 0.002777471148
Details
  1. score: 1.65
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.207352
  4. ema21 : 0.220033
  5. ema50 : 0.234299
  6. ema100 : 0.241058
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0354345
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0576303
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0608877
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.109345
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.2476
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.942399
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.525591
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.286118
  17. rsi : 0.415903
  18. adx : 0.480795
  19. kc_percentage : 0.369475
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.158831
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.537986
  22. volume_ema1 : 214068.57278686
  23. volume_ema2 : 139187.57005952
  24. chop : 10.2695
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.201519
  29. ema21 : 0.200167
  30. ema50 : 0.210558
  31. ema100 : 0.223989
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0654045
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00675489
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0493506
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0414737
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.319673
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.108384
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.303782
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.262003
  42. rsi : 0.670389
  43. adx : 0.553184
  44. kc_percentage : 1.18297
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.100536
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.283745
  47. volume_ema1 : 51366.927648668
  48. volume_ema2 : 71716.075827222
  49. chop : 39.7038
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.207162
  54. ema21 : 0.201109
  55. ema50 : 0.198318
  56. ema100 : 0.203089
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0363845
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0300959
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0140744
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0571702
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.709617
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.417622
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.155733
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00694476
  67. rsi : 0.87578
  68. adx : 0.377008
  69. kc_percentage : 1.64912
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0538069
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.175504
  72. volume_ema1 : 18961.240986338
  73. volume_ema2 : 22997.385152948
  74. chop : 8.60325
  75. regime : bull_high_exhausted
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95194.3
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00259655
  81. 5m_price:
    94947.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.072355
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95269.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00338643
  86. 15m_price:
    94947.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.090716
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    95535.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00615604
  91. 1H_price:
    94947.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.018845
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 01:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2681
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2409
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 08:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2591
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2435
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 20:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2567
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2489
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2658
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2524
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1842
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2161
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.55529847292919
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 16.666666666667
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 17.318132464712
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 20:30:00
                        [1] => 0.2529
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 22:45:00
                        [1] => 0.2556
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 01:15:00
                        [1] => 0.245
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2503
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:15:00
                        [1] => 0.2327
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:45:00
                        [1] => 0.2377
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 15:15:00
                        [1] => 0.1842
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 16:15:00
                        [1] => 0.198
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 18:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1887
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2161
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.55529847292919
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 13.884472708002
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 14.520402755697
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 11:50:00
                        [1] => 0.2353
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1884
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 15:20:00
                        [1] => 0.1842
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 16:25:00
                        [1] => 0.198
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 17:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1894
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 17:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1953
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 18:10:00
                        [1] => 0.1941
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 18:20:00
                        [1] => 0.1888
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 18:55:00
                        [1] => 0.1887
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 20:05:00
                        [1] => 0.2161
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.55529847292919
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 13.884472708002
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 14.520402755697
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.56%
Dist From Last Low Pct
13.88%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
14.52%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0164
7.49%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0222
10.76%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 11:50:00 0.2353 ↑ High
2026-01-17 14:00:00 0.1884 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 15:20:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 16:25:00 0.198 ↑ High
2026-01-17 17:00:00 0.1894 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 17:30:00 0.1953 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:10:00 0.1941 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:20:00 0.1888 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 18:55:00 0.1887 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 20:05:00 0.2161 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.56%
Dist From Last Low Pct
13.88%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
14.52%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0367
16.77%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0222
10.76%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 20:30:00 0.2529 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 22:45:00 0.2556 ↑ High
2026-01-17 01:15:00 0.245 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 03:00:00 0.2503 ↑ High
2026-01-17 09:15:00 0.2327 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 09:45:00 0.2377 ↑ High
2026-01-17 15:15:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 16:15:00 0.198 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:45:00 0.1887 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 20:00:00 0.2161 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.56%
Dist From Last Low Pct
16.67%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
17.32%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0492
22.48%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0222
10.76%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 01:00:00 0.2681 ↑ High
2026-01-15 04:00:00 0.2409 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 08:00:00 0.2591 ↑ High
2026-01-15 11:00:00 0.2435 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 20:00:00 0.2567 ↑ High
2026-01-16 04:00:00 0.2489 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 12:00:00 0.2658 ↑ High
2026-01-16 16:00:00 0.2524 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 15:00:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 20:00:00 0.2161 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Jan 2026
20:06:40
17 Jan 2026
20:15:00
8 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2147 0.2189 0.2064 1.98 0.04316
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2147
  • Stop Loss: 0.2189
  • Take Profit: 0.2064

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2189 - 0.2147 = 0.0042

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2147 - 0.2064 = 0.0083

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0083 / 0.0042 = 1.9762

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
412.2695 100 1920.212 4.12
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0042

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0042 = 1904.76

Taille de position USD = 1904.76 x 0.2147 = 408.95

Donc, tu peux acheter 1904.76 avec un stoploss a 0.2189

Avec un position size USD de 408.95$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1904.76 x 0.0042 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1904.76 x 0.0083 = 15.81

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.81$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1904.76
  • Taille de position USD 408.95
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.81
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9762

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.87 % 15.94 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.96 % 8.06 $
PNL PNL %
15.94 $ 3.87
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5589 % 28.57 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2063
            [stop_loss] => 0.2189
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 20:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2042
            [stop_loss] => 0.2189
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 20:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2021
            [stop_loss] => 0.2189
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 21:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2
            [stop_loss] => 0.2189
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 22:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1979
            [stop_loss] => 0.2189
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 22:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0181
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0012
            [rr_ratio] => 15.08
            [high] => 0.21590000
            [low] => 0.19660000
            [mfe_pct] => 8.43
            [mae_pct] => 0.56
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 15.08
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-17T20:06:40-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-17T22:06:40-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0181
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0012
            [rr_ratio] => 15.08
            [high] => 0.21590000
            [low] => 0.19660000
            [mfe_pct] => 8.43
            [mae_pct] => 0.56
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 15.08
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-17T20:06:40-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-18T03:06:40-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.21610000
            [high_after] => 0.21590000
            [low_before] => 0.18870000
            [low_after] => 0.19660000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)